Teams & Riders Vincenzo Nibali discussion thread

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I can't really say I'm surprised after he already climbed bad on stage 3 but still 30 seconds is more than I hoped. And there are two more mtf's like this this week. At least we'll have two gc riders who will go crazy in the last two weeks
 
Jul 14, 2015
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Brullnux said:
Yeah not good, doesn't really have it anymore at all on these climbs (if he ever did). Would like it if he'd focus on classics but it's unlikely.

:lol:

Hey I'm not a Nibali fan at all but over here yall are already burying him while in the alternative universe that is the Contador thread they are tipping the old man for the overall win. On what seems to be mostly inconsequential results for both..
 
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hazaran said:
Brullnux said:
Yeah not good, doesn't really have it anymore at all on these climbs (if he ever did). Would like it if he'd focus on classics but it's unlikely.

:lol:

Hey I'm not a Nibali fan at all but over here yall are already burying him while in the alternative universe that is the Contador thread they are tipping the old man for the overall win. On what seems to be mostly inconsequential results for both..

+1

Nibali will be flying when Froome is very tired in the final week
Everyone knows that Nibali is a slow starter ..
Gosh if you are fans you'd want to have a bit of faith
 
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hazaran said:
Brullnux said:
Yeah not good, doesn't really have it anymore at all on these climbs (if he ever did). Would like it if he'd focus on classics but it's unlikely.

:lol:

Hey I'm not a Nibali fan at all but over here yall are already burying him while in the alternative universe that is the Contador thread they are tipping the old man for the overall win. On what seems to be mostly inconsequential results for both..
I've been saying I'd like him to focus on classics since 2015, mind. Another GT win, great, but another monument or two would be far better in my book. If what forever the best says is true then that is all I wish.
 
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HelloDolly said:
hazaran said:
Brullnux said:
Yeah not good, doesn't really have it anymore at all on these climbs (if he ever did). Would like it if he'd focus on classics but it's unlikely.

:lol:

Hey I'm not a Nibali fan at all but over here yall are already burying him while in the alternative universe that is the Contador thread they are tipping the old man for the overall win. On what seems to be mostly inconsequential results for both..

+1

Nibali will be flying when Froome is very tired in the final week
Everyone knows that Nibali is a slow starter ..
Gosh if you are fans you'd want to have a bit of faith
Please be true :) .

And yes, '14 TdF put aside, Nibali seldom shows much on week one. As seen in Il Giro last year or just a few months ago. There's hope.
 
Stage was horrible for Nibali. Raced easily exept for the last 15 km. The last kms were basically a test of maximal watt power for 10 minutes. He is lost when they hit a wall after soft pedalling the whole day.
At this point in his career he might have the best aerobic ability of all contenders but his anaerobic ability is completly gone. No lactat tolerance compared to younger guys or even Contador.
For Contador it seems to be the other way around. He lacks stamina but still has some punch.
 
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skippo12 said:
Stage was horrible for Nibali. Raced easily exept for the last 15 km. The last kms were basically a test of maximal watt power for 10 minutes. He is lost when they hit a wall after soft pedalling the whole day.
At this point in his career he might have the best aerobic ability of all contenders but his anaerobic ability is completly gone. No lactat tolerance compared to younger guys or even Contador.
For Contador it seems to be the other way around. He lacks stamina but still has some punch.

Was thinking exactly this (Nibs vs. Berto) after the stage.
 
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ice&fire said:
Today was the easiest of the first week muritos. No matter how you look at it, losing 30s doesn't look good. At this rate he might get to the first rest day almost 2 minutes behind in GC.


Its not the murito ...its how its raced :)

According to soem reports that was a record for a 10 minute climb ....very fast

These speeds will come down as the Vuelta progresses
 
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skippo12 said:
Stage was horrible for Nibali. Raced easily exept for the last 15 km. The last kms were basically a test of maximal watt power for 10 minutes. He is lost when they hit a wall after soft pedalling the whole day.
At this point in his career he might have the best aerobic ability of all contenders but his anaerobic ability is completly gone. No lactat tolerance compared to younger guys or even Contador.
For Contador it seems to be the other way around. He lacks stamina but still has some punch.

Good points. I also think he overestimates his abilities if that is even possible for his experience, maybe it's orgoglio? He just cracked badly, I mean he came to the line with Agnoli. Anyway, looking forward to the weekend combo with concern.
 
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Climbing said:
He lost 10 seconds too much, 15 would have been okish.
Unfortunately couldn't watch, guess he barely missed the split from group up, or would have been a bit less awful.

He was already in extreme trouble when Moscon set the early pace for Froome. Looked like he cracked right when Moscon stopped and Froome accelerated. And was dropped like stone, no chance to follow top 5 and there were other groups even in between that he missed.
 
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Rollthedice said:
skippo12 said:
Stage was horrible for Nibali. Raced easily exept for the last 15 km. The last kms were basically a test of maximal watt power for 10 minutes. He is lost when they hit a wall after soft pedalling the whole day.
At this point in his career he might have the best aerobic ability of all contenders but his anaerobic ability is completly gone. No lactat tolerance compared to younger guys or even Contador.
For Contador it seems to be the other way around. He lacks stamina but still has some punch.

Good points. I also think he overestimates his abilities if that is even possible for his experience, maybe it's orgoglio? He just cracked badly, I mean he came to the line with Agnoli. Anyway, looking forward to the weekend combo with concern.

To be completely fair, Agnoli was in the break and softpedalling half of the climb. He was caught and joined Nibs at the point Moscon was done with the monster pace and Nibs was already cracking.
 
Jun 30, 2014
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Yes, I thought the same when it comes to Nibali and Contador.
Still, even the 2013 version of Ivan Basso was better on the muritos (that was his last chance to get a top5 on gc or even more in a gt, a shame that he DNF of the Andorra stage).
 
Eh yeah. If this happens on the two following muritos he is pretty much done for the victory me thinks. Well, then he would have to rely on Froome's misfortune and thats maybe not a too bad tactic after all. We are talking about Nibz.

I say no need to panic, but not very uplifting. Needs to do better than that on these stages to win La Vuelta bar anything very surprising. But, the terrain is available for more this time around that in previous Vueltas, maybe he can join forces with Contador on some tricky stages.
 
Good posts Mayomaniac and skippo12 though I have to add one thing:
Nibali usually handles the rainy/cold weather much better than the others (some get ill, some DNF like Basso) and since the Vuelta is usually very hot it is normal that he is also not that good. (There was not a single rainy stage on this years Giro as well)
So in short, cold/rainy multi mountain stages which are above 2000+m altitude with technical descents (preferably as a stage finish) is the environment which should suit him the most.
 
Worse than I thought, but still no need to panic. Very sensible post by Skippo and it's striking the difference with Contador. I don't think the next two muritos are necessarily worse for him than this one. They will come at the end of the first week after 7-8 days of racing. Fatigue will start to be a factor and both muritos are longer which means less explosive accelerations. Hopefully he'll still be in striking distance by the end of the week. And if he's more than two minutes behind, let the fireworks begin.
 
Slongo said that he's fine, no worries, they know he can't follow uphill 500w short efforts.
Still 26 secs is too much, one would expect him coming home with the 2nd or 3rd group after Froome.
On the other hand there's the positive, thanks to his smart riding, that he's only 36 secs behind in the GC instead of 1 min down.
If he gets the usual form in the 2nd and 3rd week and Froome fades a bit, it's still game on.
 

axl

Aug 19, 2017
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Still 2 muritos to pass where he will need to limit the damages once again. I kind of fear for him as these two stages are quite flat with no real difficulties before the final walls. No warm-up before probably brutal accelerations by Sky that he won't like.