I think Roglic is favorite too, if he has support. With De Plus in Giro, with same form that he had in the Tour, I dont think Carapaz would have won. At least it would have been a lot closer. So if he going to Vuelta with Kruijswjik and some others on the team. He will have a very good chance. But who knows. Better climbers could ambush or just simply outclimb Roglic.Red Rick said:Last I heard Vuelta was unlikely cause the knee was worse than expected and he couldn't do any high intensity work.Valv.Piti said:How's Dumoulin's rehab? I doubt he will be ready from what I heard before the Tour.
I think Movistar will be the team to beat, realistically they will have 3 riders how can place very high in the overall, but can they make it work like in the Giro? Lotto looks quite good with Rogla + Kruijswijk as well, I suspect the former to be in great shape when the race rolls around, maybe the single biggest favourite. Lopez seems like a great bet at this point as well considering it seems there's a decent amount of great GC-riders who are skipping this race for various reasons, maybe including all the Ineos-guys. Mas will need a great Vuelta after this pretty horrendous Tour.
Dno who actually can win apart from those names. Will be interesting to see who shows up in the first place, the Vuelta always delivers a quite good race no matter what.
That was the 10th of July. All Dumoulin news since then has been about a possible transfer
Then there's always the option of Sunweb deciding to keep Dumoulin out of the Vuelta if he wants to leave.
All in all, if Roglic shows up prepared to ride for GC I think he's the standout favorite.