Vuelta a España 2022: Pre-race discussion/hype tread

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Feb 20, 2010
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I find it kind of crazy that Movistar aren't going to send some ATVs who can win a sprint or get into the right moves, like the likes of Aranburu there to go stagehunting. I have been thinking, they've not been taking the points mess that they've got themselves in seriously for a while now, there hasn't seemed to be a great deal of urgency about them trying to get points compared to Israel and Lotto, so unless they've decided to keep a bunch of those guys for small stage races instead and try to horde small points, I don't really know...
 
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Jan 17, 2022
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tjv with the olympic gold and bronze TT medallists, eh?
Jumbo's problem is that a GT TTT starts with 8 riders, not 2 or 3. Also the TTT is pan flat which isn't exactly Roglic' speciality and TT ability doesn't perfectly translate over to TTT ability. Assuming they're healthy and in shape, Dennis, Roglic and Affini is much better than BEX's best 3, but the next 5 BEX is much better.

Depending how you rate BEX's TT'ers (and how you think their respective abilities translate over to a TTT), BEX's 5 worst are probably: Hepburn, Scotson, O'Brien, Groves, Hamilton. Account for all the BEX riders likely getting Vorteq suits/overshoes and some position work, you've got a squad full of big powerful roleurs, team pursuit world champs, good TT'ers and Lucas Hamilton.
 
Oct 14, 2017
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I find it kind of crazy that Movistar aren't going to send some ATVs who can win a sprint or get into the right moves, like the likes of Aranburu there to go stagehunting. I have been thinking, they've not been taking the points mess that they've got themselves in seriously for a while now, there hasn't seemed to be a great deal of urgency about them trying to get points compared to Israel and Lotto, so unless they've decided to keep a bunch of those guys for small stage races instead and try to horde small points, I don't really know...

Hoping Mas and Valverde end up in the top 10 of GC and somehow Valverde finds a bunch of stage points somewhere? Yeah, they don't really seem to be hunting for points after the mess they got themselves into.
 
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Feb 1, 2011
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I'm not getting the Evenepoel hype, he has it all to prove over a 3 week race and its not like QS have a stellar record in grand tours when riding for GC. Would love to see him stay up there on GC for 3 weeks but for me Roglic is the favourite now that he has declared. Providing of course that he has recovered sufficiently but I don't think he lines up if he doesn't think he has the chance of winning La Vuelta. Also Jumbo owe him something after he was used as a sacrificial lamb to effectively help win Vingegaard the tour. I think whoever emerges as the Ineos GC leader (most likely Carapaz) will be the greatest threat since they look to have a lot of strength in numbers again. I expect that Almeida and Hindley should also be strong on GC.

Clearly Roglic is the favourite, by a significant margin, bookies see it that way too. It doesn't change much for Remco though imo; 2nd place behind Roglic would obviously be a success too, and him starting the race at least takes a little pressure off Remco.
 
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Feb 24, 2014
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Besides racing for the fourth consecutive title, Roglič needs these weeks of racing to keep the GT rhythm and related ambitions alive.
(Presumably) being on the decline, every bit of continuity helps flattening the curve.
 
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May 7, 2013
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I feel that BEX will have a good TT. Yates will be in red before the end of stage 9. Of course he may blow up somewhere at random too.
 
Apr 26, 2019
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Jul 27, 2009
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I find it kind of crazy that Movistar aren't going to send some ATVs who can win a sprint or get into the right moves, like the likes of Aranburu there to go stagehunting. I have been thinking, they've not been taking the points mess that they've got themselves in seriously for a while now, there hasn't seemed to be a great deal of urgency about them trying to get points compared to Israel and Lotto, so unless they've decided to keep a bunch of those guys for small stage races instead and try to horde small points, I don't really know...
In the 1998/1999 German soccer Bundesliga there was an epic relegation battle. Majorly between Hansa Rostock and Eintracht Frankfurt. 1.FC Nürnberg never was part of that relegation battle, despite theoretically still being able to relegate. Well, they weren't part until in fact they relegated.

Movistar needs to be very cautious to not experience the same faith. They felt save all season long. But the duck *** rear as we say in German.
 
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May 29, 2019
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So how much weight did Remco actually lose? If he will be able to hang on in mountains. Likely his ITT will be affected by it a bit? Is Carapaz currently in good form? Wouldn't be surprised if he will do better then Hindley this time around.
 
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Nov 16, 2013
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I find it kind of crazy that Movistar aren't going to send some ATVs who can win a sprint or get into the right moves, like the likes of Aranburu there to go stagehunting. I have been thinking, they've not been taking the points mess that they've got themselves in seriously for a while now, there hasn't seemed to be a great deal of urgency about them trying to get points compared to Israel and Lotto, so unless they've decided to keep a bunch of those guys for small stage races instead and try to horde small points, I don't really know...

Aranburu should have a good chance of winning Tour du Limousin. That would probably give him more points than what he could get in the Vuelta.
 
Sep 28, 2020
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Who will do better in the race of the first timers between Ayuso and Brenner? Guess both will have to work for their captain, but are desperate to show what they are capable to do in a 3 weeks race...
 
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Jul 10, 2014
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Lotto Soudal bets on the alternative calendar and takes a modest team to La Vuelta. The big players will make an alternative calendar, looking for UCI points.

 

Bonimenier

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Apr 1, 2019
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Who will do better in the race of the first timers between Ayuso and Brenner? Guess both will have to work for their captain, but are desperate to show what they are capable to do in a 3 weeks race...
Brenner hasn't been close to the level Ayuso has shown this season.
 
Apr 26, 2019
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Brenner hasn't been close to the level Ayuso has shown this season.
Yes, I also assume that Ayuso will be better at the vuelta. That he will be better now doesn't mean that this will also be the case in two years or so, but for now Ayuso has to be rated higher. I am still excited for the Grand tour debut of both. At the age of 19 is quite impressive..
 
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Big Doopie

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Oct 6, 2009
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Who will do better in the race of the first timers between Ayuso and Brenner? Guess both will have to work for their captain, but are desperate to show what they are capable to do in a 3 weeks race...

um...ayuso won't work for any of his teammates/leaders. he has made that abundantly clear.
 
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