Vuelta a España Vuelta a España 2024, stage 19: Logroño - Alto de Moncalvillo, 173.2k

Sep 20, 2017
12,415
23,470
28,180
The beginning of the end.

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After 19 stages, the inevitable happens and we get a true unipuerto MTF. This is not necessarily a bad thing - unipuerto MTFs tend to genuinely deliver this late in the race - and it's not like Moncalvillo has much in the way of good passes in its vicinity anyway.

Most of the stage is in La Rioja, quite close to the previous day's route, with a brief loop into Burgos to take in the day's other KOM, the easy Alto de Pradilla.
Alto%20de%20Pradilla%20%28burgos%29%20pefil.gif


And then, the MTF. It has been used once before, in an enjoyable 2020 stage, but perhaps the best comparison is the Alpe di Mera MTF from the 2021 Giro. Both climbs are extremely similar by the numbers, both stages have very little climbing before the MTF, and both come on stage 19 before a big mountain stage and a closing TT. And that Giro stage was a good one too, with Simon Yates attacking from the bottom and hanging on to take the stage.

Back to the present, where we are looking at the final 12.1k of the profile below, for an average of 7.4%. The actually-hard part is 7.8k at 9.3%, more than enough for a proper battle. Will this be the first stage to be won from the GC group since stage 8 or can that streak last all the way to Madrid?
MoncalvilloNW.gif
 
Feb 18, 2015
13,820
9,810
28,180
I think we will have Roglic winning tomorrow just to drop like 30 seconds on stage 20. A wobble on the final mountain stage but still a comfortable win. He hasn't always looked unbeatable this Vuelta but on stages with just one relevant climb he has clearly been the class of the field.
 
Feb 9, 2013
7,195
8,571
23,180
My life fades. The vision dims. All that remains are memories. I remember a time of chaos. Ruined dreams. This wasted land. But most of all, I remember the Road Warrior. The man we called "Froglic" 🐸
The time has come to see some Redglic - I'm definitely pulling for Rogla and hope he stays upright on the bike for the remaining stages of the Vuelta. Fingers crossed. :hearteyes:
 
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Mar 17, 2009
8,421
959
19,680
The last day of O'Connor in Red as Roglic will inevitable inherit the jersey when he & Mas go all out on the last climb...
 
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Jul 20, 2019
3,208
2,769
14,180
completely different race than the tour

GC riders not winning stages to there being an ultra tight GC

If this were the tour, Landa at 5:30 back would be in second and it would be time for a suicide attack. Here, he is in 10th place because nobody knows how to gain time.

Would be nice to see a race for once at this vuelta
 
Aug 5, 2009
15,733
8,147
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Expect to see another re-ordering of the top 10. Roglic already in a good position re the time trial. Most interested to see if Mas can take it to Roglic and how much time O'Connor concedes. Carapaz once again will probably be the most aggressive.
 
Jul 7, 2013
8,100
14,944
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Moncalvillo is a proper wall and everyone will have to fight the gravity on his own. It's finally time for O'Connor to lose the red jersey, I can't imagine any other scenario. Rogla should stick to Mas & Carapaz but I'm not ruling out his attack at some point.
 
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Mar 27, 2024
191
259
730
When people say EF and Movistar should chase the break, I just dont think either of those teams are capable. If they are relying on guys like Nairoman and Rubio then it will be music to the break’s ears. They would need help from Bora. EF seen better at raids rather than riding on the front. Tomorrow seems like a better stage to do more damage. I just wonder if they will just wait for final climb today and then go all out tomorrow. No point cooking your team today when there is only really one climb to make any difference
 
Jul 4, 2016
3,523
6,319
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Moncalvillo is a proper wall and everyone will have to fight the gravity on his own. It's finally time for O'Connor to lose the red jersey, I can't imagine any other scenario. Rogla should stick to Mas & Carapaz but I'm not ruling out his attack at some point.
It's finally time for O'Connor to attack. He's going to need more time on Roglic before the tt. #LivingTheDream
 
Apr 8, 2023
5,606
6,548
16,180
Tune in for the last 20 km to see Castrillo get his 3rd stage win?
(#LivingTheDream!) Another break win I'm guessing, (Soler wants that KOM jersey!) with a GC race afterwards.
 
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Jul 1, 2015
6,089
5,391
23,180
Tune in for the last 20 km to see Castrillo get his 3rd stage win?
(#LivingTheDream!) Another break win I'm guessing, (Soler wants that KOM jersey!) with a GC race afterwards.
Kern Pharma has won stages on Thursday, Sunday, Thursday... I see the pattern there.
 
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