I don't think him being overrated would explain his Tour. That would be correct if he rode like Evans. But he got whipped by Greipel on Ventoux for Christ's sake. Maybe he already gave up, but on Ax-3 it wasn't much better. Nobody could say that he is not in the top50 climbers in this race.
He clearly mistimed his peak, although it might not have been a mistiming since at elast this way he won a race, that form would be enough for an outside top10, more like a top20. But there has to be something else, he should do better even in mediocre shape. On the TT, he started out strong, then faded way below his capabilites. He is failing like Pinot and he has this fear+illness combo, something psychological or physical has to be with TJVG as well.
He clearly mistimed his peak, although it might not have been a mistiming since at elast this way he won a race, that form would be enough for an outside top10, more like a top20. But there has to be something else, he should do better even in mediocre shape. On the TT, he started out strong, then faded way below his capabilites. He is failing like Pinot and he has this fear+illness combo, something psychological or physical has to be with TJVG as well.