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Who will beat Cav in the Sprint stage(s) of The Tour?

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Who will beat Cav in the Sprint stage(s) of The Tour?

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Oct 6, 2010
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I think Sagan will come off with the most stage wins of the "sprinters". I doubt that he will be the fastest in a straight up bunch sprint, that will be one of the Germans i suspect. I also have my doubts about Cav, having lost 4kgs im sure his top speed will have been affected but i wouldn't be surprised if he comes off with a stage or two.
 
Jun 4, 2011
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Greipel and Kittel are the most dangerous opponents for Cav.

Also Petacchi has been preparing for this all year long, so i hope he will still be able to do something nice.
 
saganftw said:
sagan bet liquigas boss he will win 2 stages and green jersey :D

Should be very realistic IMO, probably even better. The green jersey hunt might cost him a couple of break away wins though as I guess his competitors' teams for the jersey won't let him slip as easy into the breaks. Much easier to get into a break that is let go if you aren't fighting for green as we saw with Thor and EBH last year.
 
Mar 12, 2010
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Pretty amazing how this thread is turning into "What will Sagan do?" over how will Cav do.

The Man is obviously on people's minds. He must be doing something right.

I forgot all about AleJet...man, the sprint battles should be awesome. I hope Farrar doesn't get in the way (did i say that already?:))!
 
Jul 16, 2010
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jens_attacks said:
sagan won't win any stage in this tour.
kittel,greipel and petacchi will beat him on the flat finales and cav will kick his asz uphill

Lol, because he got second to Lars Boom in an uphill finish? Or because Voigt had an orgasm when he saw Cav behind him on La Redoude when they were riding in "piano" over it?


:rolleyes:
 
Jan 14, 2011
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depends on lead out

in the past Cav was IT. Now his team has other fish to fry, goal wise. PLUS I think he knows his sell-by date is approaching so he is trying to morph into a Green Jersey Guy, not just sprints.
 
Apr 12, 2010
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Cav seems to be very realistic about his chances at the tour this year. I think Griepel & Kittel are the two to watch with Goss nowhere.

"I will win stages but I may not win five," Cavendish said, referring to his 2011 total.

And about the Olympics
"My sprint has suffered a little bit, but the guys who are sprinters, like I was, won't be there in the finish (of the Olympics).
"I am so much faster than the others anyway I can afford to lose a few per cent in the sprint in order to be able to get to the line.

It is worth it this one year, especially when the team is concentrating on the GC (general classification). It is worth doing that for the Olympics."

Read more: http://www.news.com.au/national/cav...ur/story-fn7mjqus-1226402227916#ixzz1yFojkM40
 
Mar 10, 2009
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on3m@n@rmy said:
Sagan.
And if it's just right, Boonen.

What, everybody being DQ-ed, a massive issue which take the real sprinter out of it. His best chance is in a break away group (flash back to Thor's last win).
 
Sagan will get a stage- though it might not be a sprint with Cav in it. Renshaw will get a few 2nd places.

Goss will get a stage and Kittel and Greipel each have the talent to beat Cav in the sprints.

Goss and Greipel i think will be the only 2 to actually beat Cav more than once.
 
greipel more than matched cav for speed at last year's tour, except his positioning was rubbish. always going from a long way out.
with an actual train this year I'd expect him to be in far better contention and to knock cav off on probably more than one occasion

kittel, I feel may be a tad over-awed and not expect the stage pace, so may not be 100% for finales. I could be wrong though.

Goss and the GE 'train' may work, but i'd expect lotto's to be better

would love to see renshaw take a stage, but he'll need to do it a-la mcewen positioning wise and be at the right place at the right time...
 
Sep 24, 2011
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Greipel has very little positional sense

Froome19 said:
Kittel and Greipel assuredly have the pace to beat him and it all depends on positioning.

Well that criterion rules out Greipel entirely.

I've rarely seen a sprinter with worse positional sense.

Greipel's often faster than Cav, but the Manxman has no peers when it comes to positioning.

Just compare them in the Copenhagen world championship road race: Greipel was almost twice as fast in the closing meters, but Cav found the 'impossible' gap to win by meters.