Who will win the 2020 Giro? (Rest day 1 edition)

[Gigs_98]

I think the title speaks for itself. In whose bag is it?

 

[fbjim]

my man McNulty will take two minutes out of the GC guys in both of the remaining TTs and pull it off





OK it'll be Nibali

 

[Summoned]

Almeida. The year of youth and newcomers continues.

 

[ice&fire]

The field is so weak that this could have been a replay of Remco vs Landa in Burgos

I think the title speaks for itself. In whose bag is it?

If you watch: Wilco
Else: Vincenzo

 

[Rollthedice]

Looks like a list of riders for who'll win Giro del Trentino. No Krashweak in the poll? No love for Pozzo yet? Nibali easy, bag ready, pink color.

 

[Amazinmets87]

Majka. He'll go crazy in the high mountains.

 

[Red Rick]

Without cancellations Nibali is still the reasonably big favorite IMO.

 

[Cance > TheRest]

Nibali is still the biggest favourite. That he would lose time today against the more explosive climbers like Fuglsang and Kelderman is not a surprise. I do think that Kruijswijk is slower than usual to get his engine running this year, which to me suggests that he is perhaps not quite there this year. The uncertainty of how Fuglsang and Keldermann will cope with the extreme stages in the third week is what makes Nibali the favourite. So, to sum up, Nibali is mostly the favourite because he is the only rider that I am confident will not crack at any point.

 

[Red Rick]

Nibali is still the biggest favourite. That he would lose time today against the more explosive climbers like Fuglsang and Kelderman is not a surprise. I do think that Kruijswijk is slower than usual to get his engine running this year, which to me suggests that he is perhaps not quite there this year. The uncertainty of how Fuglsang and Keldermann will cope with the extreme stages in the third week is what makes Nibali the favourite. So, to sum up, Nibali is mostly the favourite because he is the only rider that I am confident will not crack at any point.

Yes, and the fact that he was one of the 3 strongest on the only 50 minute climb they did so far too. And I still trust him to at least nail Kelderman in a big descent somewhere if it really comes down to it.

 

[Red Rick]

Right. If Nibali is to lose, it must be to the most random guy possible.

Jai Hindley

 

[Gigs_98]

Oops, completely forgot Kruijswijk.
Should I edit the poll? I guess the votes so far would get lost

 

[Red Rick]

Oops, completely forgot Kruijswijk.
Should I edit the poll? I guess the votes so far would get lost

Addem him. Doesn't reset votes if you don't click that option. We can change votes anyway so unless Hindley wins (obviously) we'll all look like gurus at the end of the day

 

[jnormanroach]

Voted for Fuglsang, even though I agree he has giant question marks in the high mountains if we get there. Hope he rides aggressively tomorrow and tries to take time when the stages play to his advantage. #fuglsanggang

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

I still think the 3rd week mountains suit Nibali and Kruijswijk the most. And although Kruijswijk lost more time than Nibali so far I'm still quietly confident of his 3rd week. So I voted Kruijswijk.
If not him, than Nibali.

Although I love to see Kelderman winning, I don't see it happening. He's also not the best when it comes to GT consistency and always has at least a 'lesser' day where he loses a minute or 2, which is too much if you want to win.
Same with Fuglsang btw

 

[Kaptain Kool]

Voted for Vino but now it says my vote went to Kruijswijk. Not my first choice but why not throw him a bone?

 

[Blanco]

Vino will win this.

 

[Escarabajo]

Undecided. So I am sticking with my original pick. The red hair Dutchman. I had Vlasov in second place and he is gone so Nibali moves up 1 place.

The reason why I picked Kruijswijk before the race is because of the third week.

 

[Logic-is-your-friend]

Voted for the fake new Merckx, he looks strong and of all the guys still in contention, he's probably the guy i like most. I don't think Almeida climbs well enough, and while i'd be perfectly ok with Vanhoucke, that's just not happening.

 

[Koronin]

Voted for Nibali. However, this is still 2020 and taking that into consideration anyone who can climb and finishes the race could end up the winner at this rate.

 

[markene2]

Thanks for including Vino in the poll.

Pozzo will win this bike race

 

[Volderke]

I clicked on the name in capital letters. It was too attractive not to click on that name.
I feel the Pern!

seriously: could Kelderman win this? He seems very strong at this moment.

 

[Velolover2]

Kelderman IMO. Nibali is a huge question mark and Fuglsang doesn't have a team for the high mountains.

Sunweb should go full Jumbo in the Tour if they showed some willingness to lead.

Matthews could be the Giro's Wout if they stepped up. There are 3 or 4 stages that Matthews can survive that could cause even Sagan some problems. (10, 13, 16 and perhaps 12)

 

[42x16ss]

No obvious favourite for me. Was thinking Fuglsang before Vlasov and Lopez crashed, but now the most likely scenario for me is Nibali forcing a major error out of someone in the third week - if we can get to the true mountains.

Kruiswijk looks slightly off the pace to me, while Kelderman's team has been very good. IMHO Kelderman is just as likely to totally fumble and barely make the top 10 as he is to push on and win. Almeida has been good so far but not seeing him hold on.

I'd really love to see it come down to the likes of McNulty and Hindley, with the changing of the guard continuing but not sure they're on that kind of level yet. Really wishing Haig hadn't lost time.

 

[jnormanroach]

Kelderman IMO. Nibali is a huge question mark and Fuglsang doesn't have a team for the high mountains.

Sunweb should go full Jumbo in the Tour if they showed some willingness to lead.

Matthews could be the Giro's Wout if they stepped up. There are 3 or 4 stages that Matthews can survive that could cause even Sagan some problems. (10, 13, 16 and perhaps 12)

Astana team is basically non-existent, but the Etna stage and today's stage really make me think that none of the contenders are going to have any help at the end of these high mountain stages, at which point if they are all level on time it's going to come down to who has the best individual legs.

 

[Cookster15]

Voted for Fuglsang to finally deliver but not very confident. I still hope Nibali can pull it off. Glad there is optimism for him here after today's stage. Yes of course Nibali always shines in the 3rd week and count him out at at your peril. But Kelderman is only 29 and Fuglsang a late bloomer so it will be interesting. As an Aussie I am happy to see Jay Hindley in the mix another GC rider to cheer for. He's only 24 so that is rather exciting.