Who wins the 2016 Tour?

Page 3 - Get up to date with the latest news, scores & standings from the Cycling News Community.

Who wins the 2016 Tour de France

  • Froome

    Votes: 65 39.9%
  • Contador

    Votes: 57 35.0%
  • Aru

    Votes: 2 1.2%
  • Quintana

    Votes: 32 19.6%
  • Other

    Votes: 7 4.3%

  • Total voters
    163
Jul 29, 2012
11,703
4
0
Re: Re:

SeriousSam said:
Miburo said:
I don't see any reason why he can't have his shape of 2014 again but you never know. I know froome and quintana will be ready, objectively you really can't know about contador although i believe in him.
Didn't you also 'know' that Nibali was ready for 2015? No one is guaranteed to show up at close to their best.

But their chance of getting ready is way bigger than contador, it's not even the new season and you're already starting off as annoying.
 
May 27, 2014
2,432
86
11,580
Re:

AlexNYC said:
I picked Quintana. It's hard to look past Froome, but some people forget that Quintana would likely have won this year if not for Movistar's error in the second stage. Next year's Tour suits Nairo even more than this year's, so I think it will be hard for Froome to beat him again.

Of course, this is all predicated by both being in the same shape as this year's. I think Contador is a little past his prime and his team is not great while exactly the opposite is true for his main rivals. All things being equal, I don't see how he can overcome that.

I don't think that next year's Tour suits Quintana more. It is not very good for someone that just hits a peak for 3-4 days.
This year's Tour was his chance and he completely blew it. Of course I might be wrong, but 2015 route was tailor-made for him
 
May 4, 2011
4,285
783
17,680
Re:

Dazed and Confused said:
Froome will take his 3rd win.
Looking forward to see Porte in BMC colours
I think Porte will be out of contention on the first rest day already. Tejay may last up until stage 14. BMC may want to focus on stage wins instead.
 
Apr 6, 2015
828
1
4,985
Re: Re:

damian13ster said:
I don't think that next year's Tour suits Quintana more. It is not very good for someone that just hits a peak for 3-4 days.
This year's Tour was his chance and he completely blew it. Of course I might be wrong, but 2015 route was tailor-made for him

LOL, how did he blow it? His team did a terrible job in the second stage, and he still came very close to winning at the end. If Sky had made a similar error, Quintana would have won instead; thus, the difference was that Sky did what they had to do while Movistar didn't.

About next year's Tour, you might be right. There isn't a stage like Alp d'Huez, which seems to be Nairo's specialty, but there are enough mountains where I think Quintana could gain time. This year Quintana knew he had Alpe d'Huez where he could make up a lot of time, so he didn't attack earlier and tried to save himself. Next year we will see him attacking a lot earlier. Also, I'm probably in the minority, but I think those two time trials will play into his hands. He won't beat Froome in the flat TT, but he could have a net gain in both.
 
Apr 6, 2015
828
1
4,985
Re: Re:

18-Valve. (pithy) said:
Dazed and Confused said:
Froome will take his 3rd win.
Looking forward to see Porte in BMC colours
I think Porte will be out of contention on the first rest day already. Tejay may last up until stage 14. BMC may want to focus on stage wins instead.

I think Tejay would be better served by taking a year off from the Tour. I really don't see how he could do a top five next year, plus the Giro route might suit him well.
 
Apr 12, 2015
7,060
1,204
20,680
Re: Re:

AlexNYC said:
18-Valve. (pithy) said:
Dazed and Confused said:
Froome will take his 3rd win.
Looking forward to see Porte in BMC colours
I think Porte will be out of contention on the first rest day already. Tejay may last up until stage 14. BMC may want to focus on stage wins instead.

I think Tejay would be better served by taking a year off from the Tour. I really don't see how he could do a top five next year, plus the Giro route might suit him well.
Yeah, Tejay should consider the Giro. Podium is even possible now that all the big guns are focusing on the Tour.
 
Oct 6, 2009
5,270
2
0
Re: Re:

Contador wins, uniting with his acolyte Aru to light up the race with scathing attacks that destroy Froome, particularly in the third week when Dawg fades badly. Nairo to come strong in the last week, but having been too cautious earlier in the race, he finishes 2nd. Valverde works well for Nairo, wins a stage, and comes 6th, then goes on to medal in Rio.

While Alberto and Aru are getting along great guns, Vino and Oleg have a huge disagreement and demand that the two stars cease working together, because each wants to destroy the other guy's team. The riders ignore the bosses, and continue to work together. One day, back in the convoy, it all comes to a head when Vino and Oleg start screaming obscenities in Russian at each other from the team cars. We see a little demolition derby action, until Faustino is finally forced to sucker-punch Oleg to shut him up. Both Vino and Oleg are thrown off the race, and the UCI revokes their credentials from all races for the rest of the year. Alberto and Fabio continue to work together happily, with Tiralongo working hard, and Sagan (green jersey secure) especially enjoying the all the drama, including riding alongside a cracked Froome and doing wheelies up the mountainside whilst Dawg studies his powermeter numbers in disbelief.

At some point, Landa gets tired of babysitting Froome during the Aru/Contador attacks, so he takes off on his own and wins the stage. He is very happy about this, but Brailsford isn't. Cound is furious, and begins a twitter war with Landa. (I don't know if Landa has twitter. If he doesn't, Cound will come to the forum and argue with Taxus instead :p)

LRP and Teeeeejayyyyy spend the whole three weeks fighting for leadership, carefully protecting their spots between 7th and 10th on GC. Ochowicz attempts to save BMC's race from the PR disaster by winning the coveted teams classification, but alas, Movistar takes that again, as per usual.

As far as the flat stages go, let's just say that Cav discovers that Farrar is a bit of a liability as a leadout man.

---

BigMac said:
Dazed and Confused said:
Froome will take his 3rd win.
Looking forward to see Porte in BMC colours

Mucho this. I can start to like him now.

Oh hell no. It ain't as desperate as all that. No reason on earth to start liking LRP. :p
 
Oct 4, 2012
293
5
9,045
Quintana will naturally attack more and also more opportunities/less time hanging on through cobble stages/etc...all wishful thinking at this point but will make for a good race
 
Nov 26, 2014
534
5
4,595
Re: Re:

damian13ster said:
I don't think that next year's Tour suits Quintana more. It is not very good for someone that just hits a peak for 3-4 days.
This year's Tour was his chance and he completely blew it. Of course I might be wrong, but 2015 route was tailor-made for him

that is actually a good point and for me another reason that Contador will be main favourite for me, do not know what to expect from Froome, he is probably strongest in the terms of power but still I am hoping he will be surprised somehow somewhere
 
Aug 3, 2015
22,743
10,688
28,180
Re: Re:

bassano said:
damian13ster said:
I don't think that next year's Tour suits Quintana more. It is not very good for someone that just hits a peak for 3-4 days.
This year's Tour was his chance and he completely blew it. Of course I might be wrong, but 2015 route was tailor-made for him

that is actually a good point and for me another reason that Contador will be main favourite for me, do not know what to expect from Froome, he is probably strongest in the terms of power but still I am hoping he will be surprised somehow somewhere

If, objectively, you feel Contador is the favorite (which he totally isnt), then you should seriously consider throwing a few hundred bucks or more after him since he is at around 6-10 the money again.

Not the best route for Tejay and Richie. I never expected TJ to do anything more than top-5 at best, but Richie can potentially podium, or even win. They should be the ones who are the most disappointed about the route. For all it matters, I think its pretty equal to Contador, Quintana and Froome. The latter would obviously have preferred more ITT, but with 4 MTF's (one of them being Ventoux where he still should be fresh), I think he will be moderately happy about this one since is kinda similar to 2013 with 4 MTF (1 Pyrenees, Ventoux and 2 Alps) without too much bad weather, cobbles and other things shitty northern France has to offer (not that I dont like cobbles, it just sucks when they spend 10 days in totally flat country).
 
Mar 10, 2009
9,245
23
17,530
Gigs_98 said:
I don't know why there is already a poll for this race, but okay.
I voted for Contador, not because he is my favorite rider, but because I just have the feeling he will show his power one last time. Would be great to see him winning the tdf in his last season

...because of the Tour parcours being officially announced? Plus what else are we to banter about with the season over? :D
 
May 9, 2014
5,230
108
17,680
Angliru said:
Gigs_98 said:
I don't know why there is already a poll for this race, but okay.
I voted for Contador, not because he is my favorite rider, but because I just have the feeling he will show his power one last time. Would be great to see him winning the tdf in his last season

...because of the Tour parcours being officially announced? Plus what else are we to banter about with the season over? :D

There's always the clinic :D
 
Voting for Contador, and even if he doesn't make it, I still hope that he can make a spectacle (Think he can make the Culoz stage to a Fuente Dé 2.0)! And I am optimistic regarding Pinots chance for top-5. No cobbles, not to much time trialling, and Ventoux on the 14th of July :D Hoping that he can overcome his fear of speed though..
 
May 19, 2011
1,638
718
12,680
Re:

nayr497 said:
Here's to hoping someone more exciting than Froome wins it.

:confused: His style isn't easy on the eye, but the guy attacks left and right, and rides with heart and courage. What the hell do you want?
 
Feb 20, 2012
53,946
44,330
28,180
Hey guys I got an idea, let's look at the betting odds to determine who's got the most chance of winning
 
Feb 18, 2015
13,820
9,811
28,180
Ramon Koran said:
nayr497 said:
Here's to hoping someone more exciting than Froome wins it.
Is this a joke, he is by far the most aggressive on climbs.
rick james said:
nayr497 said:
Here's to hoping someone more exciting than Froome wins it.
More exciting?? do you miss Froome attacking every chance he gets?
King Of The Wolds said:
nayr497 said:
Here's to hoping someone more exciting than Froome wins it.

:confused: His style isn't easy on the eye, but the guy attacks left and right, and rides with heart and courage. What the hell do you want?

Seriously? "Most aggressive" "attacking every chance he gets" "attacks left and right"
I'm not saying that froome doesnt attack, but he surely isnt any better than other riders. He only attacks on final climbs and he always attacks when the sky train is spent. The point is that when a sky rider sets a ridiculously high pace, nobody else can attack, and when froome is the strongest rider (which is often the case) the one attack he does just automatically prevents all other attacks.
I can completely understand nayr497. A rider who only attacks in expected situation and never wins by tactics but pure power on the last climb isnt attractive to watch. Sky always tries to control the race, even if it doesn't make any sense (vuelta 2014), he normally has such a strong team, so even if someone else is stronger and does a long range attack he can hide behind his domestic's and watch them how they close the gap (tdf 2015) and (as it was already mentioned) his "elbows out" riding style just looks horrible. Okay, maybe some people like that, everyone as he wants, and I can imagine that many people like his destroyer attacks (PSM was actually a very good stage, even I agree), but IMO a rider should be called an aggressive rider, if he does crazy long range attacks, and just does everything he can to get time, and not if he does predictable (but ofc. very good) attacks from a few kilometers out.
 
May 27, 2014
2,432
86
11,580
But Froome does do everything he can to get time? Hence the attacks.
Am I missing something here? Do you have to be weaker in order to be considered aggressive?

Just look at the Quintana's Giro or Aru's Vuelta win. Completely opposite to what Froome is doing when demolishing everyone in Tour
 
Jun 10, 2010
19,897
2,256
25,680
Quintana won that Giro by following thicker wheels than usual. No way he's more attacking than Froome.
 
Feb 18, 2015
13,820
9,811
28,180
Re:

damian13ster said:
But Froome does do everything he can to get time? Hence the attacks.
Am I missing something here? Do you have to be weaker in order to be considered aggressive?

Just look at the Quintana's Giro or Aru's Vuelta win. Completely opposite to what Froome is doing when demolishing everyone in Tour
I don't say he does something wrong, but that doesnt mean he is the most aggressive rider. Just as an example:
A rider absolutely dominates a race in a TT before the first mountain stage. He has a huge advantage and doesnt attack anymore on the moutain stages which are left, because he doesnt have to. He didnt do a tactical mistake, but you can still not call him the most aggressive rider. And as we have seen in the vuelta 2014 his riding style doesnt change if he is weaker and if he has a disadvantage.
And what do you mean with Quintana/Aru? Quintana was ill in the first week of the giro 2013 so he only attacked in the last two. But even then he wasnt so much better, so you can't really blame him (also because besides that he made an attack with which he got 4 minutes on Uran. This is the kind of racing I want to see). And if you want to blame him that he didnt attack on the other stages, what has Froome done after his LPSM this year. Aru on the other hand tried and tried to drop dumoulin but couldn't. And once again, the way he finally got the time. Thats how racing should look like.
 
Aug 31, 2012
7,550
3
0
In a game where the players play optimally, aggressive as you define it amounts to not being the strongest climber.
 
May 15, 2011
45,171
617
24,680
Re:

Red Rick said:
Hey guys I got an idea, let's look at the betting odds to determine who's got the most chance of winning
:D

I am actually considering throwing some change on a Contador win at a bookmaker but I've never done any betting :rolleyes: