Wallace and Gromit said:Although I'm a big Wiggo fan, I think he got very lucky in this year's Tour with its course and the quality of opposition. Most of the major GT contenders either prioritised (or appeared to) the Giro or the Vuelta. And obviously Berto was banned and Schleck Junior injured. He only had to contend with an out of form Evans, Nibali (on a TTers course) and Chris Froome's girlfriend. In a more normal year, I don't think he'd have enjoyed the same level of success.
In short, good the Wiggo is, I don't think he's particularly close to Lemond et al in ability on the road.
Agreed. It will certainly be harder to pull it off again next year. Aside from the perfect storm of lucky breaks he/SKY had this year, there's also the question of motivation. Will he be able to motivate himself to train the same way...endure the same privations (being away from family etc) to the same degree again? It might be harder to get the team working in the same way too...especially if Froome fancies the MJ.