MVDP does have a chance but it comes down to tactics. Also, don't know if MVDP will have someone like Vollering who will just chase down any move for him.
I'd like to think most of the favourites in the men's race, race smarter too, and also have the strength to drop riders not contributing in groups. No ones going to give Pog as many tows round a course like Kopecky got or just sit in a group to allow strong riders back in.