BullsFan22 said:
I hope it's Le Pen vs Melenchon in the the run-off on May 7th. This would ensure that France will leave the EU. After Brexit, and a potential Frexit, the EU will continue its slow death. In fact, it will create a bigger ripple effect and other countries will follow suit. Non-establishment parties and candidates and Eurosceptics have grown in countries like Italy, Netherlands, Denmark, Sweden, to name a few. People are starting to realize that the EU is not run well. It needs to be fixed, if not burned to the ground (metaphorically speaking).
Fixed, not burned to the ground. There's no need to do that. Either way, as echoes said, Le Pen was ambivalent about the EU, she just wanted to leave the euro (which would've probably caused them to leave the EU). Melenchon only wanted to renegotiate the treaties, especially the economic ones.
Of course the EU needs reform, but it's overall effect on countries I believe is positive. It does free up trade massively, and that helps countries' economies. There are a few restrictions that are ridiculous (like the anti-nationalisation ones and anti workers rights ones) but there are also many which help worker's rights and especially the environment. A few tweaks will eliminate wages going down due to immigrants undercutting local people, which is one of the main problems. But let's face it: life in Europe is better now than before the EU. The idea is noble and essentially good imo, but the direction is wrong. However, if people focused on the European elections, that direction could change drastically and Juncker kicked out. It's not a given that Merkel's politics must run the EU - it's just how it has played out because of elections in Europe.
The Eurosceptics in Netherlands are in the minority, as we found out, and the M5S position on Europe changes on the daily. Frankly, the UK leaving the EU leaves the EU in a better place, and the negotiations that will come can be used to deter any other country from leaving. Or at least deter them from making the same stupid demands May has.
The EU also has the blessing not to be subject to one government's whimsical desires on which trade deals or laws to approve. There is normally always one or two countries (normally belgium, specifically the Walloons) who oppose and veto the likes of TTIP. Without the EU, it is possible that most of the biggest European countries would have ended up with a TTIP-like deal. In some cases (UK), more extreme.
Anyway, Macron and Le Pen will probably reach the second round, so no massive drama. Macron will probably beat Le Pen, unless if she manages a 10 point swing in the next two weeks. But not even Trump managed that, and he was against Hillary Clinton. It's a very similar match up, except both in France are probably more desirable than the US duo.
It's quite a disappointing result for Le Pen, really. People have spoken of her and her party's excellent performance this year but it's not massively better than under her father (5% or so), who unlike Marine had no qualms about making outlandish statements about the Holocaust and had no interest in ever actually taking power.