StanJames opened Cav's odds at 34 and Farrar's at 14.
But they cap your bets, then they reduce the odds heavily you won't be able to get much on.
But they cap your bets, then they reduce the odds heavily you won't be able to get much on.
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skidmark said:I'm wondering if maybe the fact that so many quality sprinters are in the field might even open up the GC a bit. Last year, Griepel won by 11 seconds over LL Sanchez, but had something like 12 bonus seconds over him by virtue of winning 3 stages vs Sanchez's 1. But if the top sprinters switch up victories between, say, Griepel, Farrar and Cav, that could open the door for someone like Ballan or Bobridge or even more of a climber to get enough seconds in Stirling or Willunga to win the overall... anyone else think this is possible?
Sasquatch said:Looking at the longer odds
Ballan 51
Rojas 81
Rojas came third in 2008 and 2009 but bombed last year.
BMC want early points and Ballan is their man to get the Stirling stage and attack on Willunga
Again, if Cav wins stage 1, stage 2, stage 4, stage 6 then he should battle well enough on stage 5 to take the win.
auscyclefan94 said:Kristoff is very good value at $34.
.
auscyclefan94 said:IASBET has got Cav and Greipel at equal favourites. Henderson's odds are way to short but Kristoff is very good value at $34.
Sasquatch said:No chance.
Won't run top 15 overall.
Timmy-loves-Rabo said:lol nope, not at all.
for a guy who didn't record a single victory last year to have odds that shorts is surprising.
Considering his results and reputation I wouldn't bet on him unless his odds were 80+. In reality he has no chance at TDU overall.
@sasquatch
rojas is definitely worth a go. decent odds.
Timmy-loves-Rabo said:lol nope, not at all.
for a guy who didn't record a single victory last year to have odds that shorts is surprising.
Considering his results and reputation I wouldn't bet on him unless his odds were 80+. In reality he has no chance at TDU overall.
@sasquatch
rojas is definitely worth a go. decent odds.
blaxland said:For me Matt Goss/Simon Gerrans/Rojas all should be considered favourites,but much depends on what happens on Willunga hill.
Timmy-loves-Rabo said:ehh.. gerrans really? i very highly doubht that.
he won't feature in the sprint stages, and the time bonuses gained their will be to much for gerrans to get back on the wilunga stage, which wasn't enough for the likes of valverde, LLS, valverde, sagan etc, so i'm guessing it certainly wont be enough for gerrans
This is a sprinters race, and this year's field suggest it will be even more so this year. Griepel is certainly a favorite, along with the other obvious choices.
Timmy-loves-Rabo said:ehh.. gerrans really? i very highly doubht that.
he won't feature in the sprint stages, and the time bonuses gained their will be to much for gerrans to get back on the wilunga stage, which wasn't enough for the likes of valverde, LLS, valverde, sagan etc, so i'm guessing it certainly wont be enough for gerrans
This is a sprinters race, and this year's field suggest it will be even more so this year. Griepel is certainly a favorite, along with the other obvious choices.
That last question made no sense whatsoever. Cavendish looks completely bewildered, with good reason.auscyclefan94 said:
Roland Rat said:I wouldn't be surprised if Cav et al work for Goss*. He was my pick for the Nationals and is clearly in good form. I think he's in for a big season, will do well in the early classics (possible MSR depending on Cav's form), and wouldn't be surprised if he wins Paris-Tours. Could well have a Boonen-esque season.
* but also because I can't see the point in Cav taking on Greipel, he's got bigger fish to fry later this year than get caught up in a silly early-season pi55ing contest that could affect his form building.
Well this is what The Great Alexander Kristoff saidTimmy-loves-Rabo said:lol nope, not at all.
for a guy who didn't record a single victory last year to have odds that shorts is surprising.
Considering his results and reputation I wouldn't bet on him unless his odds were 80+. In reality he has no chance at TDU overall.
@sasquatch
rojas is definitely worth a go. decent odds.
Laughed at the part how Cav talked down the rivalry between him and Greipel.maltiv said:That last question made no sense whatsoever. Cavendish looks completely bewildered, with good reason.
maltiv said:That last question made no sense whatsoever. Cavendish looks completely bewildered, with good reason.
hughmoore said:Yep, Tomaris was clutching at straws, because Cav wouldnt even mention Greipel by name.
Given his lack of interest in talking up the rivalry to generate interest, cant see Cav getting a big share of the Lance's appearance fee next year.
Hugh
I have watched these guys twice now, and I already want to strangle them. Is that normal?auscyclefan94 said:IN another video today he craps on about how the sprinter has changed.
Tour down under preview
Tomalaris said he had 16 sprinters listed, Kristoff was not listed.
theyoungest said:I have watched these guys twice now, and I already want to strangle them. Is that normal?
BTW, I don't really get your comment about Greipel and getting used to his leadout train, as his entire leadout has moved from HTC to Lotto.