I guess this years Vuelta could turn out to be quite interesting. It all will depend (i) on who lines up at the start and )ii) if - as often in the Vuelta - a surprise climber will show up who mixes up the overall.
i: If there will be a serious line-up of in-form contenders for three-week-races, it will be interesting to see how AC does. I mean, it is one thing to ride a three-week-tour against a virtually nonexistent competition like his 2011-Giro-"Not-Win" or against a competitive field like in the 2010-Tour (won by AS) and the 2011 Tour (won by CE). I hope for the Vuelta that other big guns will turn up there to make it a race. If AC will be the only serious contender, of course he will win it, If not, the race will be open.
ii: I wonder who will turn up as this years surprise. Any tips for who could be the next Froome, Cobo (no clinic implications)? I would say Rolland, but he already had a strong showing in lsat years Tour and therefore woul dnot be a surprise.