2015 Giro Stage 14: Treviso – Valdobbiadene 59.4 kms ITT

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Escarabajo

Escarabajo

Apr 16, 2009
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6,854
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Re: Stage 14: Treviso – Valdobbiadene 59.4 kms ITT

Taxus4a said:
Red Rick said:
Contador may have lost minutes if this was the first week of the freaking Dauphine. It isn't. It's two weeks into a tough, hard-raced Giro d'Italia and he's improving every step of the way compared to his opponents. There's no great flat tt'ers there, he'll very likely top 5
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Are you sure?

This is at the end of Tour de France: (35 position, 5: 43)

http://www.cyclingnews.com/races/tour-de-france-2010/stage-19/results

The wind changed, but when he won in Annecy, just 40 Km, changed to his favour.

Why dont have any similar reference after his comeback. The best is last year Vuelta ITT, but it was shorter. Alberto did well, but no super.
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That TT is a bad example because the wind changed direction and that affected Contador negatively in a big way. Same to other riders.
 
D

deValtos

Nov 29, 2010
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Aru starts behind Contador ? So unless Contador is stupidly slow and gets overtaken by Aru before reovertaking him that's not going to happen.
 
Velolover2

Velolover2

Apr 12, 2015
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This changed everything.

Contador to actually do an effort tomorrow. He will be winning the pink back and finish in top 3.
Aru do to good (but not good enough) in order to try defending the jersey. With a little help from the Italian motorcycles a top 10 is possible.
Uran to win the TT and move to 2nd in the GC.
Porte to become completely demoralized. Losing 10 minutes.
 
S

Sasquatch

Sep 16, 2009
3,164
4
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Re:

Velolover2 said:
This changed everything.

Contador to actually do an effort tomorrow. He will be winning the pink back and finish in top 3.
Aru do to good (but not good enough) in order to try defending the jersey. With a little help from the Italian motorcycles a top 10 is possible.
Uran to win the TT and move to 2nd in the GC.
Porte to become completely demoralized. Losing 10 minutes.
Click to expand...

Porte will fight back only to crack on Tuesday' stage.
 
Velolover2

Velolover2

Apr 12, 2015
7,060
1,204
20,680
Re: Re:

Sasquatch said:
Velolover2 said:
This changed everything.

Contador to actually do an effort tomorrow. He will be winning the pink back and finish in top 3.
Aru do to good (but not good enough) in order to try defending the jersey. With a little help from the Italian motorcycles a top 10 is possible.
Uran to win the TT and move to 2nd in the GC.
Porte to become completely demoralized. Losing 10 minutes.
Click to expand...

Porte will fight back only to crack on Tuesday' stage.
Click to expand...

That scenario could happen too. I think he will be going to hard on the flat part of the TT and crack on the hilly part.
 
coppino

coppino

May 20, 2015
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Aru lost 1'23" in the Vuelta TT by Contador in 37 km (but it was uphill and downhill, no or very little flat if I remember ocrrectly. Should be in the range of 2'30".
 
Miburo

Miburo

Jul 29, 2012
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Re:

LaFlorecita said:
At least, Landa is an even worse TTer than Aru, so I guess Alberto can catch him.
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I think he had a good chance to catch aru. Sorry to make you even more sad fleur ;)
 
M

mihhint

May 20, 2014
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I would expect that Landa and Cataldo will go full gas but won't challenge for the win. Kangert or Lulu could win if allowed to go full gas. It wouldn't surprise me if all 4 get the green light.
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I don't think Astana will have Kangert going full gas just for possible top3 finish and minor chance of a stage win when they have 3 in GC and going for it already. Esp given last week support needed, how he's far from GC, and prolly tour to come for him as well. He didn't even go for it in 2nd TT of his last Giro in 13 and he was pretty high up in GC then. Although back then Astana prolly already knew they had the stage with Nibali, so no need for 1-2 :p
 
DirtyWorks

DirtyWorks

Feb 10, 2010
10,645
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22,510
Re:

Velolover2 said:
This changed everything.

Contador to actually do an effort tomorrow. He will be winning the pink back and finish in top 3.
Aru do to good (but not good enough) in order to try defending the jersey. With a little help from the Italian motorcycles a top 10 is possible.
Uran to win the TT and move to 2nd in the GC.
Porte to become completely demoralized. Losing 10 minutes.
Click to expand...

Does Contador do a "revenge" ride? Or, does he do just enough to get where he can finish in first by the last day?

Porte's got to have an awesome day tomorrow. He won his national TT title this year in a dominating fashion. So, he's got to bring what he apparently has had since January. If he doesn't move up dramatically on GC, then he's mentally too fragile to be a GC leader.

Meanwhile, Contador as cool as ever.
 
DirtyWorks

DirtyWorks

Feb 10, 2010
10,645
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22,510
What are the opinions on a likely podium? Almost 60K and pretty difficult terrain.

I imagine Contador and Porte as top-5 but I don't follow racing close enough to know who else can TT well at grand tours at this distance. Uran needs to do very, very well but it doesn't seem like he's got the power.

This should really re-sort the GC.
 
Maaaaaaaarten

Maaaaaaaarten

Oct 23, 2011
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I wonder how JVDB will do. His TT in Romandie was really good. So far he's raced attentively not loosing any time in the various difficult stages, but his climbing simply wasn't good enough on the real climbing stages. However, his climbing in Romandie was also mediocre, but then he went on to get 4th in the TT in a good field. Of course that TT was 17km and this one is 60km, so we'll have to see, but he might surprise, like he surprised in Romandie this year.
 
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