Jelantik said:Sasquatch said:I said it once and I'll say it again
Manuele Boaro
maybe mick rogers
Rogers won't go full gas. Rogers and Kreuziger need to be freshened for the mountains so will take it easy. Saxo need a marker guide for Contador so that's where Boaro comes into the equation!
Anyone got a schedule for when each rider will start?
Or i'm only interested in the top guys, please post if anyone got it.
Or i'm only interested in the top guys, please post if anyone got it.
- Feb 23, 2014
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- Aug 6, 2010
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Sasquatch said:Jelantik said:Sasquatch said:I said it once and I'll say it again
Manuele Boaro
maybe mick rogers
Rogers won't go full gas. Rogers and Kreuziger need to be freshened for the mountains so will take it easy. Saxo need a marker guide for Contador so that's where Boaro comes into the equation!
Given how well Kreuziger is going on GC, I'd imagine that the team would want him to do a decent time trial. Saxo might end up with two riders on the podium in Milan, and regardless of that aim, it's handy to have Roman well placed on GC, just in the event that anything bad did happen to Alberto.
And in this Giro it seems that anything can happen.
Been a while since Kreuziger has done a really good TT but he should do okay and better than many of the other GC contenders like Landa and Aru. Uran, Contador and Zakarin should all do well pending injuries for the first two. If Porte starts I would hope to see a good ride.
- May 22, 2014
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Do your prediction. Then go look at the following two days; a 3-mountain day (with a mtn top finish), and then a rest day. Then go back and fix your prediction.
No GC rider is going to go all-out on a long, lumpy TT, and lose minutes the next day. Alberto and Fabio will be watching each other's times, and both will be watching Uran who will be trying to make up some time. Porte will only go for the win if he's conceded GC, and/or has decided to soon abandon. If he wants to stay with Contador & Aru the following day, he'll need to save something.
Guys like Cataldo, Caruso, Amador, van den Broeck are too close to top 5 to gain in the TT and lose double or triple that the next day. Hesjedal will do well, he rides well in the wet and won't be marked in a TT. Maybe a Zakarin, who's an hour down, but Katusha might want to save him for Trofimov, who's still in there at 3:15 down. Boaro might go hard.
The TT winner will be:
- someone further down GC,
- who is not needed as a critical climbing lieutenant (and that includes Kreuziger),
- who is capable of exerting the same effort as an hour record,
- who's DS has given him permission to kill himself and catch the bus the next day up to Campiglio,
- and possibly from half of the Giro teams, who don't have anybody in the top-20; Lotto-Jumbo, Giant, Orica, Lampre, Ag2r, IAM, Trek, Bardiani, Southeast, Androni, CCC.
- May 9, 2010
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Re:
2012 Kessiakoff would, yes. Every other edition of Kessiakoff would have a hard time cracking top 20.wirral said:
- May 9, 2010
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Prediction time:
- Contador will be the best of the GC riders
- Aru will lose less than 1,5 minute to the best of the GC riders
- Pirazzi will top 10
- Kiryienka will win
- Contador will be the best of the GC riders
- Aru will lose less than 1,5 minute to the best of the GC riders
- Pirazzi will top 10
- Kiryienka will win
In normal circumstances I would expect Porte to beat Landa by at least enough time to be ahead of him in GC at the end of the stage, but Astana is super strong and Porte who knows.
Contador, Porte and Uran have all proved themselves to be able to do excellent TTs at times, Aru has not so it is hard to see him not lose significant time to at least a couple of them. Cataldo has also done very good TTs, should be the best Astana rider if he rides it at 100%.
Ulissi finished second in last years TT.
Hesjedal finished 30 secs behind Aru in last years TT.
Contador, Porte and Uran have all proved themselves to be able to do excellent TTs at times, Aru has not so it is hard to see him not lose significant time to at least a couple of them. Cataldo has also done very good TTs, should be the best Astana rider if he rides it at 100%.
Ulissi finished second in last years TT.
Hesjedal finished 30 secs behind Aru in last years TT.
- Apr 15, 2014
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And it doesn't add up. *If* the top guys are just content to stay close to each other and not lose too much time, it only takes one of them to go 100% and the rest have to do that as well. Besides, if one rider knows his strength is in TT compared to his rivals, why the hell would he hold back? Additionally, the course is too long with too few time checks to closely 'match' your rivals along the course. It's all very far-fetched.
That's some weird *** right here.MotorRouleur said:
And it doesn't add up. *If* the top guys are just content to stay close to each other and not lose too much time, it only takes one of them to go 100% and the rest have to do that as well. Besides, if one rider knows his strength is in TT compared to his rivals, why the hell would he hold back? Additionally, the course is too long with too few time checks to closely 'match' your rivals along the course. It's all very far-fetched.
- Jul 16, 2011
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If it were 20-25km, it would be perfect for him. Chavanel seems to rely on power rather than technique. He goes out fast and tends to fade in longer TTs. His best results are in short/medium TTs, this is not the perfect stage for him, even when in top form.
Velolover2 said:
If it were 20-25km, it would be perfect for him. Chavanel seems to rely on power rather than technique. He goes out fast and tends to fade in longer TTs. His best results are in short/medium TTs, this is not the perfect stage for him, even when in top form.
- Mar 31, 2010
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- May 9, 2010
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Re:
Rain. I read somewhere that the wind will be pretty strong as well and that it will be likely to change direction during the day.
mrhender said:
Rain. I read somewhere that the wind will be pretty strong as well and that it will be likely to change direction during the day.
- May 15, 2011
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but I'm not a professional sooooo..
When I ride with 25kph headwind I lose 25% of my speedmrhender said:
but I'm not a professional sooooo..Re:
I just looked at some weather sites at they say wind light from NW or NE in the afternoon as far as I could tell. Wind to change direction late morning.
mrhender said:
I just looked at some weather sites at they say wind light from NW or NE in the afternoon as far as I could tell. Wind to change direction late morning.
Hepburn third to start should be the first to finish if he try for a good time. Might hold the lead for a reasonable while, maybe until Durbridge.
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