2015 Tour de France Stage 6: Abbeville-Le Havre 191.5km

[FoxxyBrown1111]

Re: Re:

Hasn't Sagan got the better of Degenkolb in every terrain so far?

Like yesterday for example?

Sagan worked a lot for contador yesterday, you can't compare there performances

You have a point here... as I have for not reading too much into one stage... still 50/50 for me... we´ll see.

 

[DFA123]

Re:

Two for Purito?

I think he's got a great chance, especially with Valverde seemingy not on top form.

Here's the last kilometres of LBL. Basically 1km at 7km followed by a false flat to the line. Almost identical to the final kilometres of stage 6.

Obviously the stage itself is nowhere near as hard as LBL, but the riders are tired from five days of (mostly) hard racing. So the climbers should at least have a chance. A sprinter (most likely Sagan) may make it across to a reduced final bunch, but if Rodriguez, Valverde or even Froome go hard from early on the climb, I think they will be gone.

 

[Dazed and Confused]

Stage 5 was half a rest day for many riders.
Many will be fresh tomorrow, including some of the heavies.
There will be a mix of rider types at the bizz end methinks.

 

[Carols]

Re:

Such a shame Canc isn't here anymore. He would have surprised a lot of guys here.

Wish he was there Yesterday!!!!

 

[PremierAndrew]

Re: Re:

Such a shame Canc isn't here anymore. He would have surprised a lot of guys here.

Wish he was there Yesterday!!!!

So true

 

[classicomano]

Vuillermoz will win, and it wont be close either.

 

[Eyeballs Out]

Breakaway could win. Who is going to bring it back ? Sagan would be clear favourite but I don't see Tinkoff working

 

[sir fly]

Good to see the wide roads when it starts uphill.
The group should be stretched coming into it, though.

 

[DFA123]

Re:

Breakaway could win. Who is going to bring it back ? Sagan would be clear favourite but I don't see Tinkoff working

Surely Etixx would work really hard to pull back any breakaway. And they've got a pretty strong team to do it with.

 

[Eyeballs Out]

Re: Re:

Breakaway could win. Who is going to bring it back ? Sagan would be clear favourite but I don't see Tinkoff working

Surely Etixx would work really hard to pull back any breakaway. And they've got a pretty strong team to do it with.

For who ? Kwiatkowski ? He doesn't seem in top shape

 

[Arredondo]

Re: Re:

Such a shame Canc isn't here anymore. He would have surprised a lot of guys here.

Wish he was there Yesterday!!!!

True

 

[classicomano]

Come on guys, you really think anyone can follow Dynamite John on this hill when he unleashes like he did in Dubai earlier this year?

https://youtu.be/kZJdXUGqSRw?t=8m35s

 

[Escarabajo]

A group of 15-20.
Valverde for the win.

 

[DFA123]

Re: Re:

Breakaway could win. Who is going to bring it back ? Sagan would be clear favourite but I don't see Tinkoff working

Surely Etixx would work really hard to pull back any breakaway. And they've got a pretty strong team to do it with.

For who ? Kwiatkowski ? He doesn't seem in top shape

Well, one to defend the yellow jersey - depending on the make-up of the breakaway - and secondly, they have Kwiatk, Stybar and possibly even Trentin, who could all do something in the finish.

Sky will work hard at the front as well - it's just what they do.

 

[Velolover2]

Gallopin!

 

[Velolover2]

Sagan should win it on paper but I think he is collecting 2nd and 3rd places.

 

[FoxxyBrown1111]

Re:

Come on guys, you really think anyone can follow Dynamite John on this hill when he unleashes like he did in Dubai earlier this year?

https://youtu.be/kZJdXUGqSRw?t=8m35s

And I have another in mind. I think it was in some Vuelta where he powered his way trou till the end on a uphill sprint fully exposed to the wind...

John Degenkolb is a "beast", can do it (almost) all.

 

[Tank Engine]

1. Sagan, 2. Degenkolb, 3. Gallopin

 

[Eyeballs Out]

Re: Re:

Breakaway could win. Who is going to bring it back ? Sagan would be clear favourite but I don't see Tinkoff working

Surely Etixx would work really hard to pull back any breakaway. And they've got a pretty strong team to do it with.

For who ? Kwiatkowski ? He doesn't seem in top shape

Well, one to defend the yellow jersey - depending on the make-up of the breakaway - and secondly, they have Kwiatk, Stybar and possibly even Trentin, who could all do something in the finish.

Sky will work hard at the front as well - it's just what they do.

They'll have more chance of defending yellow if the break stays away (for pretty much any realistic break)

Plus if they bring the break back it would be pretty much conceding defeat in the points jersey

Still you never know. Their tactics were unfathomable in the finale on sunday

 

[Velolover2]

Albasini broke his arm? Damn what a shame, the stage is perfect for him. Is Matthews out too? Normally perfect for him as well.

Orica is down to what.. 3 riders?

 

[sir fly]

Re:

Albasini broke his arm? Damn what a shame, the stage is perfect for him. Is Matthews out too?

Orica is down to what.. 3 riders?

Not a good ttt for them in the prospect.
I'm sure they've had ambitions for it.

 

[DFA123]

Re: Re:

Breakaway could win. Who is going to bring it back ? Sagan would be clear favourite but I don't see Tinkoff working

Surely Etixx would work really hard to pull back any breakaway. And they've got a pretty strong team to do it with.

For who ? Kwiatkowski ? He doesn't seem in top shape

Well, one to defend the yellow jersey - depending on the make-up of the breakaway - and secondly, they have Kwiatk, Stybar and possibly even Trentin, who could all do something in the finish.

Sky will work hard at the front as well - it's just what they do.

They'll have more chance of defending yellow if the break stays away (for pretty much any realistic break)

Plus if they bring the break back it would be pretty much conceding defeat in the points jersey

Still you never know. Their tactics were unfathomable in the finale on sunday

You might be right that it could be best for Etixx to let a break go, but it doesn't seem their style to passively defend the jersey like that.

I think a break is still unlikely to make it though. Looking at the route on google there are quite a lot of short ascents and descents, some of them are quite technical; so I think the GC teams will be fighting a lot to get their riders to the front throughout the day - that should keep the pace of the peloton fairly high.

 

[Punkan]

Sagan's win on stage 3 in TDF 2012.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PMQRQw2sVyA

The climb to the finish line was 700m at 7.4%.

Tomorrow it differs a bit, first 850m at 7% then about 500m at 1%.

A puncheur will win this. Sagan is my bet.

 

[SlimChance]

I'm surprised EBH isn't getting more love on here. He looks in ripe pot hunting mood this year. The change of team has done him a lot of good.

 

[Dog]

I'm predicting an outrageous Froomedawg win.