2015 Tour de France Stage 6: Abbeville-Le Havre 191.5km

[Punkan]

Not sure about Degenkolb here, climb might just be a couple of hundred meters too long for him.
Same could go for EBH, even if he has shown before that he can handle finishes like this (for example Worlds 2012).

 

[Taxus4a]

The stage is quite hilly, in a windy zone and with an uphill finish, althoug no so hard as Huy or Bretagne, but no for pure sprinters.

I hope a quite stage without crashes, but tomorrow is a dangerous stage and some things could happend.

I bet for EBH for the stage.

 

[The Hitch]

No chance Tony could lose the 12?

 

[gags]

Re: Re:

Indeed, and he's also used to not winning when he is marked.

Fair enough.

 

[Jancouver]

Top 15

1. Sagan
2. Gorilla
3. Johny
4. EBH
5. Froome
6. Alex
7. Coquard
8. G
9. Styby
10. Bert
11. Nib
12. Piti
13. Purito
14. TJ
15. Tony

 

[Pricey_sky]

Re:

No chance Tony could lose the 12?

I think there is a chance, it depends if Froome goes all high cadence again like on the Mur. If he does there wont be many that can hold his wheel, although that false flat at the top could bring it back together.

I don't think froome wants the jersey back yet, but if he could take another handful of seconds on his rivals he won't pass that up.

 

[movingtarget]

Some chance Martin will lose the jersey. Not a good finish for him. Sky would not want it back so soon of course. Might not be a hard enough finish for a climber. If it is then looks as though Valverde or Rodriguez for the win.

 

[Jspear]

Re:

Top 15

1. Sagan
2. Gorilla
3. Johny
4. EBH
5. Froome
6. Alex
7. Coquard
8. G
9. Styby
10. Bert
11. Nib
12. Piti
13. Purito
14. TJ
15. Tony

Gorilla!?

 

[Jancouver]

Re: Re:

Top 15

1. Sagan
2. Gorilla
3. Johny
4. EBH
5. Froome
6. Alex
7. Coquard
8. G
9. Styby
10. Bert
11. Nib
12. Piti
13. Purito
14. TJ
15. Tony

Gorilla!?

What about Gorilla? you dont like the 2nd place?

 

[phanatic]

Re: Re:

Top 15

1. Sagan
2. Gorilla
3. Johny
4. EBH
5. Froome
6. Alex
7. Coquard
8. G
9. Styby
10. Bert
11. Nib
12. Piti
13. Purito
14. TJ
15. Tony

Gorilla!?

What about Gorilla? you dont like the 2nd place?

I don't.
Also: is Flowers injured or something? edit: just read his thread and maybe he is lacking form.

 

[eljimberino]

The combination of Sagan being tactically inept combined with the fact that every other rider will be watching him the way they watched Degenkolb on stage 4 will almost certainly ensure Sagan will come second or third if there is a bunch sprint. Sagan doesn't have any other sprinters/punchers to help him.

If Valverde has been saving himself, as he seems to have been, he could time this perfectly.

Little Dan Martin will be one of the first up the climb and won't stop to check who's sucking his wheel.

 

[Jancouver]

The combination of Sagan being tactically inept combined with the fact that every other rider will be watching him the way they watched Degenkolb on stage 4 will almost certainly ensure Sagan will come second or third if there is a bunch sprint. Sagan doesn't have any other sprinters/punchers to help him.

If Valverde has been saving himself, as he seems to have been, he could time this perfectly.

Little Dan Martin will be one of the first up the climb and won't stop to check who's sucking his wheel.

You may be right about Sagan but I dont think this finish is for Piti or Dan Martin.

While there is a "bump" before the finish, this will be a fast man high speed finish with ~1min power climb before the 400m false-flat-straight finish.

The best Kilo rider to take it

 

[eljimberino]

Aren't we all overlooking KWIATKOWSKI ?

 

[Pricey_sky]

Re:

Aren't we all overlooking KWIATKOWSKI ?

He should be on the shortlist, but I have a feeling he will be on duty to Martin to make sure he keeps the jersey another day.

 

[eljimberino]

Martin can look after himself.

 

[Kwibus]

Re:

600 meters at 9 percent!

http://www.cronoescalada.com/index.php/puertos/view/4343

Certainly will drop a lot of the sprinters, perhaps even Sagan et. al. if the GC guys go at it. And with Nibali, Contador and Quintana needing time, one of the three just might.

Another great stage with possible cross winds and a sting in the tail.

Can they start the climb at full speed or do they come out of a corner before the climb starts?

 

[Kwibus]

Re:

Aren't we all overlooking KWIATKOWSKI ?

Maybe, if he has been hiding form. So far it seems he doesnt have good form.

 

[armchairclimber]

Kwiat has been impressive as a super domestique for the last few days. He hinted yesterday that, if he feels good, he might have a crack at this.

 

[malakassis]

Sunny and dry on this coastal stage, but still cool. Temperatures will not exceed 18 to 19 degrees with a sideway northwesterly wind around 15km/h with gusts up to 30km/h.

lets go echelons! we need GC battle early in the stage. but we know pretty little about GCs mountain skills. i miss one mountain stage for GC in week one.

 

[Tank Engine]

Re:

Top 15

1. Sagan
2. Gorilla
3. Johny
4. EBH
5. Froome
6. Alex
7. Coquard
8. G
9. Styby
10. Bert
11. Nib
12. Piti
13. Purito
14. TJ
15. Tony

Gallopin only 15th on a finish like this

 

[Sophistic]

Re: Re:

600 meters at 9 percent!

http://www.cronoescalada.com/index.php/puertos/view/4343

Certainly will drop a lot of the sprinters, perhaps even Sagan et. al. if the GC guys go at it. And with Nibali, Contador and Quintana needing time, one of the three just might.

Another great stage with possible cross winds and a sting in the tail.

Can they start the climb at full speed or do they come out of a corner before the climb starts?

2 90deg corners about 150m before the climb

 

[Stelvio]

Re: Re:

Another great stage with possible cross winds and a sting in the tail.

Can they start the climb at full speed or do they come out of a corner before the climb starts?[/quote]

There are three sharp corners between 3300m and 2200m to go:

1. Left turn
2. Right turn
3. Left turn

I expect a battle for positions before going into the first left turn.

 

[Kwibus]

Re: Re:

Another great stage with possible cross winds and a sting in the tail.

Can they start the climb at full speed or do they come out of a corner before the climb starts?

There are three sharp corners between 3300m and 2200m to go:

1. Left turn
2. Right turn
3. Left turn

I expect a battle for positions before going into the first left turn.[/quote]

Positioning will be crucial then. Degenkolb can survive, if he is on the first row when it starts. If not he probably loses contact with the first.
There might be 1 to 3 riders of the front after the hill. If it's 1 he has a chance of winning. When it's more then 1 they most likely look too much at eachother.

 

[orangerider]

Piti takes it. Sagan comes in second. Froome gaps Contador and the other favorites by a few seconds to further cement his lead. Pinot falls and abandons.

 

[Jan the Man]

What about GVA surely he is more likely to top 5 than a number of those mentioned?