2018 Innsbruck World Championship Men's Road Race - 259km

[Red Rick]

Alright boys and girls, I know race threads are declining but no thread for the WC men's RR is a few bridges too far

Gnadenwald

Igls

Gramartboden

Startlist

Slovakia
1 SAGAN Peter
2 BAŠKA Erik
3 ČANECKÝ Marek
4 HARING Martin
5 MAHĎAR Martin
6 SAGAN Juraj
7 TYBOR Patrik

Belgium
8 BENOOT Tiesj
9 DE PLUS Laurens
10 HERMANS Ben
11 MEURISSE Xandro
12 PAUWELS Serge
13 TEUNS Dylan
14 VAN AVERMAET Greg
15 WELLENS Tim

France
16 ALAPHILIPPE Julian
17 BARDET Romain
18 BARGUIL Warren
19 GALLOPIN Tony
20 GENIEZ Alexandre
21 MOLARD Rudy
22 PINOT Thibaut
23 ROUX Anthony

Italy
24 BRAMBILLA Gianluca
25 CARUSO Damiano
26 CATALDO Dario
27 DE MARCHI Alessandro
28 MOSCON Gianni
29 NIBALI Vincenzo
30 PELLIZOTTI Franco
31 POZZOVIVO Domenico

Spain
32 CASTROVIEJO Jonathan
33 DE LA CRUZ David
34 FRAILE Omar
35 HERRADA Jesús
36 IZAGIRRE Ion
37 MAS Enric
38 NIEVE Mikel
39 VALVERDE Alejandro

Great Britain
40 CARTHY Hugh
41 GEOGHEGAN HART Tao
42 KENNAUGH Peter
43 KNOX James
44 STANNARD Ian
45 SWIFT Connor
46 YATES Adam
47 YATES Simon

Netherlands
48 DUMOULIN Tom
49 KELDERMAN Wilco
50 KRUIJSWIJK Steven
51 MOLLEMA Bauke
52 OOMEN Sam
53 POELS Wout
54 TOLHOEK Antwan
55 WEENING Pieter

Colombia
56 ANACONA Winner
57 CONTRERAS Rodrigo
58 HENAO Sebastián
59 HENAO Sergio
60 LÓPEZ Miguel Ángel
61 MARTÍNEZ Daniel Felipe
62 QUINTANA Nairo
63 URÁN Rigoberto

Australia
64 CLARKE Simon
65 DENNIS Rohan
66 HAIG Jack
67 HAMILTON Chris
68 HOWSON Damien
69 POWER Robert
70 SCHULTZ Nick
71 SUTHERLAND Rory

Denmark
72 ASGREEN Kasper
73 BRESCHEL Matti
74 EG Niklas
75 FUGLSANG Jakob
76 HANSEN Jesper
77 WÜRTZ SCHMIDT Mads
78 VALGREN Michael
79 VINJEBO Emil

Germany
80 BUCHMANN Emanuel
81 BURGHARDT Marcus
82 DENZ Nico
83 GESCHKE Simon
84 MARTENS Paul
85 SCHACHMANN Maximilian

Slovenia
86 BOLE Grega
87 MOHORIČ Matej
88 NOVAK Domen
89 PIBERNIK Luka
90 POLANC Jan
91 ROGLIČ Primož
92 ŠPILAK Simon
93 TRATNIK Jan

Poland
94 BODNAR Maciej
95 GOŁAŚ Michał
96 KWIATKOWSKI Michał
97 MAJKA Rafał
98 OWSIAN Łukasz
99 PATERSKI Maciej

Norway
100 BYSTRØM Sven Erik
101 EIKING Odd Christian
102 HAGEN Carl Fredrik
103 BOASSON HAGEN Edvald
104 HOELGAARD Markus
105 LAENGEN Vegard Stake

Austria
106 GOGL Michael
107 GROßSCHARTNER Felix
108 KONRAD Patrick
109 MÜHLBERGER Gregor
110 PÖSTLBERGER Lukas
111 PREIDLER Georg

Ireland
112 DUNNE Conor
113 MARTIN Dan
114 MULLEN Ryan
115 ROCHE Nicolas

Czech Republic
116 BÁRTA Jan
117 HIRT Jan
118 HNÍK Karel
119 KREUZIGER Roman
120 KUKRLE Michael
121 ŠTYBAR Zdeněk

Switzerland
122 FRANK Mathias
123 FRANKINY Kilian
124 MORABITO Steve
125 REICHENBACH Sébastien
126 SCHÄR Michael
127 SCHELLING Patrick

Portugal
128 COSTA Rui
129 GUERREIRO Ruben
130 MACHADO Tiago
131 OLIVEIRA Nelson

Russia
132 ARSLANOV Ildar
133 CHERNETSKI Sergei
134 KOCHETKOV Pavel
135 SIVAKOV Pavel
136 STRAKHOV Dmitry
137 ZAKARIN Ilnur

Luxembourg
138 DIDIER Laurent
139 DRUCKER Jempy
140 GASTAUER Ben
141 JUNGELS Bob
142 KIRSCH Alex
143 WIRTGEN Tom

United States
144 BOOKWALTER Brent
145 KING Ben
146 KUSS Sepp
147 STETINA Peter

New Zealand
148 BENNETT George
149 BEVIN Patrick
150 BEWLEY Sam
151 SMITH Dion

South Africa
152 DLAMINI Nic
153 JANSE VAN RENSBURG Jacques

Estonia
154 KANGERT Tanel
155 TAARAMÄE Rein
156 VAHTRA Norman

Kazakhstan
157 FOMINYKH Daniil
158 LUTSENKO Alexey
159 STALNOV Nikita
160 ZEITS Andrey

Canada
161 BRITTON Rob
162 DUCHESNE Antoine
163 HOULE Hugo
164 WOODS Michael

Ecuador
165 CARAPAZ Richard
166 NARVÁEZ Jhonatan

Latvia
167 NEILANDS Krists
168 SKUJIŅŠ Toms

Belarus
169 KIRYIENKA Vasil
170 KOSHEVOY Ilia
171 RIABUSHENKO Alexandr
172 SOBAL Yauhen

Eritrea
173 GHEBREIGZABHIER Amanuel
174 KUDUS Merhawi

Ukraine
175 BRATASHCHUK Andrii
176 GRIVKO Andrey

Japan
177 NAKANE Hideto

Romania
178 ȚVETCOV Serghei

Argentina
179 SEPÚLVEDA Eduardo

Iran
180 CHAICHI Mohamadesmail

Croatia
181 RUMAC Josip

Hongkong
182 CHIU Ho San

Lithuania
183 KONOVALOVAS Ignatas

Costa Rica
184 VILLALOBOS Roman

Sweden
185 LUDVIGSSON Tobias

Greece
186 FARANTAKIS Stylianos

Brasil
187 SESSLER Nícolas

Ethiopia
188 GRMAY Tsgabu

 

[Red Rick]

Vincenzo Nibali will win this bike race

 

[Valv.Piti]

Isnt Igls 8 km long?

Will be missing the first part of the race which sucks. It will probably be boring, but a race like this needs to be watched from kilometer 0. Or at least when the climbing begins. Anyway, Valverde ftw.

Edit: Dumoulin and especially Lopez should be good outsider bets tomorrow. Both at 41 times back.

 

[rick james]

Verging into slightly erect for this route

 

[Singer01]

Work needs to be sloooooow tomorrow or else.

 

[ThePirate81]

Adam Yates ftw

 

[hfer07]

Re: 2018 Innsbruck World Championship Men's Road Race - 259k

ALAPHILIPPE Julian

 

[Alexandre B.]

Primoz Roglic or Adam Yates.

 

[sir fly]

What's the deal with Croatian representative?
Are Kiserlovski and Durasek injured or something?

 

[Koronin]

Valverde finally gets his gold medal and rainbow jersey. Also he said today that he is the most rested before the Worlds than he has been in a many years. He also seems somewhat confident and hasn't been trying to downplay his chances like he does so many times. Take that for what it's worth.

 

[SafeBet]

Roglic is an interesting case. He's considered amongst the favorites by many without having any result whatsoever in one day races (his best result outside his national championship is a 21st in San Sebastian). How do we know he has the stamina for such a long race?

I think Alaphilippe is the clear favorite here, but it will be a difficult race to control. Kreuziger is my dark horse. Adam Yates and Uran two strong contenders.

 

[Durden93]

Hoping for Rusty, but I’ll pick Simon Yates.

 

[Pantani_lives]

Re:

Roglic is an interesting case. He's considered amongst the favorites by many without having any result whatsoever in one day races (his best result outside his national championship is a 21st in San Sebastian). How do we know he has the stamina for such a long race?

Roglic has won two Tour stages with a finish after a descent. Of course he has the stamina.

 

[Koronin]

Re: Re:

Roglic is an interesting case. He's considered amongst the favorites by many without having any result whatsoever in one day races (his best result outside his national championship is a 21st in San Sebastian). How do we know he has the stamina for such a long race?

Roglic has won two Tour stages with a finish after a descent. Of course he has the stamina.

However one day races are very different that stage races.

 

[Robert5091]

Re: 2018 Innsbruck World Championship Men's Road Race - 259k

So I tune in after 200 km?

So, start at 9.50 CET and finish ... when the sun goes down? (18.56 CET according to https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/austria/innsbruck )

This is such a tough course that it really depends on the riders form on the day.

 

[sir fly]

Roglic is an interesting case. He's considered amongst the favorites by many without having any result whatsoever in one day races (his best result outside his national championship is a 21st in San Sebastian). How do we know he has the stamina for such a long race?

Roglic has won two Tour stages with a finish after a descent. Of course he has the stamina.

However one day races are very different that stage races.

There's something on this course screaming: "Rogla!"...

 

[Rollthedice]

Re: 2018 Innsbruck World Championship Men's Road Race - 259k

So I tune in after 200 km?

So, start at 9.50 CET and finish ... when the sun goes down? (18.56 CET according to https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/austria/innsbruck )

This is such a tough course that it really depends on the riders form on the day.

When you tune in there will be some 50 riders left.

 

[SafeBet]

Re: Re:

Roglic is an interesting case. He's considered amongst the favorites by many without having any result whatsoever in one day races (his best result outside his national championship is a 21st in San Sebastian). How do we know he has the stamina for such a long race?

Roglic has won two Tour stages with a finish after a descent. Of course he has the stamina.

How long were those stages?
Roglic might win this race but to me he's a big question mark. He's completely unproven on this distance.

 

[DNP-Old]

1. Alaphilippe, 2. Moscon, 3. Uran.

 

[Durden93]

Re:

Roglic is an interesting case. He's considered amongst the favorites by many without having any result whatsoever in one day races (his best result outside his national championship is a 21st in San Sebastian). How do we know he has the stamina for such a long race?

I think Alaphilippe is the clear favorite here, but it will be a difficult race to control. Kreuziger is my dark horse. Adam Yates and Uran two strong contenders.

You make a strong point, but are we sure you need a good one day pedigree to win a mountainous worlds? Let’s look at past tough olympics/worlds in recent years:
Duitama: Olano won a national RR, not much else in one day races
Beijing: Strong performances in many classics
Mendrisio: Evans never had much of a one day pedigree aside from his world title
Florence: Costa strong results in other classics
Rio: We all know GVA’s one day talents
So 3/5 had a good classics resume. Including Rio in that list is somewhat generous imo, I don’t think it was as hard as the others. I think history suggests a rider without a strong one day palmares can win this race

 

[Alexandre B.]

Re: Re:

Roglic is an interesting case. He's considered amongst the favorites by many without having any result whatsoever in one day races (his best result outside his national championship is a 21st in San Sebastian). How do we know he has the stamina for such a long race?

I think Alaphilippe is the clear favorite here, but it will be a difficult race to control. Kreuziger is my dark horse. Adam Yates and Uran two strong contenders.

You make a strong point, but are we sure you need a good one day pedigree to win a mountainous worlds? Let’s look at past tough olympics/worlds in recent years:
Duitama: Olano won a national RR, not much else in one day races
Beijing: Strong performances in many classics
Mendrisio: Evans never had much of a one day pedigree aside from his world title
Florence: Costa strong results in other classics
Rio: We all know GVA’s one day talents
So 3/5 had a good classics resume. Including Rio in that list is somewhat generous imo, I don’t think it was as hard as the others. I think history suggests a rider without a strong one day palmares can win this race

Evans had good results before his win.

 

[Forever The Best]

Let's go Vincenzooooooo.

 

[Durden93]

Re: Re:

Roglic is an interesting case. He's considered amongst the favorites by many without having any result whatsoever in one day races (his best result outside his national championship is a 21st in San Sebastian). How do we know he has the stamina for such a long race?

I think Alaphilippe is the clear favorite here, but it will be a difficult race to control. Kreuziger is my dark horse. Adam Yates and Uran two strong contenders.

You make a strong point, but are we sure you need a good one day pedigree to win a mountainous worlds? Let’s look at past tough olympics/worlds in recent years:
Duitama: Olano won a national RR, not much else in one day races
Beijing: Strong performances in many classics
Mendrisio: Evans never had much of a one day pedigree aside from his world title
Florence: Costa strong results in other classics
Rio: We all know GVA’s one day talents
So 3/5 had a good classics resume. Including Rio in that list is somewhat generous imo, I don’t think it was as hard as the others. I think history suggests a rider without a strong one day palmares can win this race

Evans had good results before his win.

Wow, never realized he won Fleche and had dairly good showings in Liege.

 

[SHAD0W93]

Valverde to beat Pinot, Kreuziger, and Uran in a group of 4 sprint with the 4 finishing in that order.

I will also take a Pinot or Kreuziger solo win.

 

[Gigs_98]

Re:

Vincenzo Nibali will win this bike race

Amen