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5 monuments - Cancellara or Gilbert?

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Who is more likely to win all 5 monuments?

  • Phillipe Gilbert

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May 5, 2009
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El Pistolero said:
Does someone have some info about Cancellara's weight by the way?

He said he needs to lose 3kg down to 79kg to successfully target LBL and GDL.

“TIn the Worlds at Mendrisio, where I finished fifth, I weighed 79 kilos, while in the Classics this April, I was 82 kilos. If you want to win Liege-Bastogne-Liege in April, you should be 79 kilos. "
 
Jul 16, 2010
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la.margna said:
He said he needs to lose 3kg down to 79kg to successfully target LBL and GDL.

Wow, that's a lot. Surprised he can even get over hills with that much weight then :p

Philippe Gilbert is like 68kg according to his wiki page.
 
May 5, 2009
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El Pistolero said:
Wow, that's a lot. Surprised he can even get over hills with that much weight then :p

Philippe Gilbert is like 68kg according to his wiki page.

absolutely incredible. how can this work? wish i had studied physics... :cool:
 
May 28, 2010
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theyoungest said:
The solution is probably to put out an insane amount of Watts.

Which is obviously Cancellara's speciality. You don't get to be 4 time world TT champ without insane wattage. This power is what allows Canc to climb decently well at a relatively higher weight than most climbers.
 
Oct 26, 2010
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Does anybody have some detailed info on Gilberts Omloop wins? The final is quite flat and maybe more like PR than RvV and he won it two times. But I think he won both from breaks made in the hilly sections about 60km from the finish line?
Last year he was dropped by Flecha on flat cobbles, but he is a top contender in this race. And are their other reasons why he is considered not so good for PR? Performances in other races (GW old style, Tro bon leon, dwars door Vl) perhaps?
 
Gilbert looks dangerous in maybe three out of every four "suitable" races he does these days. As a spectator, you get to thinking he could win any of them.

However, today's MSR illustrates that you need an awful lot of threads in your favour to weave the total tapestry.

So if I could draw any general conclusion, I'd say you'd be more likely to see Gilbert cropping up in the last third of a classic, which gives him a good shot.
 
luckyboy said:
Cmon, after all the attacks and work he did? He did well to get 3rd.

Well, despite his talk of being stronger, wiser, awesome-r, etc., its still an equaling of his previous best performance in MSR.

I have to agree with the others though. If Gilbert is ever to win MSR, he'll likely never get a better chance than he had today.
 
May 12, 2010
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I don't think Gilbert will even win Sanremo. You need to be in great shape, and for a rider of his type, a lot of luck. In 2006-2008 he was in great shape during MSR, but didn't have a lot of luck. With his peak moved to the end of April (Liège), he will probably never be in his best shape during MSR, today was probably the best chance he's ever gonna get, but simply wasn't good enough. At the end of his carreer he will probably have won LBL, Ronde van Vlaanderen and Lombardia, but I can't see him winning the other two.
 
Mar 17, 2009
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The Hitch said:
What was that El Pistolero?

Did i just see Cancellara beat Gilbert in the worlds most important sprint.

What was that you were saying:D:D:D:D
FFS!?? Cancellara made ONE move in the last 7km, on the descent of the Poggio. Gilbert, who had no teammates in the group compared to Cancellara's two, attacked repeatedly and still got 3rd. Leopard were better as a team than Lotto and that is why Cancellara was able to edge Gilbert out.
 
Jul 16, 2010
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The Hitch said:
What was that El Pistolero?

Did i just see Cancellara beat Gilbert in the worlds most important sprint.

What was that you were saying:D:D:D:D

You do know Gilbert just made an attack right before right? The attack that the second fastest sprinter of the group, Filippo Pozatto, foolishly closed. Now where did Pozatto end and where did Gilbert end? Gilbert was third after more effort and the on paper faster sprinter(Pozatto) ended fifth because he burned him self chasing Gilbert.

It wasn't the worlds most important sprint because Goss was there and Gilbert was never going to beat him, so that's why he pulled out an attack in the last few kilometers. It was his only chance and almost succeeded.

In the end, I'm more impressed by Gilbert than Cancellara at Milan-San Remo. Of course that says nothing for the upcoming classics.
 
Jul 16, 2010
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Lanark said:
I don't think Gilbert will even win Sanremo. You need to be in great shape, and for a rider of his type, a lot of luck. In 2006-2008 he was in great shape during MSR, but didn't have a lot of luck. With his peak moved to the end of April (Liège), he will probably never be in his best shape during MSR, today was probably the best chance he's ever gonna get, but simply wasn't good enough. At the end of his carreer he will probably have won LBL, Ronde van Vlaanderen and Lombardia, but I can't see him winning the other two.


That's what I think although I wouldn't put Roubaix behind him. But ovbiously he will want to win Luik a couple of times before even thinking about Roubaix. And that's already going to be hard enough.

If Gilbert had a teammate left, just like Bettini had Paolini in 2003, things could have been different at San Remo this year though.
 
May 12, 2010
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El Pistolero said:
That's what I think although I wouldn't put Roubaix behind him. But ovbiously he will want to win Luik a couple of times before even thinking about Roubaix. And that's already going to be hard enough.

If Gilbert had a teammate left, just like Bettini had Paolini in 2003, things could have been different at San Remo this year though.

I really can't see him winning Roubaix, I doubt he will ever participate in that race again. He could possibly reach a top-10 spot, but his characteristics (sprinting on a hill) aren't really well suited to a race like Roubaix, there will always be some heavier, stronger guy who can beat him there.

If Gilbert had a team mate, yeah, that's the problem, there isn't anyone else in his team that could make the final selection on the Poggio. With Greipel, VDBjr and Gilbert they have three great riders, but the quality of the rest of the team has suffered a lot, I wouldn't be surprised of VDB and Gilbert will revisit this 'if only I had a teammate with me' thought more than they would like during this season.
 
Jul 16, 2010
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Lanark said:
I really can't see him winning Roubaix, I doubt he will ever participate in that race again. He could possibly reach a top-10 spot, but his characteristics (sprinting on a hill) aren't really well suited to a race like Roubaix, there will always be some heavier, stronger guy who can beat him there.

If Gilbert had a team mate, yeah, that's the problem, there isn't anyone else in his team that could make the final selection on the Poggio. With Greipel, VDBjr and Gilbert they have three great riders, but the quality of the rest of the team has suffered a lot, I wouldn't be surprised of VDB and Gilbert will revisit this 'if only I had a teammate with me' thought more than they would like during this season.

At least Gilbert can count on VDB2 in the Ardennes classics(he did a great job at AGR last year for example) and Greipel did a decent job helping Gilbert in San Remo considering he didn't rode in Tirreno.

But in Luik and Lombardia, the strongest will win. You can't always say the same in San Remo.

As for Roubaix, who knows what he will do if he'll ever win Flanders and Luik a few times. Perhaps put on some weight and try his chances at Roubaix.
 
Lanark said:
If Gilbert had a team mate, yeah, that's the problem, there isn't anyone else in his team that could make the final selection ... I wouldn't be surprised of VDB and Gilbert will revisit this 'if only I had a teammate with me' thought more than they would like during this season.

Team leaders on Silence-Lotto (for this is the same team) lacking support: deja-vu? (ACF, where are you?)
 
Sep 27, 2009
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Armchair cyclist said:
Team leaders on Silence-Lotto (for this is the same team) lacking support: deja-vu? (ACF, where are you?)

Yes I had that thought too, they could not do anything for Evans and now Gilbert, what a surprise.

I don't think Gilbert or Cancellara will win all five but Cancellara has got the better of two very small chances.
 
Jan 6, 2010
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Armchair cyclist said:
Team leaders on Silence-Lotto (for this is the same team) lacking support: deja-vu? (ACF, where are you?)

Sorry, but he *did* have some support - right up until the Poggia he had both Roelandts and Greipel with him (and Canc had O'Grady and Bennati - so same number and type). The difference was both Jurgen and Andre had done work on the front helping to keep the group away in the preceeding 50kms - whereas as *none* of the leopard trek guys did a single metre on the front, and where therefore considerably more fresh (thus O Grady getting in the mini break). If they had done less work, who would have known what they were capable of, maybe making Goss drop off on the Poggia climb before dropping off themselves?

The one thing I can say with confidence is Lotto have improved considerably as a supporting force without Evans moaning about his teammates continuously over the past 18 months - they got JVDB a 5th place in one of the most mountainous parcours of the last decade! And in the same year helped Gilbert to win AGR, Piemonte & Lombardia, as well as 3rds in LBL, RVV AND G-W!! Hardly "no support" ;)
 
El Pistolero said:
You do know Gilbert just made an attack right before right? The attack that the second fastest sprinter of the group, Filippo Pozatto, foolishly closed. Now where did Pozatto end and where did Gilbert end? Gilbert was third after more effort and the on paper faster sprinter(Pozatto) ended fifth because he burned him self chasing Gilbert.

It wasn't the worlds most important sprint because Goss was there and Gilbert was never going to beat him, so that's why he pulled out an attack in the last few kilometers. It was his only chance and almost succeeded.

In the end, I'm more impressed by Gilbert than Cancellara at Milan-San Remo. Of course that says nothing for the upcoming classics.

Even if he had done more work (slightly). You have time and time again made comments that Cancellara cant sprint whereas Gilbert is one of the worlds best sprinters who if he wasnt tearing it up on hills would presumably be facing the likes of Cav in bunch sprints.

But we saw your theory put to the test yesterday and it didnt quite work out that way, did it;)

Oh and what a surprise, your more impressed by Gilbert. Wow, theres a shock.

Im more impressed by the guy getting ready to peak big time for cobbled races missing a second MSR victory by a wheel, than the guy whose rapidly running out of chances to win the first monument.

El Pistolero said:
But in Luik and Lombardia, the strongest will win. You can't always say the same in San Remo.

So you admit Gilbert wasnt the strongest in 2010 LBL?
 
Jul 16, 2010
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Cancellara did nothing except in the descend. Gilbert attacked a few times up the Poggio and then on the flat. Of course Cancellara sprinted faster after all that. What does a second place get you? He should've attacked more, but didn't.

Gilbert is just as much peaking towards the bigger classics as Cancellara is. There's simply no excuse there.

And yes, Vino won, so Vino was the strongest/smartest. But this year Vino hasn't left a good impression so far and Valverde is out as well. And Kolobnev is Kolobnev.

Gilbert is still and always will be the faster sprinter of the two.

Ps: Cancellara was almost the same age as Gilbert when he won his first San Remo.
 

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