horner has ridiculousised (creating the verb) procycling. evans keeps it on the realistic side of the spectrum. he fades. I have shorted him on betfair. gonna win a bundle from gullible Australian fangirls like AusCyclingFan94. She reminds me of House and Chris H and Whareagle (whareagle wrt cuckolded Lyler Hamilton).Ferminal said:What is different between now and the first week of Tour 2012 or Giro 2013? Wait until final week before concluding he's back on the bags.
Chiara the pianist. in her defense, shes no Adita Rumsus, or is it radita? whatever. Fassa Bortolo sporned some riders and a young petacchi the sprinter, when before he was more a chancer like ogradyFerminal said:motomissus
The Hitch said:Evans right now. 37 years old. Just ridiculous
My friend, it is often surprising what happens when a personThe Hitch said:Evans right now. 37 years old. Just ridiculous
thrawn said:There's nothing that suspicious about his result yesterday. If he keeps it up for the 3 weeks then it'd be hell dodgy.
Afrank said:I'd have to agree, at this point nothing too vastly abnormal. Plus it is still early (his age will be more a factor in the 2nd and 3rd week) and it was a pretty good stage for him (profile suits him).
Not that I think he's clean, but his performance thus far isn't the kind I would take as evidence of doping.
DirtyWorks said:One of the key metrics since the introduction of EPO is the third week power estimates being meaningfully greater than weeks 1 and 2. To be clear, I'm not attributing it directly to EPO, just that recovery doping technology dramatically improved over old fashioned steroid boom->bust performances.
It's also worth mentioning the hole in the bio-passport a freight train can fit through. Horner's published profile being the gold standard example.
Finally, the old anecdote of the real test of a grand tour rider begins after the tenth day. Very many days to go before we see all kinds of cumulative effects.
RobbieCanuck said:One of the key metrics in any athletic endeavour that with respect you and Afrank are overlooking is psychological momentum. Michael Mathews win in the 6th stage of the Giro is a classic example. At the start of the Giro, Orica had hoped to only win the TTT. However after 4 days in pink, Mathews was inspired to today's win.
His comment after the win is instructive,
"Orica-GreenEdge’s big initial objective in the Giro d'Italia was the team time trial, but since then Matthews has, as he says, "kept the pink ball rolling" in style."
The same can be said for Evans. He gained GC time, and if after 10 stages he is in striking distance of winning I anticipate his performances will have everything to do with desire and motivation and nothing to do with your speculations he is on EPO.
In my respectful opinion both you and Afrank are overlooking one of the hard core psychological knowns in sport - the will to win. And in Evans case should he win, it will have nothing to do with dope.
RobbieCanuck said:One of the key metrics in any athletic endeavour that with respect you and Afrank are overlooking is psychological momentum. Michael Mathews win in the 6th stage of the Giro is a classic example. At the start of the Giro, Orica had hoped to only win the TTT. However after 4 days in pink, Mathews was inspired to today's win.
His comment after the win is instructive,
"Orica-GreenEdge’s big initial objective in the Giro d'Italia was the team time trial, but since then Matthews has, as he says, "kept the pink ball rolling" in style."
The same can be said for Evans. He gained GC time, and if after 10 stages he is in striking distance of winning I anticipate his performances will have everything to do with desire and motivation and nothing to do with your speculations he is on EPO.
In my respectful opinion both you and Afrank are overlooking one of the hard core psychological knowns in sport - the will to win. And in Evans case should he win, it will have nothing to do with dope.
RobbieCanuck said:In my respectful opinion both you and Afrank are overlooking one of the hard core psychological knowns in sport - the will to win. And in Evans case should he win, it will have nothing to do with dope.
Good point, but, gotta say, BMC look completely different to last two years. Did they get tactical training by Bobby J.?Ferminal said:What is different between now and the first week of Tour 2012 or Giro 2013? Wait until final week before concluding he's back on the bags.
The Hitch said:Maybe one day you will understand that will to win can only take an athlete so far and that there is not a atom of evidence that the will to win of a clean athlete is any greater than that of a doped one.
The way you always talk, an athlete with a sufficiently large will to win would be able to train 15 hours a day.
The reality is the body begins to shut down after a certain amount of effort and training becomes counterproductive. In fact an athlete who is taking peds will be able to train longer and harder because drugs will allow the body to recover in a way that simply wishing it will not.
You don't raise your hematocrit by 20% simply by thinking - oh I really want my hematocrit to go up and voila. No more than I can make a billion dollars appear by my side simply by wishing it. But hey, maybe contador and Evans can, seeing as they have such strong willpower they already transcend biology. What chance does physics have
Edit, lol no posts in 6 hours then 3 in the space of seconds.
The Hitch said:Rhetorical question.
Who has the bigger will to win
Athlete a) "I would do anything to win."
Athlete b) "I'd Do Anything for win (But I Won't Do That)"
Afrank said:"Sooner or later, the man who wins. Is the fellow who thinks he can."
I completely agree with you on the role that motivation plays in sport. you need motivation to win. You can be the strongest rider out there, but that doesn't mean you can still get your a$$ kicked by the guy that has more motivation then you.
But just having motivation and will is no proof of cleanliness. And a rider can still be one of the most motivated and have one of the strongest wills to win of anyone, and still be on drugs like his competitors.
Fearless Greg Lemond said:Good point, but, gotta say, BMC look completely different to last two years. Did they get tactical training by Bobby J.?
Ripper said:Moreover, this whole 'will to win' nonsense suggests dopers are just lazy. Does anyone actually think folks like Pharmstrong did not have a very strong will to win? I'd say sometimes this 'will' leads people down the wrong path.
darwin553 said:The thing in Cadel's favour is his appearance. Someone that looks like he is putting that much effort into every climb has to be clean![]()