If Froomie gets through tomorrow's stage unscathed, perhaps even taking a bit of time on Niabli, with the ITT looming would it be fair to say he biggest obstacles to the red jersey podium win will be stages 17 and 19? What are your thoughts?
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Pricey_sky said:huge said:Everyone is pretty sure that Froome will destroy everyone during Mon ITT... I'm not that sure. Quite the opposite actually... I think the margin will be way less than expected.
I think Froome will take 45-60s on Nibali, obviously a lot more to some of the weaker TT'ers. It depends if he puts in a TT like he did at the Vuelta last year, if anything I'd argue he is much stronger this year than last year.
Red Rick said:Pricey_sky said:huge said:Everyone is pretty sure that Froome will destroy everyone during Mon ITT... I'm not that sure. Quite the opposite actually... I think the margin will be way less than expected.
I think Froome will take 45-60s on Nibali, obviously a lot more to some of the weaker TT'ers. It depends if he puts in a TT like he did at the Vuelta last year, if anything I'd argue he is much stronger this year than last year.
Froome stronger than last year, based on what?
huge said:Matteo. said:if these are the values of the field, he just have to survive tomorrow. as I said, the wounds are superficial but it does not mean that you are 100%. I'm not sure he has given everything today, seeing how he and the Team have rode . they may save energy for sierra nevada
I'm pretty sure he was giving everything when trying to keep the gap from VN and AC to a minimum and then getting back to them.
VN's move could have been potentially disastrous for him. There's nothing to keep back in a situation like that.
Brullnux said:I think those who said he'd fade into the third week have been vindicated a bit, for now. He doesn't seem as strong as he was in the first week, he isn't dropping his rivals or even following their attacks. He's gone slightly to just TT up the mountain which today worked as Nibali didn't have the strength to pull away, but may not work other days depending on the conditions. Who knows, he may pick it back up again, but I think the fight is going to be really on in the last week. He is still the massive favourite, however.
70kmph said:Lost time again to Nibali
bigcog said:Brullnux said:I think those who said he'd fade into the third week have been vindicated a bit, for now. He doesn't seem as strong as he was in the first week, he isn't dropping his rivals or even following their attacks. He's gone slightly to just TT up the mountain which today worked as Nibali didn't have the strength to pull away, but may not work other days depending on the conditions. Who knows, he may pick it back up again, but I think the fight is going to be really on in the last week. He is still the massive favourite, however.
He is still recovering from two crashes two days ago, that will have some effect. If he gets through tomorrow ok I'd say he has a good chance.
Põhja Konn said:bigcog said:Brullnux said:I think those who said he'd fade into the third week have been vindicated a bit, for now. He doesn't seem as strong as he was in the first week, he isn't dropping his rivals or even following their attacks. He's gone slightly to just TT up the mountain which today worked as Nibali didn't have the strength to pull away, but may not work other days depending on the conditions. Who knows, he may pick it back up again, but I think the fight is going to be really on in the last week. He is still the massive favourite, however.
He is still recovering from two crashes two days ago, that will have some effect. If he gets through tomorrow ok I'd say he has a good chance.
Climbing times indicate he was already slowing down on Calar Alto, before those crashes happened. His form seems follow the pattern of 2012, the difference being that he isn't facing a similar level of opposition now and thus is still in control.
bigcog said:Põhja Konn said:bigcog said:Brullnux said:I think those who said he'd fade into the third week have been vindicated a bit, for now. He doesn't seem as strong as he was in the first week, he isn't dropping his rivals or even following their attacks. He's gone slightly to just TT up the mountain which today worked as Nibali didn't have the strength to pull away, but may not work other days depending on the conditions. Who knows, he may pick it back up again, but I think the fight is going to be really on in the last week. He is still the massive favourite, however.
He is still recovering from two crashes two days ago, that will have some effect. If he gets through tomorrow ok I'd say he has a good chance.
Climbing times indicate he was already slowing down on Calar Alto, before those crashes happened. His form seems follow the pattern of 2012, the difference being that he isn't facing a similar level of opposition now and thus is still in control.
Don't see how you can compare 2012 with 2017, he has had a totally different season up to the Vuelta and prepared for it as such. The crash is more of a factor than anything else.
Your theory may just as well be right, but an often ignored factor is that his rivals might fade just as well.Põhja Konn said:bigcog said:Põhja Konn said:bigcog said:Brullnux said:I think those who said he'd fade into the third week have been vindicated a bit, for now. He doesn't seem as strong as he was in the first week, he isn't dropping his rivals or even following their attacks. He's gone slightly to just TT up the mountain which today worked as Nibali didn't have the strength to pull away, but may not work other days depending on the conditions. Who knows, he may pick it back up again, but I think the fight is going to be really on in the last week. He is still the massive favourite, however.
He is still recovering from two crashes two days ago, that will have some effect. If he gets through tomorrow ok I'd say he has a good chance.
Climbing times indicate he was already slowing down on Calar Alto, before those crashes happened. His form seems follow the pattern of 2012, the difference being that he isn't facing a similar level of opposition now and thus is still in control.
Don't see how you can compare 2012 with 2017, he has had a totally different season up to the Vuelta and prepared for it as such. The crash is more of a factor than anything else.
Those two seasons are actually very similar. Very light spring season, followed by a period of intensive racing from Dauphine to Vuelta. The biggest difference is the lack of Olympics this season.
His performance today was consistent with what he has shown in mountain stages throughout this week - which is one of slow decline - rather than being a negative outlier caused by the aftereffects of the crashes. But this being Froome we are talking about, my theory might well be in pieces this time tomorrow. :razz:
Brullnux said:I think those who said he'd fade into the third week have been vindicated a bit, for now. He doesn't seem as strong as he was in the first week, he isn't dropping his rivals or even following their attacks. He's gone slightly to just TT up the mountain which today worked as Nibali didn't have the strength to pull away, but may not work other days depending on the conditions. Who knows, he may pick it back up again, but I think the fight is going to be really on in the last week. He is still the massive favourite, however.
cineteq said:Sooner or later, the TdF effort will catch up with him. For the sake of cycling, I hope it's tomorrow
Brullnux said:I think those who said he'd fade into the third week have been vindicated a bit, for now. He doesn't seem as strong as he was in the first week, he isn't dropping his rivals or even following their attacks. He's gone slightly to just TT up the mountain which today worked as Nibali didn't have the strength to pull away, but may not work other days depending on the conditions. Who knows, he may pick it back up again, but I think the fight is going to be really on in the last week. He is still the massive favourite, however.
cineteq said:Sooner or later, the TdF effort will catch up with him. For the sake of cycling, I hope it's tomorrow
Brullnux said:I think those who said he'd fade into the third week have been vindicated a bit, for now. He doesn't seem as strong as he was in the first week, he isn't dropping his rivals or even following their attacks. He's gone slightly to just TT up the mountain which today worked as Nibali didn't have the strength to pull away, but may not work other days depending on the conditions. Who knows, he may pick it back up again, but I think the fight is going to be really on in the last week. He is still the massive favourite, however.
jmdirt said:So is he telling his competitors that he didn't have to go too hard to today just to get into their heads? Will they think "oh sh*t I was 100% and couldn't put time on him", or will they call BS?
http://www.cyclingnews.com/news/chris-froome-i-was-keeping-some-energy-back-for-sunday/
Singer01 said:The last time nibali did the giro/vuelta double he lost time in the last week to a grandad in the last 3 gc relevant stages. And that nibali was a lot younger.
Not sure why everyone is so sure he is going to be so strong all the way to the end.
That interview is a bad sign for Froome fans I think. Riders are usually pretty quiet and coy when they are genuinely feeling good. This kind of bravado is nearly always a bluff.jmdirt said:So is he telling his competitors that he didn't have to go too hard to today just to get into their heads? Will they think "oh sh*t I was 100% and couldn't put time on him", or will they call BS?
http://www.cyclingnews.com/news/chris-froome-i-was-keeping-some-energy-back-for-sunday/
He is getting weaker but he still is able to follow the sky trainMatteo. said:He's getting weaker weaker weaker...dead dead dead....
but unfortunately this is not so
It's all under control good peace of detractors
portugal11 said:He is getting weaker but he still is able to follow the sky trainMatteo. said:He's getting weaker weaker weaker...dead dead dead....
but unfortunately this is not so
It's all under control good peace of detractors