Re: Re:
Lo Squalo has a better chance than any of these guys, but it's certainly not true that they're getting overhyped. The race is being run at altitude, which benefits Uran; he'll have one of the strongest teams in the race behind him, and if he's on form he's an excellent bet for a medal. One-day racing is completely different to GTs, especially in this age of specialism. If the TT course is hard enough, I think Froome will have a decent chance there, but there's no way he'll take a race which is being run on unfamiliar roads, in high humidity, and with tiny teams; it's going to be chaos, and while I rate Froome highly, he's not going to beat proven classics guys just because the race has a bit more climbing than Lombardia (especially given Nibali, Uran and so on have all podiumed GTS with high-mountain stages). I think Yates could make a good showing, if he doesn't show too much this season and is allowed freedom to attack.
(On Contador as a classics contender, wins aren't everything - he's made strong showings in the Ardennes before, and if he had ever become a man and committed to them, I think he could have got some impressive results.)
jaylew said:CheckMyPecs said:Apart from BalaVerde and Rui Costa, you're really overhyping these guys. Contador has only won a classic in his life, and none at all on the World Tour level. Purito is racing the year too many, and Urán is decent but certainly not among "the best one-day riders in the world".jaylew said:Taxus4a said:He has similar chances than the rest of his rivals: Quintana, Contador, Valverde, Purito, Uran, Rui Costa,...
You've got to be kidding. With the exception of Nairo, you're talking about some of the best one day riders in the world. All have impressive one day results, even Nairo. And there will be smaller teams and Froome won't have his usual advantage of having the strongest team working for him, though they should be solid.
To say he has a similar chance to those guys is ridiculous.
Uran's got a damn good one-day resume, particularly considering he almost always focuses on the Giro and not the Ardennes.
He's won Quebec and finished 3rd, finished 3rd at Lombardia twice, 5th at Liège and got the silver at the Olympics. He also has good results at some smaller one days. Froome's one-day palmares is...?
Lo Squalo has a better chance than any of these guys, but it's certainly not true that they're getting overhyped. The race is being run at altitude, which benefits Uran; he'll have one of the strongest teams in the race behind him, and if he's on form he's an excellent bet for a medal. One-day racing is completely different to GTs, especially in this age of specialism. If the TT course is hard enough, I think Froome will have a decent chance there, but there's no way he'll take a race which is being run on unfamiliar roads, in high humidity, and with tiny teams; it's going to be chaos, and while I rate Froome highly, he's not going to beat proven classics guys just because the race has a bit more climbing than Lombardia (especially given Nibali, Uran and so on have all podiumed GTS with high-mountain stages). I think Yates could make a good showing, if he doesn't show too much this season and is allowed freedom to attack.
(On Contador as a classics contender, wins aren't everything - he's made strong showings in the Ardennes before, and if he had ever become a man and committed to them, I think he could have got some impressive results.)