Coronavirus: How dangerous a threat?

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Japan looks like it'll have a similar vaccination timeframe as Oz. I expect mine will be available somewhere around August/Sept, but - knowing Japan, possibly even October!

Our numbers have gone down a lot from Tokyo reaching over 6000 daily new infections in early January to between 270-350 this week. We also read that the higher numbers were overwhelming health authorities who were understaffed for contact tracing, and the numbers started dropping quite quickly - obviously due to less (or very little) contact tracing. Also - clinics doing private testing haven't been reported in the official numbers, so these numbers are still higher than the officially reported ones. The place to look is in the hospitals, and deaths. Japanese hospitals aren't equipped to take large numbers into ICU - at one point people with severe symptoms in hospital (ie - on oxygen and/or ventilators, etc) was getting close to 200, not 'a lot' by many countries' standards but enough here to overwhelm the medical system - at one point there were several thousand infected people on wait lists to get into hospital! Official deaths nation-wide are also down - there was around 100 a day at one point, today 50 was reported.

There's been a state of emergency since 7th January, which has seen bars/restaurants, etc closing by 8pm. (In late November they had already changed closing hours from 'very late' to 10pm). Several prefectures have lifted or about to lift their state of emergencies. Looks like Tokyo will extend for at least 2 more weeks. Personally it would be good if they keep the states of emergency everywhere for longer, however the good news is they are delaying a restart of the discounted domestic travel campaign, which is probably a big factor in the numbers rising in the first place (along with cooler weather keeping more people indoors).
 
One solution I can think of: let all Texans that don't want to risk it to move out in the next few days with a C19 test. Then close the Texas border and let it be the country they've always wanted.

Reeves rescinds the mask mandate and allows businesses to operate at full capacity:

View: https://mobile.twitter.com/tatereeves/status/1366849019935412228


Well...I guess keeping in line with your thinking Mississippians that don't want the risk need to flee the state as well as close the borders.
 
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A year into this pandemic, most people are going to be on autopilot in regards to COVID restrictions and their PPE routines. In general, people who ignored the mandates will continue to not wear masks and people wearing masks will continue to wear them. I read that Kroger will still enforce masking in their stores and they are a large grocery store chain in the south. The good news is that the sunbelt is entering their warm season, so it is probably more important to ventilate indoor spaces where people gather as well as possible. Seasonal effects are tilting back in their favor. I would worry more about May-June when everybody is back congregating in their AC controlled environments. Hopefully, vaccines will help mitigate that potential outbreak.

Seems like RFKjr is going to drop a doozy of an anti-vaxxer movie tomorrow. Will be interesting to see how Social media companies respond.
 
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A year into this pandemic, most people are going to be on autopilot in regards to COVID restrictions and their PPE routines. In general, people who ignored the mandates will continue to not wear masks and people wearing masks will continue to wear them. I read that Kroger will still enforce masking in their stores and they are a large grocery store chain in the south. The good news is that the sunbelt is entering their warm season, so it is probably more important to ventilate indoor spaces where people gather as well as possible. Seasonal effects are tilting back in their favor. I would worry more about May-June when everybody is back congregating in their AC controlled environments. Hopefully, vaccines will help mitigate that potential outbreak.

Seems like RFKjr is going to drop a doozy of an anti-vaxxer movie tomorrow. Will be interesting to see how Social media companies respond.
I mostly agree with your assertion, but I work with a few people who only wore a mask because it was a mandate so now they don't (it's still a mandate here at work, but not in this county). I assume that there is a certain percent of the population who is the same. We have Fred Meyer here that is a Kroger brand, and they are still requiring masks, as is Albertsons, and WinCo. A small store near my house replaced their County Mandate poster with a "Please Keep our Employees Safe" sign.
 
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I did get my first dose of Moderna today. So far no side effects from the first shot. Once I got my first shot they got me scheduled to get my second dose on April 1st. Yes everyone was joking about that.
Good timing, I got my 1st shot yesterday (Pfizer). Only side effect is a pretty sore arm, but no worse than many other regularly sore body parts!
 
Hey, most of the Antivaxxer network here seems to be closely allied with several "remedy retailer" websites that profit mightily from the gullible by selling vitamins and other elixirs designed to ward off the virus that really, really, really doesn't exist except in political/media circles. Faith-based groups are particular targets, too. Heidi Munoz of Freedom Angels is an "activist" fighting against mask mandates, 2nd Amendment perceived threats and are also involved in Cali Gov Newsom's recall effort because....get this: he has been less effective in distribution of vaccines. This, while their group blocks the vaccine appointment traffic at stadiums for hours. Talk about creating your own market. And we thought the My Pillow guy was creative.
 
WHO to scrap interim report on virus origins – report. The Wall Street Journal reported that a World Health Organization team investigating Covid’s origins is planning to scrap an interim report on its recent mission to China amid mounting tensions between Beijing and Washington over the investigation and an appeal from one international group of scientists for a new inquiry.
 
I mostly agree with your assertion, but I work with a few people who only wore a mask because it was a mandate so now they don't (it's still a mandate here at work, but not in this county). I assume that there is a certain percent of the population who is the same. We have Fred Meyer here that is a Kroger brand, and they are still requiring masks, as is Albertsons, and WinCo. A small store near my house replaced their County Mandate poster with a "Please Keep our Employees Safe" sign.
Replying to myself...
Just to follow up on this, a woman who works here who is anti everything (so much so that I think she overlaps herself) who has stopped wearing a mask in public just told several of us "there were only 56 cases in Ada county yesterday, what are the chances that I will be near one them?"
 
Replying to myself...
Just to follow up on this, a woman who works here who is anti everything (so much so that I think she overlaps herself) who has stopped wearing a mask in public just told several of us "there were only 56 cases in Ada county yesterday, what are the chances that I will be near one them?"
"...and then come back and unknowingly spread to all my loved ones and friends." If they don't add that part of the sentence they haven't thought much.
 
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Replying to myself...
Just to follow up on this, a woman who works here who is anti everything (so much so that I think she overlaps herself) who has stopped wearing a mask in public just told several of us "there were only 56 cases in Ada county yesterday, what are the chances that I will be near one them?"
I'm guessing we all know someone like that. Just enough knowledge to be dangerous.

So far, there has been only 1 pediatric death from Flu this winter season. Typically there are about 200. Detection of flu cases has gone from about 175k a week to 1.5k a week. It won't last once these non-pharmaceutical interventions lapse, but this has been a really amazing winter for prevention of Flu and RSV. It shows what is possible.
 
I'm guessing we all know someone like that. Just enough knowledge to be dangerous.

So far, there has been only 1 pediatric death from Flu this winter season. Typically there are about 200. Detection of flu cases has gone from about 175k a week to 1.5k a week. It won't last once these non-pharmaceutical interventions lapse, but this has been a really amazing winter for prevention of Flu and RSV. It shows what is possible.
I'm tempted to use a mask at work until I retire.
 
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"...and then come back and unknowingly spread to all my loved ones and friends." If they don't add that part of the sentence they haven't thought much.
56 was the number reported for Thursday. She is a smart lady (work-wise anyway) so she has to understand that when they report Thursday numbers the numbers from previous days don't go away right? Plus, all of the asymptomatic that don't get reported. Shaking head...
 
I was able to sign up my parents in early sixties for vaccination on thursday next week. There were only 11 000 slots next week for whole country for age group 60-70 (about half million people I believe in this age group maybe less) so it was quite succes. :D I was similarly happy as I was when I managed to buy tickets for Prague NHL opening weekend or La Liga in Spain :D

Slovakia again changed the strategy for vaccinations. Next weeks it should be age restricted. 70+ Moderna, Pfizer and 60-70 AZ. I hope AZ will be efficient and my parents will have mild to non side effects. We dont want to wait for other vaccine than AZ in this situation with so strong epidemic here.