(Dutch Beer Race) Amstel Gold Race 2021, 216.7k. Sunday.

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Pick the winner.

  • Pidcock / Kwiatkowski

    Votes: 9 11.3%
  • Bagioli / Vansevenant / Alaphilippe

    Votes: 10 12.5%
  • Schachmann / Schelling

    Votes: 3 3.8%
  • van Aert / Roglic

    Votes: 33 41.3%
  • Valverde

    Votes: 5 6.3%
  • Hirschi

    Votes: 2 2.5%
  • Fuglsang

    Votes: 1 1.3%
  • Matthews

    Votes: 2 2.5%
  • Hindsgaul Madsen

    Votes: 3 3.8%
  • All these choices are ridiculous, I'm making my ballot invalid.

    Votes: 12 15.0%

  • Total voters
    80
  • Poll closed .
When was the last time that Amstel ended in a sprint of 15-20 riders? Zabel in 2000?

Conditions will be dry, it's really a semi classic here, way too short...so yes...a small group sprint.
There was a bunch sprint up the Cauberg in 2005 or whatever the year there was fog and zero coverage as the result

Edit: google says it was a smaller group than I remembered, but still a group sprint

Edit 2: probably 40 riders at a glance
View: https://youtu.be/P5gkMuw99aw?t=154
 
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Reactions: SafeBet
Wait why is this race now a criterium? Is it just because of covid or something?
Yes, apparently it's easier to keep crowds away this way.
They could have made it a bit longer, I guess the favourites will all wait for the final Cauberg ascent. I guess it's gonna be similar to the edition that Kwaitkowski won, a sprint between around 20 riders after the Cauberg.
 
Reactions: Sandisfan
btw, if people truelly expect the race to be easier they underestimate this circuit by a long shot. Coming from a local ;)

It's a lot of corners, uphill, downhill, no recovery.
But it's always technical, and the hardest hills aren't there. Maybe a reduced bunch sprint is overstating it looking at Brabantse Pijl, but that at least had steeper hills even if shorter.

I think Cauberg is the sort of hill that doesn't create much seperation between larger groups at all, just between individuals short range.

I do think GP Montreal is perhaps the best comparison, and that's seen a lot of larger group sprints.
 
But it's always technical, and the hardest hills aren't there. Maybe a reduced bunch sprint is overstating it looking at Brabantse Pijl, but that at least had steeper hills even if shorter.

I think Cauberg is the sort of hill that doesn't create much seperation between larger groups at all, just between individuals short range.

I do think GP Montreal is perhaps the best comparison, and that's seen a lot of larger group sprints.
i really don't see any remote chance of it ending a group sprint unless they race it as in the cauberg finish years.

I mean it's sad theres no VDP to guarantee racing at 50km+ but if anyone else is aggresive early, it's gonna be a very small selection.
 
Reactions: Sandisfan
i really don't see any remote chance of it ending a group sprint unless they race it as in the cauberg finish years.

I mean it's sad theres no VDP to guarantee racing at 50km+ but if anyone else is aggresive early, it's gonna be a very small selection.
Every big circuit race with a simlar profile in the last few years wasn't all that selective. I think Bergen 2017 is another example.
 
Reactions: Koronin

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