Man it's just too early to tell. It's extremely hard to predict who peaks when, how fatigue impacts riders, especially true for both Pogi and Vinge. Minor infections come and go, a couple of bad days of sleep, three weeks is an INSANELY long time. We've seen Roglic improve and decline relative to his competition and he won and lost races either way.
If these were off days, then he did relatively well to limit losses, but of course he needs to put pressure on opponents at some point if he wants to win the race.
Both Pogacar and Vingegaard has reasons to have bad days. Roglic is capable of miraculous days. We will see. It is going to be super fun. So far it's Pogi's race to lose.