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Riders are slowly approaching the final time trial in Madrid, yet we're still to solve many storylines of this Vuelta a Espana. Including the main one; Who is going to wear red on the final podium? Against all odds, Ben O'Connor still holds five seconds advantage over Primoz Roglic, who is confident in his time trial ability and thus doesn't need to make any big moves for the rest the race, his sports director Patxi Vila believes.
"I would say we are almost in the lead, so we don't really need to try to drop anyone. That's the most important thing. If someone wants to go, we need to try to follow, that's the most important thing at the moment," Vila told Cyclingnews. "At Lagos de Covadonga we did that - the idea was to follow, to be there and then see if someone has a bad day." On the Tuesday's climb, Roglic seemed to struggle with accelerations, but nothing could be further from truth as the Slovenian comfortably controlled the situation. "The goal there was to ride to the top with Enric and the other big favorites and see if we could get a bit of a lead on O'Connor, without going too crazy. It was already a tough stage. I think this is a moment where we try to avoid big efforts and keep the pace as high as possible. I think it's a moment to control our horses and just ride to the finish with the best."
I agree with this approach. However I would kindly remind Roglic that he has already once falsely believed he had enough advantage and doesn't need to drop Pog over the top of the last mountain stage when he could have gone for it at virtually zero cost (Pog already dropped & Wout in the back group with Pog). If the chance presents itself, then go for it!Roglic to follow and wait for O'Conner to drop more time, then blitz the TT. Luckily there's no Pogacar or Thomas breathing down his neck.
https://cyclinguptodate.com/cycling...the-vuelta-its-a-moment-to-control-our-horses
Considering his interrupted schedule this season due to several debilitating crashes it's difficult to compare season performances. I'd say he's just now getting up to speed again and has been fairly conservative about how deeply he commits.I don’t see where he is weaker except perhaps compared to 2021 edition. He is definitely stronger than 2020 and 2022 editions. I think he’s on par with 2019 edition and as per 2023 he certainly looks stronger now but we’ll never know how much he held back those stages before Angliru. If he doesn’t get dropped in the remaining 2 mountain stages, then the way I see it, this will be at least his second strongest performance so far…
I don’t think Landa can, unless today was just hunger knock. He had nothing in his legs.Landa will go into all-in attack tomorrow.
Rogla should just follow Mas and Carapatz.
This kind of thinking is one "crash/wrong turn/really bad day " away from not winning Vuelta. He needs to put time on everybody BEFORE TT if he can.![]()
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Primož Roglič lahko povsem mirno čaka na nedeljski kronometer
Neverjetno, kakšna statistika v korist Primoža Rogliča pred zaključnimi in odločilnimi tremi etapami Vuelte 2024.sportklub.n1info.si
Some interesting statistics in regards to ITT performances when compared to Rogličes main rivals at this Vuelta and considering current GC standings. Rogla faced O'Connor, Mas, Carapaz, Gaudu, Rodriguez, Skjelmose, Lipowitz, Sivakov and Landa 111 times and finished ahead 111 times.
This kind of thinking is one "crash/wrong turn/really bad day " away from not winning Vuelta. He needs to put time on everybody BEFORE TT if he can.
Perhaps willingly do it and show what a worthy winner and great champion he is.If forced into it then why not.
Perhaps willingly do it and show what a worthy winner and great champion he is.
Now, Roglic just needs to do some long range defence and the Vuelta is in the bag!Likely at Lombardia. As for the Vuelta, lets not forget Rogla was 5 minutes down and now he is 5s down. The proof is in the pudding!
I think Carapaz will move first tomorrow anyway