- Feb 6, 2012
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Skibby the bush kangaroo said:Well on the day he was tested he was one of 6 "randomly" chosen plus the leader and stage winner, so with ~160 riders in the race, provided you don't win or get the maillot jaune you are looking at about a 1 in 26 chance assuming it is chosen independently of position of GC. I suspect in reality it would be higher for someone like Frank Schleck, especially if he hadn't been tested in the preceeding days, but probably still 1 in 10 at best.
Yep. To add some more detail: I've got several close family members working/volunteering as jury officials for the German Cycling Federation and they choose riders to be "randomly" tested in national competitions mainly based on a) a sudden increase in recent performance, b) estimated time since an individual rider's last test, c) rumors about riders not being clean and d) overall performance.
I assume at the TDF it works slightly differently, since they conduct way more tests, but riders would hardly ever be randomly selected for testing.