• The Cycling News forum is looking to add some volunteer moderators with Red Rick's recent retirement. If you're interested in helping keep our discussions on track, send a direct message to @SHaines here on the forum, or use the Contact Us form to message the Community Team.

    In the meanwhile, please use the Report option if you see a post that doesn't fit within the forum rules.

    Thanks!

Geraint Thomas, the next british hope

Page 38 - Get up to date with the latest news, scores & standings from the Cycling News Community.
samhocking said:
The Hegelian said:
brownbobby said:
gillan1969 said:
@brownbobby

I'll break it down for you...

a traditional cycling nation producing a tour winner with a young protege - no suspicions aroused
a young protege from non-cycling nation winning the tour - no suspicions aroused

a traditional cycling nation producing a our winner with a no-hoper - suspicion aroused
a no-hoper from a non-cycling nation winning the tour - double suspicion

a no-hoper from a non cycling nation winning the Tour straight after the first no-hoper - treble suspicion

two no-hoper GT winners with a number of PED allegations swirling around them and with a history of working with a convicted Dr (who specialised in GT winners) - quadruple suspicion

I could go on...but we're at about ten-fold suspicion for Froome.....

And that's before starting on 'G'........... ;)

I agree with everything here except the significance of the nationalities involved.

In fact, unintentionally I'm sure, you've helped to illustrate my point, by throwing in the references to the Doctors, the Ped allegations...I could throw in many other things that make me suspicious.

So to repeat...the fact that 2 Brits happen to be the beneficiaries of this great doping success, if indeed that's what this is, is way down on the list of things that make me suspicious.

Maybe you factor it in, but the OP opined it was 'the most suss thing in this whole story for sure.

You're not changing my opinion, my disagreement, on that specifically.

You need to consider the consecutive nature of the GT winners/prospects, alongside the economics of why a team spends money in the first instance, who they're targeting (i.e. which markets), and how they aim to succeed in their marketing aims.

Fact is: Sky had a mission to 'make' the first GB tour winner. Had to be British. Since then they've dominated the tour with Froome, and have Thomas waiting in the wings in case Froome gets popped. In all cases, as a brand they're targeting the general/popular non-cycling British audience, and the only way to do that is to generate interest in the tdf. To achieve this aim, they must have a British rider contending for the win - otherwise, the popular audience will not watch/take interest.

What's suss about it: they've simply gone ahead and made this happen in the same manner as the Chinese government building a bridge "Here's the money, go do it." So let's say for the sake of argument, that it is a fluke of genetics and luck that Wiggins came along, and then Froome came along, and Sky was the beneficiary of these great signings. Well, the fact they can prepare the next British candidate to just 'take his place' and contend for the tdf win, without so much as one year off: it's extraordinary. And extraordinarily implausible that this is not being engineered using whatever means necessary.

I get the Sky suspicion but at the root of this is an obvious question looking from the perspective of the other teams looking at Sky and that is why don't they do the same as Sky? Or even more obvious, surely a doped racehorse can beat a doped Sky donkey? In other words, surely if the dice has all teams on it, the chances of it landing on Sky with a doped donkey are very slim if all the others are doped racehorses? It suggests either all the racehorses are not doping or Sky are doing something the racehorse teams don't currently do yet.

If it comes down to paying UCI money for anti-doping protection, why can only a team less than 10 years old, new to the game pay for it, but teams within the sport for the last 100 years winning, not, just because Sky come along? It's not down to just money. Clearly there is an incentive for UCI to accept all teams money for protection, not just from one or perhaps more lucratively sell it to the highest bidder/brown paper bag and it change more frequently that how long Sky have paid for it. I get the developing British market for sponsors thing, but nobody could argue a French winner of Tour de France against a British Team with a British rider from Kenya would not have a huge ROI assuming such protection is not hundreds of $millions. What was it Pantani earned Mercatone Uno for his 1998 Tour win. I believe their turnover increased over 1000% in the following 3 years due it that win. The company couldn't actually build enough new stores to keep up with demand after Pantani's win, yet before they were relatively small company to three years after. The same would happen for any French company sponsoring a French team winning. ROI for UCI protection and a guaranteed win would be huge.

Undetectable doping of unknown substances and/or unknown methods we'll never know until later if that's the case with Sky. Given the last 100 years, the doping has never been experimental or cutting edge. Undetectable, perhaps, but largely because it wasn't tested for, today that is not so difficult anymore.

No, I don't propose explicit forms of corruption as the basis for my explanation.

What we could see with our own eyes is that from 2012 Sky changed the GT game with the 'super-skinny but even more power than before' transformations. We could see this quite clearly with Wiggins, but also domestiques such as Rogers (who noted that his power in the '12 tdf was better than ever before).

I think that for sure, Tinkoff adopted this a little after - maybe in lieu of Rogers joining, maybe not.

And now to be competitive, one has to be in this skinny-power place. So, sure, they're all doing it now.

What Sky seem to have mastered is getting these massive weight drops from trackies/tt's/classics men. Thomas, Moscon, Kwia etc. So they become contenders in their own right, or super climbing domestiques.

I don't really see other teams doing this. Look at someone like Rohan Dennis for example - he's in this tremendous struggle to transform into an adequate climber, and it just ain't happening. There's no way he could be a climbing dom for Porte this tdf - but look at his pedigree. One get's the sense that if he joined Sky, he'd find a quicker/easier path.

What we know for sure about Sky is that have the biggest budget: that does, very directly, translate to the best and most sophisticated doping methods. We also know for sure that they use old school methods a'la wiggo and his steroids.

And there's a lot we don't know. Happy to profess that.
 
The Hegelian said:
samhocking said:
The Hegelian said:
brownbobby said:
gillan1969 said:
@brownbobby

I'll break it down for you...

a traditional cycling nation producing a tour winner with a young protege - no suspicions aroused
a young protege from non-cycling nation winning the tour - no suspicions aroused

a traditional cycling nation producing a our winner with a no-hoper - suspicion aroused
a no-hoper from a non-cycling nation winning the tour - double suspicion

a no-hoper from a non cycling nation winning the Tour straight after the first no-hoper - treble suspicion

two no-hoper GT winners with a number of PED allegations swirling around them and with a history of working with a convicted Dr (who specialised in GT winners) - quadruple suspicion

I could go on...but we're at about ten-fold suspicion for Froome.....

And that's before starting on 'G'........... ;)

I agree with everything here except the significance of the nationalities involved.

In fact, unintentionally I'm sure, you've helped to illustrate my point, by throwing in the references to the Doctors, the Ped allegations...I could throw in many other things that make me suspicious.

So to repeat...the fact that 2 Brits happen to be the beneficiaries of this great doping success, if indeed that's what this is, is way down on the list of things that make me suspicious.

Maybe you factor it in, but the OP opined it was 'the most suss thing in this whole story for sure.

You're not changing my opinion, my disagreement, on that specifically.

You need to consider the consecutive nature of the GT winners/prospects, alongside the economics of why a team spends money in the first instance, who they're targeting (i.e. which markets), and how they aim to succeed in their marketing aims.

Fact is: Sky had a mission to 'make' the first GB tour winner. Had to be British. Since then they've dominated the tour with Froome, and have Thomas waiting in the wings in case Froome gets popped. In all cases, as a brand they're targeting the general/popular non-cycling British audience, and the only way to do that is to generate interest in the tdf. To achieve this aim, they must have a British rider contending for the win - otherwise, the popular audience will not watch/take interest.

What's suss about it: they've simply gone ahead and made this happen in the same manner as the Chinese government building a bridge "Here's the money, go do it." So let's say for the sake of argument, that it is a fluke of genetics and luck that Wiggins came along, and then Froome came along, and Sky was the beneficiary of these great signings. Well, the fact they can prepare the next British candidate to just 'take his place' and contend for the tdf win, without so much as one year off: it's extraordinary. And extraordinarily implausible that this is not being engineered using whatever means necessary.

I get the Sky suspicion but at the root of this is an obvious question looking from the perspective of the other teams looking at Sky and that is why don't they do the same as Sky? Or even more obvious, surely a doped racehorse can beat a doped Sky donkey? In other words, surely if the dice has all teams on it, the chances of it landing on Sky with a doped donkey are very slim if all the others are doped racehorses? It suggests either all the racehorses are not doping or Sky are doing something the racehorse teams don't currently do yet.

If it comes down to paying UCI money for anti-doping protection, why can only a team less than 10 years old, new to the game pay for it, but teams within the sport for the last 100 years winning, not, just because Sky come along? It's not down to just money. Clearly there is an incentive for UCI to accept all teams money for protection, not just from one or perhaps more lucratively sell it to the highest bidder/brown paper bag and it change more frequently that how long Sky have paid for it. I get the developing British market for sponsors thing, but nobody could argue a French winner of Tour de France against a British Team with a British rider from Kenya would not have a huge ROI assuming such protection is not hundreds of $millions. What was it Pantani earned Mercatone Uno for his 1998 Tour win. I believe their turnover increased over 1000% in the following 3 years due it that win. The company couldn't actually build enough new stores to keep up with demand after Pantani's win, yet before they were relatively small company to three years after. The same would happen for any French company sponsoring a French team winning. ROI for UCI protection and a guaranteed win would be huge.

Undetectable doping of unknown substances and/or unknown methods we'll never know until later if that's the case with Sky. Given the last 100 years, the doping has never been experimental or cutting edge. Undetectable, perhaps, but largely because it wasn't tested for, today that is not so difficult anymore.

No, I don't propose explicit forms of corruption as the basis for my explanation.

What we could see with our own eyes is that from 2012 Sky changed the GT game with the 'super-skinny but even more power than before' transformations. We could see this quite clearly with Wiggins, but also domestiques such as Rogers (who noted that his power in the '12 tdf was better than ever before).

I think that for sure, Tinkoff adopted this a little after - maybe in lieu of Rogers joining, maybe not.

And now to be competitive, one has to be in this skinny-power place. So, sure, they're all doing it now.

What Sky seem to have mastered is getting these massive weight drops from trackies/tt's/classics men. Thomas, Moscon, Kwia etc. So they become contenders in their own right, or super climbing domestiques.

I don't really see other teams doing this. Look at someone like Rohan Dennis for example - he's in this tremendous struggle to transform into an adequate climber, and it just ain't happening. There's no way he could be a climbing dom for Porte this tdf - but look at his pedigree. One get's the sense that if he joined Sky, he'd find a quicker/easier path.

What we know for sure about Sky is that have the biggest budget: that does, very directly, translate to the best and most sophisticated doping methods. We also know for sure that they use old school methods a'la wiggo and his steroids.

And there's a lot we don't know. Happy to profess that.
I was reading through Dr. Ferraris blog.
Question:
Dear Doctor,

What could be a reason that every rider that transfer to Team Sky become stronger/winners? (Porte, Poels, etc.)

I have access to trainingfiles of riders from team sky (including chris froome, michal kwiatkowski, etc.). In general their way of training is the same, while they are diffrent kind of riders.

Do you think this training can make a racehorse out of a donkey or just; help to reach the top of your potential?

DrFerrari 2 Mar 2016
Team Sky is far ahead…
 
The Hegelian said:
samhocking said:
The Hegelian said:
brownbobby said:
gillan1969 said:
@brownbobby

I'll break it down for you...

a traditional cycling nation producing a tour winner with a young protege - no suspicions aroused
a young protege from non-cycling nation winning the tour - no suspicions aroused

a traditional cycling nation producing a our winner with a no-hoper - suspicion aroused
a no-hoper from a non-cycling nation winning the tour - double suspicion

a no-hoper from a non cycling nation winning the Tour straight after the first no-hoper - treble suspicion

two no-hoper GT winners with a number of PED allegations swirling around them and with a history of working with a convicted Dr (who specialised in GT winners) - quadruple suspicion

I could go on...but we're at about ten-fold suspicion for Froome.....

And that's before starting on 'G'........... ;)

I agree with everything here except the significance of the nationalities involved.

In fact, unintentionally I'm sure, you've helped to illustrate my point, by throwing in the references to the Doctors, the Ped allegations...I could throw in many other things that make me suspicious.

So to repeat...the fact that 2 Brits happen to be the beneficiaries of this great doping success, if indeed that's what this is, is way down on the list of things that make me suspicious.

Maybe you factor it in, but the OP opined it was 'the most suss thing in this whole story for sure.

You're not changing my opinion, my disagreement, on that specifically.

You need to consider the consecutive nature of the GT winners/prospects, alongside the economics of why a team spends money in the first instance, who they're targeting (i.e. which markets), and how they aim to succeed in their marketing aims.

Fact is: Sky had a mission to 'make' the first GB tour winner. Had to be British. Since then they've dominated the tour with Froome, and have Thomas waiting in the wings in case Froome gets popped. In all cases, as a brand they're targeting the general/popular non-cycling British audience, and the only way to do that is to generate interest in the tdf. To achieve this aim, they must have a British rider contending for the win - otherwise, the popular audience will not watch/take interest.

What's suss about it: they've simply gone ahead and made this happen in the same manner as the Chinese government building a bridge "Here's the money, go do it." So let's say for the sake of argument, that it is a fluke of genetics and luck that Wiggins came along, and then Froome came along, and Sky was the beneficiary of these great signings. Well, the fact they can prepare the next British candidate to just 'take his place' and contend for the tdf win, without so much as one year off: it's extraordinary. And extraordinarily implausible that this is not being engineered using whatever means necessary.

I get the Sky suspicion but at the root of this is an obvious question looking from the perspective of the other teams looking at Sky and that is why don't they do the same as Sky? Or even more obvious, surely a doped racehorse can beat a doped Sky donkey? In other words, surely if the dice has all teams on it, the chances of it landing on Sky with a doped donkey are very slim if all the others are doped racehorses? It suggests either all the racehorses are not doping or Sky are doing something the racehorse teams don't currently do yet.

If it comes down to paying UCI money for anti-doping protection, why can only a team less than 10 years old, new to the game pay for it, but teams within the sport for the last 100 years winning, not, just because Sky come along? It's not down to just money. Clearly there is an incentive for UCI to accept all teams money for protection, not just from one or perhaps more lucratively sell it to the highest bidder/brown paper bag and it change more frequently that how long Sky have paid for it. I get the developing British market for sponsors thing, but nobody could argue a French winner of Tour de France against a British Team with a British rider from Kenya would not have a huge ROI assuming such protection is not hundreds of $millions. What was it Pantani earned Mercatone Uno for his 1998 Tour win. I believe their turnover increased over 1000% in the following 3 years due it that win. The company couldn't actually build enough new stores to keep up with demand after Pantani's win, yet before they were relatively small company to three years after. The same would happen for any French company sponsoring a French team winning. ROI for UCI protection and a guaranteed win would be huge.

Undetectable doping of unknown substances and/or unknown methods we'll never know until later if that's the case with Sky. Given the last 100 years, the doping has never been experimental or cutting edge. Undetectable, perhaps, but largely because it wasn't tested for, today that is not so difficult anymore.

No, I don't propose explicit forms of corruption as the basis for my explanation.

What we could see with our own eyes is that from 2012 Sky changed the GT game with the 'super-skinny but even more power than before' transformations. We could see this quite clearly with Wiggins, but also domestiques such as Rogers (who noted that his power in the '12 tdf was better than ever before).

I think that for sure, Tinkoff adopted this a little after - maybe in lieu of Rogers joining, maybe not.

And now to be competitive, one has to be in this skinny-power place. So, sure, they're all doing it now.

What Sky seem to have mastered is getting these massive weight drops from trackies/tt's/classics men. Thomas, Moscon, Kwia etc. So they become contenders in their own right, or super climbing domestiques.

I don't really see other teams doing this. Look at someone like Rohan Dennis for example - he's in this tremendous struggle to transform into an adequate climber, and it just ain't happening. There's no way he could be a climbing dom for Porte this tdf - but look at his pedigree. One get's the sense that if he joined Sky, he'd find a quicker/easier path.

What we know for sure about Sky is that have the biggest budget: that does, very directly, translate to the best and most sophisticated doping methods. We also know for sure that they use old school methods a'la wiggo and his steroids.

And there's a lot we don't know. Happy to profess that.

Ok, so we don't think UCI protection, we don't think super drugs, we think weight loss. A logical explanation and basically what Sky claim is required. That is exactly how they explained picking Wiggins from all other BC riders in fact. Iirc Brailsford said they looked at Wiggins workload for the pursuit training, overlayed it onto data from the last GT winner and the numbers showed, weight loss would allow him to keep up in mountains and ITT would be where he could gain time. Obviously a lot of this had already happened at Garmin anyway, but he didn't win Tour by losing weight at Garmin.

So weight loss allows doped donkeys to become race horses and beat doped racehorses because the doped racehorses genetically better than them are too heavy? This would add up, bit you need to show what GC riders are too heavy? Froome, Dumoulin, Wiggins are the heaviest of the GC riders I believe. That simply doesn't make sense. How would a rider drastically losing weight below natural optimum have more power than another rider who's natural optimum weight is the same? Doping or not doping it makes no sense. Corticosteroids, Testosterone and Salbutomol are available to all teams to lose weight with and no doubt all weight loss drugs too. Why don't the doped racehorses lose weight like Sky and win?
 
Not going to requote ever post above, but everything you could say about Sky has already been said about USPS. Weight loss? Lance was looking extremely skinny during some of his 7 wins. Northern classics donkeys into climbers? I give you Hincapie.

I don't necessarily buy the "Sky bribed UCI to throw races and warn about OOC testing" -- is the testing easy to get around? Clearly, and it doesn't seem to take all that much effort. Would a "donation" of 50k or so help, sure, but not necessary, I think.

Some heretofore unheard of wonder drug? Nah, just organizing and optimizing what everyone else was/is doing.

I'm still of the opinion that the biggest budgets, sustained over time, will produce the best GT riders. The USPS and Sky trains meant/mean that LA/CF don't need to expend any energy until the optimal moment. How many GTs would either have won if they were in Dumoulin's place? I'm guessing probably about as many as he's won. In USPS's case (and maybe Sky's) the salaries not only bought top domestique talent but also omerta.
 
Well, 'organising and optimising what everyone else was/is doing' is essentially what marginal gains is, but the clinic says marginal gains is a smokescreen for doping, but then doping doesn't explain why doing what everyone else is doing (doping) with donkeys beats what everyone else is doing with racehorses when the biggest donkey is currently not protected by UCI and clearly Salbutomol is freely available to everyone anyway and of itself won't win Grand Tours anyway.

I appreciate doping is usually a programme of various substances and techniques over the season and no doubt every other team is aware of what the required doping program would be as many of them had such programs or at least have staff and ex-riders now who were.

Now, if we're saying Sky's doping is simply better organised and better optimised than other teams, I guess that would explain a fair amount. I guess the Leinders link could explain that, but Leinders at Rabobank never won Tour de France, so how can hand-me-down doping from Leinders 8 years ago, probably based on what he was doing at Rabobank 20 years ago be beating teams 20 years later, yet at the time not? That doesn't make logical sense in itself, although Rasmussen essentially did win, nearly I suppose. Anyway, from what we know of Rasmussen, it was the same substances and methods everyone of the time was using.
 
samhocking said:
Well, 'organising and optimising what everyone else was/is doing' is essentially what marginal gains is, but the clinic says marginal gains is a smokescreen for doping, but then doping doesn't explain why doing what everyone else is doing (doping) with donkeys beats what everyone else is doing with racehorses when the biggest donkey is currently not protected by UCI and clearly Salbutomol is freely available to everyone anyway and of itself won't win Grand Tours anyway.

I appreciate doping is usually a programme of various substances and techniques over the season and no doubt every other team is aware of what the required doping program would be as many of them had such programs or at least have staff and ex-riders now who were.

1. There's only one donkey in the mix here. Basically even the domestiques at Sky have all shown serious pedigree. i.e. Rogers was world tt champion a few times, and top tened the tdf. So the issue is principally turning non-GT riders with pedigree of various kinds (track, classics, tt etc) into GT superstars or climbing superdoms that can drop GC leaders of other teams.

2. You're missing the crucial link in the argument: biggest budget = best doping program. Armstrong himself has spoken about this. All this clinic stuff - which must be a step ahead of testing - is bloody expensive.
 
Best, most expensive doping program from who, using what? Just because we don't know how its done, doesn't mean that is the explanation, especially when the alleged most advanced doping program seems to also involve injecting crude $7 Corticosteroids under a TUE before a Tour and $4 Blue inhalers within La Vuelta. What's advanced about that? Anyone can do that and did?

If we're saying expensive/advanced/undetectable/experimental doping no other team has, then lets discuss what dots exist out there to suggest that, because the above certainly doesn't. Benotti69 when asked for past evidence of this in 100 years, could only come up with a 'rumour' Armstrong used a form of new EPO. While that might explain it not being detected by anti-doping, there's only so much oxygen you can put into your blood with all forms of EPO and we know all riders trying to beat Armstrong probably took that to it's limit % and still didn't test positive anyway back in Armstrong's time unless police/investigation found it inside a book or boot of a team car. Even Nationally-funded doping such we see in Russia today seems to be using old-school proven substances that everyone else is using. I would agree, more organised, more controlled and monitored perhaps, but would that not simply to find the right doctor to set it up? IOf we look at the numbers, it would seem easy to do.

Sky Corp spend £40 million / year to own Team Sky and their ROI they claim is £500 million in exposure of the brand.

By comparison:

AG2R sponsor team to €13m and their ROI is claimed to be worth €120m of exposure for the brand.

Even a ROI of only €120m for a losing team is well within costs of a very advanced doping programe and expensive doctor to run it, especially when AG2R could turn that €13m into €500m if they simply sponsor the team by another €27m if said drugs required are that expensive for 8 riders?
 
Re:

King Boonen said:
Mod hat on:

This is the Geraint Thomas thread. It's not the Sky Thread or a general doping thread. Please keep the discussion centred around Thomas or take it to the appropriate thread.

Cheers,

KB.

Happy to. Thought were discussing how Sky might take Thomas from overweight track rider who can't climb to winner of Dauphine who can. That's how the discussion started.
 
Re: Re:

samhocking said:
King Boonen said:
Mod hat on:

This is the Geraint Thomas thread. It's not the Sky Thread or a general doping thread. Please keep the discussion centred around Thomas or take it to the appropriate thread.

Cheers,

KB.

Happy to. Thought were discussing how Sky might take Thomas from overweight track rider who can't climb to winner of Dauphine who can. That's how the discussion started.

it took 8 years
eight years from when he joined Sky.
it took Sunweb how long to transform an overweight Rabobank TT rider in a grand tour winner?
 
OK, Thomas is legit GC rider then. But many in clinic complain how can a track/classics specialist who can't climb become a GC rider still. It's simply the other side of the same coin in the clinic depending on what timeframe your argument is based.

As for Doumilin, I'd say he's simply doing what Wiggins proved is possible. Big proven engine, drop the weight, hang on in mountains to power threshold, TT to make the difference.
 
Re:

samhocking said:
OK, Thomas is legit GC rider then. But many in clinic complain how can a track/classics specialist who can't climb become a GC rider still. It's simply the other side of the same coin in the clinic depending on what timeframe your argument is based.

As for Doumilin, I'd say he's simply doing what Wiggins proved is possible. Big proven engine, drop the weight, hang on in mountains to power threshold, TT to make the difference.

How can you comfortably call what Wiggins did during his Tour win year, hanging on in mountains? He was arguably the strongest climber (with the exception of his super domestique at the time) in the race.
 
Re: Re:

Angliru said:
samhocking said:
OK, Thomas is legit GC rider then. But many in clinic complain how can a track/classics specialist who can't climb become a GC rider still. It's simply the other side of the same coin in the clinic depending on what timeframe your argument is based.

As for Doumilin, I'd say he's simply doing what Wiggins proved is possible. Big proven engine, drop the weight, hang on in mountains to power threshold, TT to make the difference.

How can comfortably call what Wiggins did during his Tour win year, hanging on in mountains? He was arguably the strongest climber (with the exception of his super domestique at the time) in the race.

Because he didn't win a single mountain stage or use any climbs to gain time on GC and instead won both ITTs instead to reach Paris in the least amount of time? Maybe he didn't want to win any mountain stages and wanted to save energy for the ITTs so it just looked like he was hanging on and in fact was the best climber anyway. You could be right?
 
veganrob said:
gillan1969 said:
so now we have..

Twiggo - he just lost the weight
Froomey - he just lost the weight (that ones verified by a scientist :) )
G - he just lost the weight

to be fair I don't think G has asthma :)
It's still early. Did Walsh write a bike about him yet?

G has a book, aptly named “The world of cycling according to G”. G already knows everything there is to know about cycling :cool:

35ja0sg.jpg
 

TRENDING THREADS