Giro 2017, stage 10: Foligno - Montefalco 39,8km (ITT)

[classicomano]

Re:

It seems some people have forgoten about this: http://www.procyclingstats.com/race.php?id=149998

Yeah, that was in insane TT by Aru.

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

That Burgos TT was still a lot flatter than how Dumoulin likes his TT's

 

[rick james]

Lets hope Big Tam D take 3 minutes from Quintana to keep the race interesting

 

[carolina]

But being flatter is also worst for Quintana. I don't think he will lose more then 2 minutes.

 

[May0maniac]

Re:

It seems some people have forgoten about this: http://www.procyclingstats.com/race.php?id=149998

Martinelli already said before the start of the TT that only the first half would create real gaps, the 2nd part was too technical to create relevant gaps with raw power and it was true, Aru even gained time on the final sector, it was a pretty strange ITT but it was one the very few times that Aru actually had a great position on his TT bike, you could see that he had worked a lot to improve it.
Edit: Aru only lost 10 seconds on the last 12km, the final was rather technical.

 

[portugal11]

How strong is the wind for tomorrow? A headwind would be perfect too...

 

[filipepc]

Guys a race is always a race, before the giro when i saw so many contenders i thought to myself... hmmmm...

half of them will be out of course by falls and things like that. I guess this happen in almost the GT´S. So many contenders and we know that "***" happens so i was expecting something like that, not with a police moto, but someting bad...

About the race is a pity that sky guys are out, because they could do a good giro. To me now i just see 4 guys to win the giro: Quintana, Pinot, Dumo and Niballi.

The giro course is very equilibrated this year. Big mountains, big days, but two big ITT´S that can change a lot.

I don´t know if Dumo will hang on in the 3 week, but it was impressive to see him just loose less than 30 seconds to Nairo in a mountain so steep. Nairo can´t win so little to him in the mountains left because Dumo will win more than 3 min. in the 2 TT´S.

About Nibali he can crack, but he is always a danger, because like Contador he can attack from noware, from 100 km´s to go, and in a descent gain time... We never know.

Pinot, i guess he can battle and make at least the podium. He is a regular at TT´S and in the mountains. He looks in good form.

To the TT MY GUESS:

DUMO to put:

1.20 to Nibali
1.30 to Pinot
1.50 to Quintana

 

[Cookster15]

Re:

But being flatter is also worst for Quintana. I don't think he will lose more then 2 minutes.

I think Dumoulin would holder an even bigger advantage on an undulating rather than dead flat course. Only lost 24 seconds to Quintana on his Blockhaus playground. There is some doubt he has lost some TT power. We will soon see.

 

[Bavarianrider]

Never use TTes in Spain as a reference for TTes outside of Spain. In Spaine regularly strange things happen in TTes.

 

[SafeBet]

Never use TTes in Spain as a reference for TTes outside of Spain. In Spaine regularly strange things happen in TTes.

True, and it was the 17th stage. Recovery played a much bigger role than it will tomorrow.

 

[Geraint Too Fast]

Poor Formolo is going to drop half a dozen GC places here.

 

[Son of Amsterhammer]

Tommy D - easily. The question is by how much he gets on Quintana. I think 2 mins is the point where you start to say he's got a chance to win the whole thing. 2.30 would be incredible, at the same time, I think 1.30 just doesn't seem like enough.

 

[movingtarget]

Nibali needs to bounce back. A mediocre ride won't help him.

 

[jaylew]

I'll be curious to see how Thomas goes here. He'd be my pick as the best chance to push Dumo under normal circumstances but no telling if the crash will affect him.

 

[Jancouver]

1. Domoutrain
2. G +10s
3. Amador +20s
3. Pinot +30s
4. Mollema +45s
5. Zakarin +55s
6. Nib +1'15"
7. Quintana +1'30"
8. Formolo +1'45"
9. Kangert +2'15"
10. Pozzo +3'30"

Jungels, TJ, Crushweak etc may de better than some of the guys above, but it does not matter as they are out of the GC picture anyway.

 

[Chomsky]

1. Dumo
2. Ludvigson + 45 secs
3. Campenarts + 1 min
4. Van Emden 1:10
5. Thomas 1:10
6. Amador 1:15
6. Pinot 1:45
7. Mollema 1:50
8. Cataldo 1:55
9. Kangert 2 mins
10. Jungels 2:10
11. Hepburn 2:15
12. Zakarin 2:20
13. Haga 2:45
14. Barta 2:55
15. Nibali 3 mins
Quintana 3:45

 

[Robert5091]

Fun last km -
http://www.cyclingnews.com/news/gir...-montefalco-time-trial-preview/#disqus_thread
The most technical segment of the entire time trial comes inside the final 300 metres, where the course descends abruptly onto a narrow lane that leads into a carpark (!) and a 90-degree corner. Riders will then have to tackle a short, steep ramp before navigating another sharp right-hander before the finish. Mercifully, after a thundershower on the rest day, the forecast is for dry conditions in Montefalco on Tuesday.

 

[Kwibus]

Re:

That Burgos TT was still a lot flatter than how Dumoulin likes his TT's

Tom should be able to make bigger gaps on a flat TT vs Quintana than on a hilly TT. Tom has a bigger chance of beating TT specialists on a hilly TT, but a hilly TT is always in favour of other GC contenders as well.

 

[alexix7]

what the weather is going to be like ?

 

[Robert5091]

Re:

what the weather is going to be like ?

sunny and 24C according to https://weather.com/weather/today/l/ITUM1181:1:IT

 

[Fernandez]

Doesnt mind the time Dumoulin will take this afternoon, he will crack badly in one of the last week stages. Pinot is the real contender for Quintana.

 

[LPP68!]

the last corner https://www.google.nl/maps/place/06036+Montefalco+Perugia,+Itali%C3%AB/@42.8929911,12.6472851,3a,75y,115.08h,81.11t/data=!3m5!1e1!3m3!1s1xkr0Zz8jFPLotb_n6Fn-w!2e0!6s%2F%2Fgeo2.ggpht.com%2Fcbk%3Fpanoid%3D1xkr0Zz8jFPLotb_n6Fn-w%26output%3Dthumbnail%26cb_client%3Dmaps_sv.tactile.gps%26thumb%3D2%26w%3D203%26h%3D100%26yaw%3D341.59402%26pitch%3D0%26thumbfov%3D100!4m5!3m4!1s0x132e8e496bcc02ad:0x2419856ffa85767e!8m2!3d42.8892936!4d12.6502843?hl=nl

 

[portugal11]

How is the wind in italy?

 

[wirral]

Re:

How is the wind in italy?

Forecast to be 16 km/h fading away in late afternoon. Could be a factor helping the later riders and/or heavier riders.

 

[Ataraxus]

Re:

How is the wind in italy?

-The first 10 km section will be tail wind.
-most of the intermediate bumpy section will be blow sideways. with some sections in tailwind as well.
-Only the last 6.3 km will be pure headwind.