Il Lombardia 2023

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Who will win and why?

  • Tadej Pogačar

    Votes: 42 53.2%
  • Remco Evenepoel

    Votes: 14 17.7%
  • Someone else

    Votes: 23 29.1%

  • Total voters
    79
Pogacar. Not only he's an excellent climber but also has the best sprint out of climbers. This race is tailor made for him. He has to make sure he's strong enough to be in the top group. I see no particular reason why he will be weaker than in the previous two years. His form this year was probably his best ever (until TdF collapse, which was likely associated with shortened preparations). He had a lot of time to rest and recover and still has time to build his short autumn peak (like in previous years).

Competition? Primoz should be very strong uphill but his pedigree in very long one-day races is kinda weak. Remco will be there as well (?) - if he takes part he brings an x-factor to the race - possible attack (maybe from a far) and not neccessarily on an ascent. It could actually be a nice season-ending battle.
 
Apparently Pogacar has done some insane time on Madone today despite looking a bit second hand in last weeks races, Yates is looking ominous too, so they will be hard to beat.

Evenepoel is here, hopefully Rog will return too, get the impression both will have a point to prove.
Insane, comparable numbers to Pinot on La Rabassa for a lower and shorter climb
 
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For Roglic I would prefer a harder route, with Civiglio, and possibly Muro di Sormano, he's in great form and hard climbs would be in his favor. But nevertheless it is what it is, he can win on this route too.
Remco could be very dangerous here, more than on a harder route. He could be tempted to go from far out, let's see who will follow...