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Il Lombardia 2024, one day monument, October 12, farewell to Domenico Pozzovivo

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So Il Lombardia is around the corner! Beautiful roads near Lago di Como and historical circumstances.

Pogacar, who's the clear favourite here, is fighting for his 4th consecutive victory (tying with Coppi) and for 5th major win of the season (which also includes Tour+Giro double, WC and Liege), which would probably make it the best season ever (even vs Merckx's 1971 or 1972).

The fact that Tre Valli was cancelled is actually favorable for Pogacar, who will now save more matches for Saturday instead of burning them in terrible weather. My prediction hasn't changed: Pogacar will attack around 50 km from the line halfway through Sormano. Is anyone able to at least limit the damage and catch him later? Mas is in form, Evenepoel and Roglic may be fading already but they will try their best in climbers monuments for sure. We will see, either way Pogacar would still be favored in the final sprint.

And last but not least. Como area is beautiful, it's like a fjord in the Alps. I hiked in those nearby mountains in the spring.

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No one will catch him “later” if he goes anywhere within the last 50k. I’m still (and will perhaps forever be) waiting for a group of decent 2nd-tier (or just good climbers) guys to get away well before Pogacar attacks and try to stay away till the finish. He’ll still likely catch them but it will be more exciting.
Perhaps Nairo can be in that group to end the year on a good note 😀
 
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Cycling never becomes predictable to me.

In June I said, "Okay, he crushed everybody in the Giro, but it won't be obvious to do the same in the Tour."

In August I said, "Okay, he crushed everybody in the Giro and the Tour, but it won't be obvious to do the same in the WCRR."

Now I say, "Okay, he crushed everybody in the Giro, the Tour and the WCRR, but it won't be obvious to do the same in Lombardia!"
 
Cycling never becomes predictable to me.

In June I said, "Okay, he crushed everybody in the Giro, but it won't be obvious to do the same in the Tour."

In August I said, "Okay, he crushed everybody in the Giro and the Tour, but it won't be obvious to do the same in the WCRR."

Now I say, "Okay, he crushed everybody in the Giro, the Tour and the WCRR, but it won't be obvious to do the same in Lombardia!"
Sounds like self harm. I could use a Lefevere quote here 🤣
 
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