I wouldnt be entirely surprised if he is able to bring this one home. To me he is a future GT winner, the way he pushes the paddles just seems so extremely easy, that sometimes its just like you are watching Pogacar himself. (With some less watts at the moment)
The guy is also super allround, very good Climber, really punchy, good TT, great downhiller and also good in these type of sterrato races. With years and experience the output in watts is likely to grow, but in this Giro he might just already have the level to keep the jersey all the way to the end if his team supports him.