It would be difficult for him to win, but he have some chances to do a "surprise" if he does the race. Obviously guys like pogacar and van der poel are the favourites.He doesn't have Pogacar's explosivity...not to mention MVP. Even staying with them on Poggio is not easy and I don't think he descends good enough to beat guys like MVP or Mohoric downhill. Lombardy is the best for him. Liege and Strade are also worth giving a shot.