Le breton said:
I think that it is safe to say that Greg Lemond and Bernard Hinault in their prime and in the midst of winning the Tour de France are capable of beating an over the hill bike racer by more than 3 minutes up this climb. Especially when you consider that I was fresh and they were at the end of a hard stage in the middle of the Tour.
What you say makes no sense. Are you implying that on the last climb at the end of a stage with about 5000 meters uphill they should be able to climb faster than fresh?
No, I was saying that the fact that an old man was close to them is indicative that they weren't going anywhere near their limit. Further I was saying that anybody who tries to draw any conclusions about doping, etc. from that climb time is, basically, an idiot. That climb doesn't show anything about Lemond and Hinault's true capabilities.
As a sidebar I think that using the times from the ITT up Alpe d'Huez that Armstrong won is probably a bad idea also. In no other year that Alpe d'Huez was used were any of the riders nearly as fresh when they climbed it and in no other year do you absolutely know that the riders rode the whole climb at full gas as opposed to tactical and then hard. Off the top of my head you could maybe compare the year of "the look" to the ITT because the attack went very early on the climb, but you still have the fresh vs at the end of a hard stage difference to skew things.
While in 2009 you were able to climb AdH in 50:55, I am ready to bet that at the end of the Marmotte - even properly trained - you couldn't have done better than 58 min on that climb (and worse if you had been with just one buddy from say St-Michel de Maurienne)
Yes that is part of my point. People are ignoring that some of those times are from an ITT and that makes a huge difference.
In summary here are some of the problems that I see with comparing historical times on Alpe d'Huez to try and show who doped and who didn't.
1. Bikes. The bike that Fignon rode barely resembles the bike that Armstrong rode in the ITT up the Alpe. The bikes are probably 5 ls lighter now and the wheels are are not only lighter but more aero, etc.
2. Differences in how much work it took to get to the climb. ITT vs. 80km off the front leading to the Alpe vs sitting in the bunch all day until the bottom of the climb. Brutally long and hard stage vs just plain old hard. How do you quantify that?
3. Less cumulative fatigue in modern days because your bike is 5 lbs lighter that Fignon's bike and you didn't have to carry that 5 lbs up three huge passes just to get to the Alpe. And aero carbon wheels that again make every pedal stroke that much easier.
4. Tactics. Full gas from the bottom? Tactical with everybody looking at each other until half way? Tourist pace because you are so far off the front and the Tour is decided.
5. Temperature
6. Wind. It seemed kind of windy towards the top when I did it. Might have cost me 8 minutes or so.
I'm not by any means saying that nobody on that list was doping. I'm just saying that I think it's a WHOLE LOT LESS black and white than some people think and a LOT harder to compare times over the years to show anything conclusive.