Nomad said:
Do you recall Philly's 2012 season with Reid at the helm?
Good detective work.
What exactly are we basing Mahomes ability on? Right now? Being drafted high? Practice? Scrimmage? A passer rating of 126.4 against the 49ers in a preseason game? That number is such an absurdly small sample size, and absurd way to gauge his future ability. He was 7/9 for 49 yards.
There have been two knocks on Smith his entire career. The first that he doesn't win games for you. Well, he doesn't lose them either. And he has won plenty of games actually. He's also put up some excellent numbers as one of the most accurate arms in the last decade, plus he's mobile, and more physical than given credit for. The other knock has been, for whatever the reason, while his arm strength is okay, for being such an extremely accurate passer short, he isn't that accurate long, or won't pull the trigger sometimes on long passes. Last year Andy Reid started calling for more long throws, and in the 49er game we saw Smith (also Brey and Mahomes) attempt to throw long. Will that continue? How will Smith respond? Unknown right now.
I think to call for the end of Smith's career, and push to get Mahomes in there to lead the Chiefs to the promised land based on this is crazy.
Having said that, teams, GM's, even solid coaches have done far crazier things.
But let's say Smith does get hurt. Let's say he has an injury he can't quite get 100%, but can get on the field, and during that time he is struggling. But when Mahomes gets in there when Alex is hurt, he is throwing very well, deep, (he appears to have a very strong arm, stronger than Smith), and comfortable in there. Then what? I agree Reid could decide to keep Mahomes playing, if on a short leash. I view Reid as an intellectual coach, a practical coach. So anything is possible. I just don't see him thinking because Alex hasn't won enough big games, and Mahomes was drafted high, naming Mahomes the starter this year, unless Smith gets hurt, or really falters.
Maybe the best news for KC and everyone involved is that they seem pretty supportive of each other. Smith may see the long term writing on the wall, but seemed to really encourage Mahomes, and Mahomes seemed to appreciate his opportunity, and to learn as much as anything...for now.