We have big 4 split in two threads, numbers just came in and don't justify that any more.
I think you watched a different race than the rest of us. It's quite obvious that it's:
Pogacar/Vingegaard > Remco/Roglic >> The rest
There is no need to merge the threads because neither Remco or Roglic are at the level of the other two. There are only two ways that they might win the TDF:
1. Pogacar feels the Giro in his legs, Vingegaard doesn't have a base wide enough due to crash, so both of them will fade at the end of week 3
2. Pogacar and Vingegaard look too much to each other, and one of them is able to take time due to that.
But if everything stays normal and they ride like they did yesterday, they are not the same.