My biggest concern for Philipsen is if he fizzles out like Kittel and post him sprinters. Though if he can keep it up this and next season he’s in with a good chance.
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Ok I forgot about that one 😉Yeah... that famous three-week Mickey Mouse race down in Spain...
Surely Evenepoel has a very good chance? 54 wins at 24, averaging about 15 wins a year?
I can see another 3 seasons of 10+ wins, and then if he declines or struggles then imo he'll become a Hirschi-like 1.Pro warrior.
Based on what logic? He recently learned to sprint. That's helpful to win more rather than less. Any TT he enters is a toss up for another win. Any one week race with a TT gives him clear odds to win if Pogacar or Vingegaard are absent. If course he is also very consistent when it comes to showing up for big one day races or championships. And if he goes rogue in a GT he can win 3-4 races as the Vuelta showed. So you believe all that is gone at the old age of 27, an age where he actually may be in a team with the same tools and trainers than his main contenders have today?
Woah woah, I'm saying 3 more seasons as a conservative estimate, which is what he needs to get him to near enough 100 wins. You never know what happens to cyclists as they age, see Quintana, and I agree there's no reason to assume that Remco suddenly falls off a cliff, but even if he does, all he needs is three more seasons at this level and he'll almost definitely hit 100 wins by the time he retires.
He already fell off a cliff once.
That seems to have only temporarily slowed down his career.
He wasn't far from winning the last stage in TA, but Wærenskjold is faster than him (sometimes).
What are peoples thoughts on Kooij? Or do sprinters burn out too easily?
Numbers will likely drop if he does a world tour heavy schedule but 1 or 2 years as the clear number 1 guy could significantly bump up his tally.
We live in an era that lack great sprinters so I don't believe any of the current sprinters are going to get 100 wins. We have to wait for a new Cav or Cippollini to start dominate sprints again for more than a year.
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You think he'll race until he's a hundred years old?
Kooij may have more at the same age? He also may not be pigeon holed as a flat sprinter.
We also live in an era where there seems to be less opportunities for the Cavs or Cipollinis to rack up wins, as the number of pan-flat stages/races seems to have diminished. I also think that even though there is a lack of 'great' sprinters now, the depth of the sprinter field is pretty good, perhaps better than what Cav had to face. With that said, both Cav and Cipo are unquestionably among the greatest sprinters of all time, so I'm not trying to take anything away from them.
If Démare is on form, he could get there this week. He has a chance on all of the six stages in the six day-race Four Days of Dunkerque and on GC. He is on 95 at the moment.
Unless of course Masnada just rides home solo every day, that is.
Unless of course Masnada just rides home solo every day, that is.
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