Riders to reach 100 pro wins

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Which riders will reach 100 pro wins?


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But will any of these male superstars get there before Lorena Wiebes who is currently on 96 , doubtful I
think.
I'll get my coat.

I've mentioned the "battle" between Wiebes and Pogačar before. However I hadn't really considered how close she and Kristoff were.

While Wiebes is the best sprinter on the women's side, she's listed to ride multiple races which might not end in a sprint, or at least not ones where she'll be present. She could still reach 100 before the end of March, which is (possibly) less likely to be the case for the Norwegian. It would help him a lot if he wins tomorrow.
 
I didn't realize how rare it is for someone to reach 100 wins. In the last 10 years there has only been 2 riders achieving this, Peter Sagan and Alejandro Valverde. And now we can have 2 or even 3 riders doing it this year alone, In the past 45 years there has only been 14 riders doing it.
Nowadays, I think riders are trying more to reach 100 wins in their careers. And there is also more longevity in cycling due to training and nutrition.
 
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RiderAge (Dec 31)Run of wins (3 seasons)WinsEst. chance (%)
DÉMARE Arnaud337-4-29770
KRISTOFF Alexander375-2-79585
VIVIANI Elia352-2-0891
ROGLIČ Primož355-15-88880
POGAČAR Tadej2616-17-2386>99
BOASSON HAGEN Edvald370-0-0810
GROENEWEGEN Dylan317-6-57410
BENNETT Sam343-3-5670
EWAN Caleb307-1-3630
EVENEPOEL Remco2415-13-95995
COQUARD Bryan323-3-1520
GAVIRIA Fernando303-2-1520
QUINTANA Nairo344-0-0510
VAN DER POEL Mathieu295-6-4501
MARECZKO Jakub303-1-2500
MERLIER Tim325-11-165015
PHILIPSEN Jasper269-19-85075
VAN AERT Wout309-5-5492
Update with the riders who still have a chance to make it:

RiderAge (Dec 31, 2024)Run of wins (3 seasons, plus the current year)Wins
DÉMARE Arnaud337-4-2-(0)97
KRISTOFF Alexander375-2-8-(1)97
POGAČAR Tadej2616-17-25-(3)91
ROGLIČ Primož355-15-8-(0)88
GROENEWEGEN Dylan317-6-5-(0)74
BENNETT Sam343-3-5-(2)69
EVENEPOEL Remco2415-13-9-(0)59
MERLIER Tim325-11-16-(4)54
PHILIPSEN Jasper269-19-9-(0)51
PEDERSEN Mads299-7-12-(2)48
KOOIJ Olav2312-13-8-(2)38
VINGEGAARD Jonas287-15-9-(2)38
DE LIE Arnaud229-10-7-(1)27
MILAN Jonathan242-3-11-(3)19

Nys and Magnier can be added to the list if they have a good year.
 
Update with the riders who still have a chance to make it:

RiderAge (Dec 31, 2024)Run of wins (3 seasons, plus the current year)Wins
DÉMARE Arnaud337-4-2-(0)97
KRISTOFF Alexander375-2-8-(1)97
POGAČAR Tadej2616-17-25-(3)91
ROGLIČ Primož355-15-8-(0)88
GROENEWEGEN Dylan317-6-5-(0)74
BENNETT Sam343-3-5-(2)69
EVENEPOEL Remco2415-13-9-(0)59
MERLIER Tim325-11-16-(4)54
PHILIPSEN Jasper269-19-9-(0)51
PEDERSEN Mads299-7-12-(2)48
KOOIJ Olav2312-13-8-(2)38
VINGEGAARD Jonas287-15-9-(2)38
DE LIE Arnaud229-10-7-(1)27
MILAN Jonathan242-3-11-(3)19

Nys and Magnier can be added to the list if they have a good year.

Extra-ordinary generosity to Sam Bennett there
 
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His 8 victories last year were all WT, and he delivered the best climbing performance of his career on the road to his Vuelta win. He can pick up a handful of WT victories before summer.
Like I said, if he keeps riding like this he won't. This spring he wouldn't win anything at this level. I do have to say I forgot he was the only bigger name doing the Giro. There he can get a 2-3 wins. He won't win anything in Dauphine with Pogi and Vingo there, same goes for TDF.
 
Like I said, if he keeps riding like this he won't. This spring he wouldn't win anything at this level. I do have to say I forgot he was the only bigger name doing the Giro. There he can get a 2-3 wins. He won't win anything in Dauphine with Pogi and Vingo there, same goes for TDF.
It was the same tale last year after Paris-Nice. And then he won the Itzulia ITT (and Dauphiné as his next race).
 
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It was the same tale last year after Paris-Nice. And then he won the Itzulia ITT (and Dauphiné as his next race).
Vingegaard and Evenepoel crashed out so not sure what you expected in Dauphine. He won the ITT indeed, there is no ITT in Catalunya not to mention after today I doubt he would beat Vingegaard again.

Does it make you feel better if I say I also don’t expect Evenepoel to win anything this spring unless he rides Romandie?
 
It was the same tale last year after Paris-Nice. And then he won the Itzulia ITT (and Dauphiné as his next race).
He was definitely worse here than he was in Paris-Nice last year, though. Both the MTF and the TT should have been right up his alley and he was nowhere near, whereas in Paris-Nice he was at least in the mix on three out of four GC days. Catalunya and the Tour are not going to be particularly lucrative given the competition, so if that + the Giro is all he's racing until summer then he would likely need a farmy stage race in the autumn to be able to match last year's 8 wins. And that's assuming he hasn't actually gone down a level over the winter, because if he has he definitely isn't getting to 100 by the end of his career without meaningful farming.
 
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