will Cavendish take the Green Jersey? Unlikely
Unlikely? Any reason for that exactly?
He would have won it this year if not for the stage where he was disqualified, and last year he went in to it denying that he was going for Green. This year he has already said that he is targeting Green.
Cavendish is also unlikely to win a Worlds any time soon with support from an IoM team.
Oh dear...
At least get your knowledge right before trying to argue something in your favour.
Beyond racking up a load of GT stage wins against fairly weak opposition, what is Cavendish's outstanding achievement?
What an extremely negative way to look at it. Cavendish is the Worlds best sprinter, and that is because he is so much better than the others in an out and out sprint. That is the 'outstanding achievement'
And he certainly won't be challenging for a GT win anytime soon :lol:
And if you think that is the be all and end all, you clearly dont understand cycling.
Wiggins has been schlepping around the roads of Europe for years in races like the Tour de Poitou Charentes (now please tell me SoM that you know all about that parcours). If the Pyrenees hadn't been neutered, and if the Garmin team hadn't produced in the TTT, where do you place Wiggins overall? Did he once produce an attack that stuck? Or win a TT? Or look like winning a stage? He had a few lucky breaks and was able to stay with the final selection in the Alps - except when Contador and Schleck attacked, to which he had absolutely no answers. 2010 is liable to see more contenders, more focused and, with the absence of a TTT and the huge presence of the Pyrenees (let alone lack of opportunity to make time in the TTs - though I'm unaware that Wiggins outrode Contador in those either) I fail to see where Wiggins will make his time over Contador - or Schleck, Menchov, Evans etc etc. And what does Wiggins want to win except for the TdF? Don't see him riding Paris-Roubaix, the Ardennes, the Giro as a serious contender, do you?
Wiggins is on an upward curve. Prior to 2009, his main focus was Track Cycling and he also did not have the most supportive teams. He has said in his book that he did not enjoy his time at the French teams particularly, while at Columbia he was just another part of the sprint train for Cavendish. Since then there has been the documented weight loss, and full focus on the road - something that is only likely to continue with no IP in 2012 - and in a supportive team structure (first Garmin, and now Sky).
The realistic target for Wiggins at this years Tour is 3rd place. At current nobody can match Contador on the climbs, with Andy Schleck still a solid 2nd. Of course Wiggins needs a further improvement to get 3rd, but he is capable of beating the likes of Armstrong, Evans and Menchov - i personally dont see Armstrong getting any better, while you can never seem to tell which Evans or which Menchov will turn up - a bigger threat may come instead from Gesink or one of the Liquigas riders. But also this year, Wiggins is going to be more experienced at dealing with the Mountains - last year he was learning as the race went on, and any experience gained is bound to help this year.
And with the time trials, there may not be much, but Wiggins is at current the 2nd best GT rider in TTs, behind Contador - so he will be expected to gain time on his rivals there
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