The thing is given how strong he is currently, I just can not see him get distanced by anyone except in a sprint.
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Well he couldn’t drop MVDP at MSR with two good climbs and there are other heavier riders who will be in the mix at P-R. But as you say they don’t have to distance him, just be in the same group and blow Pog away on the velodrome.The thing is given how strong he is currently, I just can not see him get distanced by anyone except in a sprint.
I think it's just funny that probably nobody who has a very strong opinion about the safety or danger of riding Paris-Roubaix has actually run the numbers.
I think it's just funny that probably nobody who has a very strong opinion about the safety or danger of riding Paris-Roubaix has actually run the numbers.
Of course. I can see Toby’s point that perception of risk riding P-R doesn’t reflect the true risk. But at the end of the day Pogi is less physically suited to P-R than SB or MSR. P-R is a flat parcours.
Seems like accepting a small increased risk of injury for lower probability of success.
Anyway it’s Pog’s call not ours. Will be fun to follow him just hope he gets through unscathed.
I can be so wrong but I agree. Draft plays such a huge role in PR and his engine is one of the best.The thing is given how strong he is currently, I just can not see him get distanced by anyone except in a sprint.
This math makes perfect sense to me"The numbers don't lie, and they spell desaster for Pogacar!"
Thought about doing that this afternoon, then realised I follow cycling for fun.I think it's just funny that probably nobody who has a very strong opinion about the safety or danger of riding Paris-Roubaix has actually run the numbers.
I think he will try PR several times in his career, he wants to win all 5 monuments, he can probably do MSR, LBL and Lombardia near enough every year. RVV and PR might depend on other factors, ie risk/targetting other races etc.He couldn't help himself and had to try it at some point. No hills and there are a few big boys that can beat him. If it turns out to be a bad idea he won't try it again but regretting not trying isn't an option for him.
This sounds like mvp is going to be covered with pogi dustI can be so wrong but I agree. Draft plays such a huge role in PR and his engine is one of the best.
On the one hand, I'm thinking "That's a pretty good idea, if there's any race where that might work it's PR".His only chance of winning PR is faking weakness in a crucial moment and then do a sneaky attack.
The incredible thing about Scott Steiner's promo is that the arithmetic is actually correct. The man did after all go to a highly educated university.
Not from MvDP already in good form. I do see Pogacar being there close to the end thoughOr he just rides away. We shall see!
No. After a cobbled section where things calm down and reset. It's a classic move and done all the time. It's about the same as attacking over the top of a mountain when everyone is spent. From that point on its a TT and you can hope group 2 syndrome sets in.On the one hand, I'm thinking "That's a pretty good idea, if there's any race where that might work it's PR".
But on the other hand... PR is a flat race. It's about pure flat power and technique. So, where should he pull it off? It should be on a difficult cobbled section but not too far from the finish. Because after he pulls it off, he still has to stay ahead. He might get rid of others that way, but not Mathieu imo.
Or actually riden the race.I think it's just funny that probably nobody who has a very strong opinion about the safety or danger of riding Paris-Roubaix has actually run the numbers.
I think he will try PR several times in his career, he wants to win all 5 monuments, he can probably do MSR, LBL and Lombardia near enough every year. RVV and PR might depend on other factors, ie risk/targetting other races etc.
The move of a real championHis only chance of winning PR is faking weakness in a crucial moment and then do a sneaky attack.
The move of a real champion
Pogacar is probably the third best flat time triallist after Ganna and WVA (I'm only counting favourites). It is not all about power and technique, there is also CDA. For some reason, MVP didn't catch Pogacar after Paterberg in 2023. Of course I give the edge to MVP on the cobbles but on asphalt, Pogacar would be a tough guy to catch. And I'm not sure MVP is willing to push like a mad man if somehow Pogacar is in the front alone (unless MVP is alone too behind).On the one hand, I'm thinking "That's a pretty good idea, if there's any race where that might work it's PR".
But on the other hand... PR is a flat race. It's about pure flat power and technique. So, where should he pull it off? It should be on a difficult cobbled section but not too far from the finish. Because after he pulls it off, he still has to stay ahead. He might get rid of others that way, but not Mathieu imo.