Teams & Riders Tadej Pogačar discussion thread

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Mar 4, 2011
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I like to check bookies before a GT and he is the overwhelming favourite. It is scary to think bookies think he has almost the same odd to win Tour than he had for the Giro. Before the Giro, he was at 1.22 (22bet), now 22bet are giving him 1.30 to win the Tour. They are not counting on Vingegaard to race the Tour, let's see how Pogacar's odd will oscilate with Vingegaard's presence.
The second favourite is Roglic with 5.5.
The third favourite is Remco with 9.
I’m not knowledgeable enough about bookmaking for bike racing, but in other sports the odds reflect not only the actual chances of said rider to win, but also an offset re: how people are betting (or are likely to bet). From a purely a gambler’s point of view Vingegaard and perhaps Remco are risky bets because their injury status is still mostly unknown, and so less money would be put on those two.
 
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Mar 12, 2010
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I’m not knowledgeable enough about bookmaking for bike racing, but in other sports the odds reflect not only the actual chances of said rider to win, but also an offset re: how people are betting (or are likely to bet). From a purely a gambler’s point of view Vingegaard and perhaps Remco are risky bets because their injury status is still mostly unknown, and so less money would be put on those two.
Yes the bookies will follow the money flow in the odds - that's primarily how they allocate the risk to them (they still obviously prefer a favourite not to win). I'd suggest the latest odds merely reflects and influx of wagers on Pog post his Giro domination.
 
Mar 4, 2011
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Giro domination and Vingegaard's crash decreased Pogacar's odd. I remember he was at 3.5 before the season. Honestly, I think he will kill the race already on Galibier and make the final checkmate in the TT.
Fine with me —it will still be more exciting than Giro because the other elite guys and teams will put up a challenge.
 
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Feb 20, 2012
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I personally hope pogi breezes to a win which will make for a compelling conversation about him riding the vuelta and worlds
Very compelling story when he doesnt do the Vuelta and every GT was ***, in the case Vingegaard walks over everyone there
 
Jul 10, 2014
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Only saw the first image, now we have the follow-up! Really heartwarming.

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Elos Anjos

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May 23, 2022
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Cycling analyst extraordinaire Tejay Van Garderen says Pogi should race more tactically:

He just doesn't understand anything. I read that earlier and was like: "Did he watch the race?"