The Cycling Betting Thread

[cyclingfanatik]

Going all-in on a race that might be decided by 2 seconds- good luck!

I'm on Garmin at 2.05 today and think Saxo will get 2nd.

Btw. I really like your Rodriguez play.

 

[The Hitch]

I'm virtually putting most the profit from the Tour on the line.

King of Mountains

$600 Moncoutie @ $4

Overall H2H

$400 Rodriguez over Sastre @ $1.70

Sprint Classification

$500 Bennati over Weylandt @ $1.66

Stage 1

$300 Columbia top 3 @ $3
$100 Columbia to win @ $10
$300 Columbia over Katusha @ $1.66

I won't be doing much stage betting if Stage 1 goes to crap.

Am i misreading this or did you put over 2 grand on the vuelta?

 

[Sasquatch]

Am i misreading this or did you put over 2 grand on the vuelta?

You are not misreading this. Don't forget after the Tour I was up close to 2600. If it goes crap, so be it. But these bets are worth huge stakes. Particularly Moncoutie.

 

[cyclingfanatik]

I like 'em. (except for htc to win the TTT). Bet more!

 

[The Hitch]

Stage 1

$300 Columbia top 3 @ $3
$100 Columbia to win @ $10
$300 Columbia over Katusha @ $1.66

I won't be doing much stage betting if Stage 1 goes to crap.

Congratulations. Looking good for Columbia

 

[Sasquatch]

I like 'em. (except for htc to win the TTT). Bet more!

Tell me about it. Oh well!

 

[Sasquatch]

Stage 1

$300 Columbia top 3 @ $3
$100 Columbia to win @ $10
$300 Columbia over Katusha @ $1.66

Nice!

Cheers, Hitch!

 

[cyclingfanatik]

Sweet finish. Let me know when bet $3.65 has cut you off, that's a good start!

Btw, I was big on rabo and sky today(why?) Awful result.

 

[Sasquatch]

One was with Sportingbet Australia
One was with Sportingbet UK
The other was with Bet365.

I work it around so I don't get gagged like some books tend to do to people.

 

[Sasquatch]

Stage 2

$500 Cavendish @ $2.25

 

[San Carlo]

Congratulations Sasquatch! That was impressive.
But you should read a little about money management and not get to greedy. By doing that you can make a good income from betting on cycling. If you continue to go "all in" with your win, you will one day loose.

You should also use the betting site with the highest odds. Cavendish for ex is 2.6 on Betfair.

 

[Sasquatch]

Thanks for congratulating me. I appreciate it but so you know me, I will point out one thing and please don't take this as offensive. I'm only saying this so you have a better idea of how I do things as everyone does things differently. I've been betting and had success on cycling for the last three years. I have a method. I have plenty of money available to bet with for this Vuelta. Two of those bets for the TTT were solid. I'm only posting here so other people can win cash to.

In fact, I'm not going to be doing much stage betting this Vuelta. I decided to mainly do solid overall bets. I have a plan at the start of each race to stick to. This was all going to be about overall bets and waiting to see if something decent would pop up in the TTT and two bets did. If you read the stage one thread in one of the first few pages, you will see I was big on Columbia and laid out the reason why and I was spot on. People were focusing on Garmin and not focusing on what a short TTT requires. Anaerobic performance, not Aerobic like some teams and Columbia had the best anaerobic team there. I would have been shocked if they didn't finish top 3 and beat Katusha who didn't have the riders for this course. If the TTT was 10km+ further than what it was it would be another story and I wouldn't have backed Columbia.

I don't use Betfair because most the bets I place with them in the past are never matched and it ****es me off. I know you're trying to give advice and I appreciate that but please trust me that I have a plan and method before each race. Sort of like a strategy of what to do I guess you could say. A lot of thinking and planning goes into it.

Don't be surprised if I'm quiet until next weekend in this thread because at the moment my plan was stage one, stage two and nothing until the first MTF unless I'm available to bet in-play. I have no intention on betting on many stages unless something decent pops up.

Originally I was going to put $1300 on Moncoutie for the KOM @ $4 and be done with it and wait three weeks.

 

[Ferminal]

Stage 3

Gilbert @ 6.8
LL Sanchez @ 25.7
Freire @ 31.4

 

[Scirea]

Grega Bole @21 is decent

 

[Sasquatch]

Stage 3

Gilbert @ 6.8
LL Sanchez @ 25.7
Freire @ 31.4

Solid stuff! Well done!

 

[Sasquatch]

Stage 4

$400 Rodriguez @ $3.25

 

[Connor Pass]

Stage 5 gone for

Haedo over Weylandt - 1.72 (Will Hill)
and
Farrar over Hutarovich - 1.72 (Pinnacle)

 

[Ferminal]

Stage 6

Farrar over Cavendish @ 1.75
Van Avermaet over Bole @ 1.71
Van Avermaet top 3 @ 7.00

Not sure whether or not to bet on the win.

 

[Sasquatch]

Stage 7

$300 Cavendish @ $2.10

He's gotto break through eventually

 

[Ferminal]

For some reason JRod was sitting at 1.43 to top6 overall on Betfair. It's a thin market though, but I spread around $90 between 1.35 (where he is now) and 1.43.

 

[Timmy-loves-Rabo]

for today's stage

I put 5 on menchov @ @21
andd..
Karpets, 5 @100

 

[The Sheep]

for today's stage

I put 5 on menchov @ @21
andd..
Karpets, 5 @100

I had Menchov @ 24

Mosquera @ 16

Should have layed Menchov as he was down to 10 before he got dropped

Did lay mosquera @ 3 so got a tidy profit still

 

[cyclingfanatik]

Ok, its Cav time: Cav 1.67 over Farrar... No way farrar does it again

 

[Sasquatch]

Good luck guys.

$200 Bennati over Weylandts @ $1.76
$400 Cavendish over Farrar @ $1.50

 

[cyclingfanatik]

good call on cav!

I'm just wondering why you took bennati here... he sure hasn't done much this vuelta.

Two for today:
Gilbert -160ish Sammy i'm too tired Dumoulin
Galimzyanov -160ish Cardoso