The Cycling Betting Thread

[Sasquatch]

Well I got them refunded so it's all good.

Shame Bole or Van Stayen didn't start though, confident both Feillu and McEwen would have beaten them respectively.

 

[sausagedog]

Tour de France without Contador

I notice a new market in TDF without C has sprung up. Schleck at 1.91 with PP looks ok and also Nibali at 13 with each way 1/4 the odds (ie 4.0 for a podium place).

I suppose there is a risk of non-entry or a new cycling star emerging or a change of form in the light of advanced doping tests so not a no-brainer but worth monitoring.

 

[Damiano]

Tomorrow is Giro di Lombardia. My 2 bets so far:

Dries Devenyns - Domenico Pozzovivo, 2 - 1,75. 100 dollars @ unibet
Giovanni Visconti - Dario Cataldo, 1 - 1,714 - 50 dollars @ sportingbet

 

[gizzajob]

Kolobnev on Twitter:
This morning:straight from flight I went to training to c last 50km of "Lombardia". I've liked it .Tough and danger.Tomorrow ShowTime

Evans in comparison complaining of being over-tired after long season.

Kolobnev H2H vs Evans @ 17/20 on Sportingbet

 

[Badeend]

PMartens83:
Wasn't my day...changed my position last days,stupid idiot i am. Sore muscles whole day...hope you didn't bet on me saturday.change that!:-/

Hehe! He is 2.52 against Pozzovivo, was very tempting untill i read this. Still tempting, i like Martens (in a non-gay kind of way)

 

[Badeend]

Kolobnev on Twitter:
This morning:straight from flight I went to training to c last 50km of "Lombardia". I've liked it .Tough and danger.Tomorrow ShowTime

Evans in comparison complaining of being over-tired after long season.

Kolobnev H2H vs Evans @ 17/20 on Sportingbet

I only have Kolobnev against S Sanchez, on the Australian Sportingbet . But since i dont get a bonus there i can better open one on the European part as well! Does someone have a referbonus or something?? Well yeah season is over, but for next year i need sportingbet, they have different match-ups then Pinnacle, bet365, ... they are all the same.

 

[MADRAZO]

I only have Kolobnev against S Sanchez, on the Australian Sportingbet . But since i dont get a bonus there i can better open one on the European part as well! Does someone have a referbonus or something?? Well yeah season is over, but for next year i need sportingbet, they have different match-ups then Pinnacle, bet365, ... they are all the same.

Just for the record. Its Pinnacle always copying bet365.

Too bad with all the copying now a days, but respect to sportingbet for being one of the few bookies (along with bet365 and a few others) compiling the matchups themselves. Too bad then that Sportingbets limits is so ridiculeus that it doesnt matter (I can play about 12 dollar on their matchups..) . I'd wish pinnacle would start copying them too, cause at least all the copying in the market increases the limits...

 

[Ferminal]

Gilbert around 5.20/5.30 currently on Betfair, great odds.

 

[auscyclefan94]

Surprise about how short evans is ($11.00)

 

[Sasquatch]

Why?

According to BMC's press release the other day Evans wants a win. I would have Evans at around 9's.

 

[Sasquatch]

Surprise about how short evans is ($11.00)

Why?

According to BMC's press release the other day Evans wants a win. I would have Evans at around 9's.

Unless Evans mentioned something to you during pillow talk?

 

[Sasquatch]

$10 Sinkewitz @ $51
$150 Gilbert @ $4.25
$500 Brajkovic over Sagan @ $1.58
$400 Martin over Fuglsang @ $1.45
$200 Evans over Nibali @ $1.65
$200 Kolobnev over Scarponi @ $1.53
$200 Sinkewitz over Martens @ $1.58

 

[Tuarts]

Hopefully you'll have more luck here Sasquatch. You seem to have a lot of capital to bid too.

 

[Badeend]

Kolobnev crashed ... but Evans didnt finish, yippie

 

[Sasquatch]

Hopefully you'll have more luck here Sasquatch. You seem to have a lot of capital to bid too.

Yeah, if you check through the thread, you will see why.

Losing night unfortunately.

Lost 322.5 tonight.

It's a shame that Brajkovic didn't have the balls to finish. Would have ended in the green.

 

[auscyclefan94]

Kolobnev crashed ... but Evans didnt finish, yippie

Evans did crash as well but clearly didn't have legs either.

 

[fox1981]

i put money on scarponi getting on the podium at 4:1.

that and nibali for the win, but i still came out on top

 

[Badeend]

No one who bets on cyclocross ??

Today had Stybar versus Nys at 4.00, and Aernouts vs Wellens at 2.65. Stybar lost, Aernouts won. Strange race!

 

[Badeend]

Seems no one bets on cyclocross, ok

 

[gizzajob]

I know there is some discussion about the TDU odds at http://forum.cyclingnews.com/showthread.php?t=11403&page=19
but thought it good to open this thread again.

Thanks to some early strange odds from Stanjames and PaddyPower, I'm sitting on EW bets of Cavendish at 34, Rojas Gil at 81 and Goss at 23 for TDU.

I can't see any stage or H2H bets out yet -oddly Bet365 have nothing which is weird as they are normally near the first.

I'm hoping this year to learn from the good advice from Sasquatch, Ferminal, Badeend and others and not make a loss on my cycling bets !
`

 

[Connor Pass]

You're in a nice position Gizza - I suppose it's very hard to know who is on form at the moment and who will take it seriously.

I'd say H2H should be available by Sunday - a few others have prices now - still none from Bet365 - mind you they're restricted my account - apparently they're notorious for that.

 

[Badeend]

Like every year the most interesting stage is the one finishing on Willunga Hill.
In sprintstages there is too much luck involved to place bets on (imo), if the odds were 1.95 each you could get profit but at odds of 1.85 each its hard. It's a bit like picking red or black in the casino
Season starts and then it's always tempting to start betting at everything you like, but we have no idea who's in good shape and we'll get a lot of bunchsprints, that's a good combination if you are a bookie, not if you want to bet

 

[auscyclefan94]

Greipel has firmed into outright favourite. Other riders odds who have shortened are Sutton into $23 and Renshaw into $19

 

[Ferminal]

I'm a bit unsure on how the race will play out. Because there are so many sprinters none of them might win multiple stages, which means consistency and placings is most important.

If say the winners went like this - Greipel, Cavendish, Goss, Chicchi, Rojas, Farrar. It would come down to who finished 2nd/3rd the most, who won the intermediates, or who (if any) got time on the harder stages. This also opens the door to an adventurous non-sprinter (say Ballan) to win a stage with a 5s gap - that would almost be enough to take the GC.

The only rider with the potential to dominate the four flat sprint stages is Cavendish... its too tough for Greipel or Farrar to win more than 1-2. Davis is a bit of an uncertainty for me, his form is definitely better than last year, but if he was in peak shape he would have been in the leading group last week.

I will probably back Cavendish, Goss and Rojas for the overall plus a few non-sprinters as cover.

 

[jens_attacks]

still no tour down under on bet365...


for the overall i will pick greipel and goss.