Barrus
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- Apr 28, 2010
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The Crusher said:I've looked at this like 30 times.
http://www.cyclingfans.com/node/1111
So at first I thought that was Alberto chasing Andy but it's actually Vino. So I'll make a number of observations here from watching this:
* At -0:44 in the frontal shot, Alberto is nowhere in sight, between the group and Vino.
* At -0:44 to -0:42 in the wide helicopter shot, just prior to the wheel hop, Vino gains only a few inches.
* After the wheel hop, Vino sits down, and slows down visibly (compared to the background, not compared to Andy). So Vino the animal thought it was inappropriate to continue the attack.
* Now around -0:37-36 we see Alberto pass Andy in the rear shot. This is where his attack really begins, after Andy had already been re-absorbed basically and Vino had eased up.
* Did Alberto know? By this time, Andy is barely moving and mostly staring at his own drivetrain. He gets off the bike about a second after Alberto passes him.
Also
* When the incident happens, you can see the idler is fairly well-extended, and then suddenly retracts.
* At -0:07, right when the incident occurs, it looks like Andy is trying to shift.
* Whatever happened causes the rear wheel to hop up.
I'll leave it to others to look at these bits and estimate exactly what the failure mode was.
To be honest if you look at that video, better quality than most I've seen, AS is still in his saddle pedalling, perhaps without really going forward, but it might not immediately indicate a problem for anyone not on his tail the moment the thing with the chain happened, it also appeared as though everyone else attacked, or countered AS his move, as you see everyone going past AS very quickly, DM, SS and VBD2