Tour de France 2020 | Stage 13 (Châtel-Guyon - Puy Mary, 191.5 km)

[Red Rick]

If the break is allowed to go far enough up the road (enough to take the stage win), I'm not sure how intense the GC battle will be at the end, since the bonus seconds on the penultimate climb and finish will no longer be available. I could be wrong (and often am).

It probably makes them less passive at the very top of the GC cause they're not waiting to outsprint each other.

 

[Anderis]

Hugh Carthy will win this bike race.

He would have but he crashed on stage 10 and looks hurt now.

 

[Oliver]

Maybe Buchmann in the break?

 

[Eclipse]

imo this will confirm the likely overall winner.

Roglic should smash this. If he doesn't I think it's likely he's going to get found out over the remainder of the race.

(that or he's the single most defensive rider in history)

 

[Krokro]

I'm not expecting a fight for GC, cause it's the Tour and especially cause that one is boring af.
Hope for a good breakaway, real heroes of this Tour!

 

[slosada]

The opening ramp through Châteaugay is roughly 3k at 6%, I couldn't find a profile, but it should help the stronger climbers if the breakaway forms early

Chateaugay Climb | Strava Ride Segment in Châteaugay, France

www.strava.com

indeed, 3@6% with 1.7@7.2% in the middle
However, the profile in the segment is not good. Better check activities on that profile.

 

[Leinster]

If the break is allowed to go far enough up the road (enough to take the stage win), I'm not sure how intense the GC battle will be at the end, since the bonus seconds on the penultimate climb and finish will no longer be available. I could be wrong (and often am).

With so many categorized climbs through the day, and double digit grades in the final 2km, there will be riders hurting when the GC group gets near the end. Someone will let a gap open, and the others will just have to pile on and put time into them by default. If someone has good/bad legs it will make a much bigger difference than an 8 second time bonus.

 

[CyclistAbi]

For GC contenders and their teams, this is going to be a nervous stage. A lot of dynamic terrain to cover, a lot of narrow roads and likely mano a mano type of finish. Likely GC contenders won't be fighting for a stage win.

P.S. But you never know, as the summit doesn't have enough space for media people. Maybe Roglič will say, heck that suits me, lets win.

 

[Gigs_98]

This has Roglic written all over it. Not sure whether he can actually win the stage because I expect a lot of strong riders trying to get into the break but this finishing climb suits him really really well. Think this is about damage limitation for everyone else.

 

[Libertine Seguros]

Finally, Sepp Kuss has a stage that he believes to be worth trying to race. Jumbo might actually try to gain time at last.

 

[roundabout]

I'd like to see a Mas-Mollema-Caruso-Carapaz-their helpers ambush attack.

99.95% not happenning, but leave me to dream.

 

[CyclistAbi]

Finally, Sepp Kuss has a stage that he believes to be worth trying to race. Jumbo might actually try to gain time at last.

Likely not at all costs. If for example Ineos would decide, to do whatever it takes, to control the stage, then i can see Roglič settling for not loosing any time.

P.S. In that case Kuss will just wait for stage 15, to do his thing.

 

[Escarabajo]

I'm not expecting a fight for GC, cause it's the Tour and especially cause that one is boring af.
Hope for a good breakaway, real heroes of this Tour!

With that steep climb at the end is basically very difficult not to have GC differences and therefore a battle of GC.

 

[Leinster]

With that steep climb at the end is basically very difficult not to have GC differences and therefore a battle of GC.

I just hope someone tries something before it gets to there. There will obviously be differences in the final 2km, but it would be depressing if everyone were to wait until there to do anything. If they do, it'll just be Primoz winning the wrestle-with-your-32-out-the-saddle contest.

 

[Andre]

Maybe Pogacar will be the one to climb up the GC the most.

 

[uconnryan]

Should be Buchmann, fairly easily too.

 

[42x16ss]

This is the day to start a serious tilt at the KOM classification

 

[gregrowlerson]

VAMOOOOO

Don't think it's hard enough for carnage all day. I think the break will get 20 minutes and win, Mende 2018 style. Sagan in the break.

Would be happy to be wrong.

Trying some reverse pyscology?

This is no stage 6.

 

[Keram]

That would be nice, but I don't think Sunweb will have enough leverage to get him off the front again after his efforts today, and he's going to be tired for that brutal finish. Another climber?

I hope Buchmann. Bora deserve something for their effort so far.

 

[IndianCyclist]

Breakaway. Both Ineos and Jumbo donot have the firepower to chase for a gain of few seconds. The stage is not hard for attrition to happen. Some GC attacks from Bernal, Pogacar and Quintana shut down by Dumoulin or Roglic defending.

 

[Koronin]

I'd like to see a Mas-Mollema-Caruso-Carapaz-their helpers ambush attack.

99.95% not happenning, but leave me to dream.

If it was la Vuelta, maybe. This is the Tour, so unlikely. However, I could see Movistar trying to get half their team into the break to go stage hunting. If Soler is finally finding some form I could definitely see that.

 

[Amazinmets87]

I think the peloton will be selective as to which riders it allows into the peloton so far as GC placement. This stage is hard and I believe the peloton will want to take it easy on the initial portions.

 

[houtdffan]

Breakaway. Both Ineos and Jumbo donot have the firepower to chase for a gain of few seconds. The stage is not hard for attrition to happen. Some GC attacks from Bernal, Pogacar and Quintana shut down by Dumoulin or Roglic defending.

If Bernal makes a real attack, Dumoulin is not catching him

 

[movingtarget]

Maybe another bonus for Roglic but the break probably has a good shot. Someone like Rolland maybe, De Gendt might look for something easier. Zakarin has his usual issues with descents but will probably try anyway. GC top 10 should get a shake up at least. Pogacar probably won't be able to restrain himself, Jumbo will probably take a wait and see attitude. Quintana, Landa and others get another chance to show what they have. Be nice to see Quintana risk his position on GC and go all in but he probably won't. Never really been his style. I think they have to at least test Roglic's legs and Pogacar would be the obvious one to try. Whether he can continue to keep doing that until the TT remains to be seen. I thought Bernal showed some improvement on the previous climbing stage. Richie Porte's final chance for another top five GC result ? Losing a chunk of time here will mean the end for that aim. If he can stay in contact with riders like Landa on GC the time trial should move him up.

 

[Gargamel35]

I think a large break group will form. Someone in this group will be around 8 - 10 minutes behind yellow jersey. And group will finish the race around 11 minutes before Yellow jersey so Roglič will loose it. In last climb Roglič does nothing, then Bernal attacks with Roglič and Pogačar following wheels. Then Pogačar goes and doesn't look back. Roglič again on his wheel, Bernal falls behind but catches them before finish.