Tour de France Tour de France 2021, Stage 12: Saint-Paul-Trois-Châteaux – Nîmes, 159.4 km

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The 13 riders in front:

André Greipel
Edward Theuns
Julian Alaphilippe
Imanol Erviti
Nils Politt
Stefan Küng
Stefan Bissegger
Connor Swift
Harry Sweeny
Brent Van Moer
Luka Mezgec
Sergio Henao
Edwald Boasson Hagen

Even if Alaphilippe functions as a spoiler, the break should still stand a good chance to win.
 
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I think with Greibel, Theuns, Swift and Mezgec in that break, DQ will not feel confident Alaphilippe can take the stage on the line - and they probably want that record for Cavendish.

Without the record in play, they would let the break go to the end - now I'm not so sure.
 
I think with Greibel, Theuns, Swift and Mezgec in that break, DQ will not feel confident Alaphilippe can take the stage on the line - and they probably want that record for Cavendish.

Without the record in play, they would let the break go to the end - now I'm not so sure.
I would feel very confident about Ala winning that sprint, especially if he's able to avoid doing any work all day long on account of Cavendish coming up from behind.