Jonas.. I suffered today... so hot.. 35 degrees at the bottom..
Its was extreme moves Pogacar came with.
Vingegaard ain't bad at TT.. beated Roglich at the opening time trial here in 2022 TDF and not far after Pogacar (short one) and also distanced Pogacar in the 2021 Tour de France time trial . at 31km (stage20).. and Jonas took a little under ½ minute to Pogacar and managed a rank3 in that ITT 31km stage20, where Pogacar managed rank8.. who likely also played it safe and calculated to Jonas..
Jonas landing a P3 on the final 31Km in TDF2021 stage20 from a P2 placing.. speaks volumes about his time trial ability...
I don't see much difference between them in TT.
Wout van Aert is the winner of Tour de France 2021 Stage 20 (ITT), before Kasper Asgreen and Jonas Vingegaard. Tadej Pogačar was leader in GC.www.procyclingstats.com
Vingegård is a great TTer for his weight but I don't think that last year's stage 20 TT is a very good reference point, sure Vingegård did beat Pogačar but he took the corners carefully due to having the Tour already in the bag while Vingegård had to concern himself with Carapaz for second place. Plus that TT also came after 2 weeks in the yellow jersey for Pogačar which means less rest everyday. This year it will likely be Vingegård arriving to that TT with more than one week in yellow so he will not be as rested as last year. That's why I think a better reference point is the 1st TT oc last year's Tour where Pogačar put 27 seconds in Vingegård so a second per km even while doing the TT in the white jersey so for the last TT, I expect a similar kind of difference so around 40-45 seconds but if Vingegård has a bad day this difference will be bigger as Roglič showed in 2020.
Still Pogačar needs to recover significant tine before the TT and that's where his biggest challenge lies I am afraid