rghysens said:
for the record, I think Cav would have won green this year if they had the same system as both the Giro and Vuelta (25, 20, 16, 14, 12, 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 on every stage)(I calculated it up a couple of days from the end of the race but never completed the calculations).
I don't see what's wrong with that stage. After all, it's the points jersey, not the points for flat stages jersey. Unless you make the race completely un-sprinter-friendly like the Giro was this year, then the sprinters will always have a good chance at the jersey anyway.
Here are the last 10 points jersey winners at the Giro:
2001 - Massimo Strazzer (secondary sprinter)
2002 - Mario Cipollini (sprinter)
2003 - Gilberto Simoni (GC man)
2004 - Alessandro Petacchi (sprinter)
2005 - Paolo Bettini (all-rounder)
2006 - Paolo Bettini (all-rounder)
2007 - Alessandro Petacchi (sprinter)
2008 - Daniele Bennati (sprinter)
2009 - Danilo di Luca (GC man)
2010 - Cadel Evans (GC man)
- seems like a pretty good mix. Three times a GC contender has won it, four times a pure sprinter has won it, with another time for a guy who's a sprinter but not an élite type one (Strazzer also loved the Intergiro), and two for Paolo Bettini, who is the kind of rider who should be able to do well in a well-balanced points competition.
Now, for the Vuelta, which has an identical points system:
2001 - José María Jiménez (GC man)
2002 - Erik Zabel (sprinter)
2003 - Erik Zabel (sprinter)
2004 - Erik Zabel (sprinter)
2005 - Alessandro Petacchi (sprinter)
2006 - Thor Hushovd (sprinter)
2007 - Daniele Bennati (sprinter)
2008 - Greg van Avermaet (secondary sprinter)
2009 - André Greipel (sprinter)
2010 - Mark Cavendish (sprinter)
Clearly the routes of the Vuelta, plus the withdrawal of many key contenders making it easy for the jersey-holding sprinters to accumulate large points in final-week flat stages, make a sprinter's victory in the competition much more likely. However, it is not impossible for a GC man to take it, as Jiménez proves, and often a GC man is 2nd or 3rd in the classification - Valverde held the jersey for a few days in both 2008 and 2009.
The Tour's points classification biases points in favour of the sprinters, but because it offers places so far down in flat stages points, the difference between points tallies are smaller, percentage-wise, than in the Giro and Vuelta. There isn't as much of a reward for winning stages compared to placing 2nd or 3rd (the Volta a Portugal offers an even more winner-biased system of 25-20-16-13-10-8-6-4-2-1).
The points classification winners at the last 10 Tours are:
2001 - Erik Zabel (sprinter)
2002 - Robbie McEwen (sprinter)
2003 - Baden Cooke (sprinter)
2004 - Robbie McEwen (sprinter)
2005 - Thor Hushovd (sprinter)
2006 - Robbie McEwen (sprinter)
2007 - Tom Boonen (sprinter)
2008 - Óscar Freire (sprinter)
2009 - Thor Hushovd (sprinter)
2010 - Alessandro Petacchi (sprinter)
Yes, some of those "sprinters" are more versatile (Boonen, Freire, Hushovd) but the list of names shows how the jersey is much more of a sprinter's thing than the Giro or Vuelta. The Giro/Vuelta system, when applied to the routes of the Tour, would certainly not stop sprinters winning the jersey. It might add another level of competition - see Gilbert competing for the Vuelta's points jersey this year, and Bettini's two wins in the Giro's points competition. Making it feasible for the likes of Edvald Boasson Hagen to compete for it as well as the Cavs and Hushovds of the world would likely make it a more interesting competition, in my opinion, because those riders would be chasing points on different stages, and trying to get into the top 15 of sprints for the minor points would be key.