Tour Down Under Stage 3: Unley - Stirling : 132.5km

[auscyclefan94]

Can anyone beat Greipel? Who's your tip?

 

[Publicus]

Can anyone beat Greipel? Who's your tip?

I'm going to say McEwen or Davis given the uphill finish, with the caveat that Davis may not make it over the KOM.

 

[auscyclefan94]

Does anyone think Hincapie can win?

 

[Tugboat]

Does anyone think Hincapie can win?

No. .

 

[craig1985]

Piti should try and win. He may as well since he might just be on a little holiday for a year or two.

 

[brianf7]

McEwan can do it but I think he will save it for the last stage he is getting stronger moving up every time.

He needs a good win to get his confidence up but note he dose not need the lead out train he is cheeky enough to use anyone who will get him there.

 

[issoisso]

Perfect for Valverde or Davis, but they both seem off form. Should be interesting.

 

[Moondance]

Valverde might be able to do something. Would shake things up for sure.

 

[Bike Boy]

What about Steegmans? I know he's big but he has won uphill before.

 

[auscyclefan94]

Valverde might be able to do something. Would shake things up for sure.

especially being in Australia...

each time LA has been in a leadout, he has screwed it up and forced Radioshack backwards.

Wyss not happy with browns sprint, swerved acroos the road and i think he has a point.

 

[hfer07]

question:
Unless you're in Australia- there is no way to get live "video broadcasting" at all?
about today's stage:
Someone apart from Greipel will win

 

[Anonymous]

question:
Unless you're in Australia- there is no way to get live "video broadcasting" at all?
about today's stage:
Someone apart from Greipel will win

even if you are in australia there is no video...
radio only..

 

[Buffalo Soldier]

what about steegmans? I know he's big but he has won uphill before.

I agree (/hope)

 

[Tugboat]

The optimist in me wants to stick with Henderson for the win... the realist says that Greipel (barring a crash) is unstoppable.

 

[stefrees]

especially being in Australia...

each time LA has been in a leadout, he has screwed it up and forced Radioshack backwards.

Wyss not happy with browns sprint, swerved acroos the road and i think he has a point.

thats a first brown doing something stupid in sprint!

 

[issoisso]

The optimist in me wants to stick with Henderson for the win... the realist says that Greipel (barring a crash) is unstoppable.

It's an uphill sprint, though. If Greipel wins here, then he's in the form of his life.

 

[Tugboat]

It's an uphill sprint, though. If Greipel wins here, then he's in the form of his life.

It's the same finish as last year, it's not that uphill. There's probably only a 20m or so elevation change over the last couple of kilometres.

 

[Polish]

Today's odds per UNIBET.com:

Tour Down Under 2010 - Stage 3
Who will win?

Greipel, A 2.10
Henderson, G 10.00
Davis, A 11.00
Steegmans, G 12.00
Rojas Gil, J J 13.00
McEwen, R 15.00
Hunter, R 16.00
Brown, G 20.00
Cooke, B 20.00
Valverde, A 20.00
Roelandts, J 35.00
Voigt, J 35.00
Haedo, J J 40.00
Hutarovich, Y 40.00
Forster, R 50.00
Mandri, R 50.00
Sanchez, L L 50.00
Sutton, C 50.00
Hincapie, G 75.00
Evans, C 80.00
HWMNBN 100.0
Dessel, C 100.0
Pereiro Sio, O 100.0
Rosseler, S 100.0

 

[ImmaculateKadence]

It looks like this is a stage where a break could survive, but if it ends in a bunch sprint, I'm not betting against Greipel.

 

[Anonymous]

Today's odds per UNIBET.com:

Tour Down Under 2010 - Stage 3
Who will win?

Greipel, A 2.10
Henderson, G 10.00

Pereiro Sio, O 100.0
Rosseler, S 100.0

can someone explain those odds to me and translate them into english..

whatever happened to good old 7/4, 3/1 etc...

 

[Waterloo Sunrise]

2.1 = 21/10 etc

 

[Anonymous]

2.1 = 21/10 etc

so 2/1 and hendo etc are out at 10/1?

Bizarre..

so 7/4 on etc is .6 ish..? weird system..

 

[auscyclefan94]

I believe that Greipel will lose some time today, he's too heavy to stay with the more punchy riders for a hilly finish. They go up the hill 3 times and it is a very undulating. Gripel will have to be climbing well if he wants to make the finish, even so i don't think he will win the sprint.

38oC today, it is going to be really tough...

 

[Tugboat]

Davis won in a bunch sprint last year. I don't think that Greipel will lose anything on the climb.

 

[auscyclefan94]

thats a first brown doing something stupid in sprint!

wyss was trying to go in between mcewen and brown and then he came acroos and pushed him into davis. Wyss was already boxed in but brown pushed him across the road. i'll send you the link for the sprint.
handorf stage finish watch from 5mins and watch how brown pushes across stopping Wyss come through. He also cuts him earlier in the sprint but it is hard to see through the trees.