Azabael said:
I agree. Hence I think that if for instance Wiggins decides to let his men set a really high pace the entire climb, Gesink could be one of the last few remaining with the group and maybe even attack. If the pace toward the climb is low and they just 'explode', then yes he might struggle.
Knowing this, it would be wise to even set that pace yourself as a team if no-one does it. Too bad for Rabobank Sanchez is of no use atm.
It's still a question to me wheter a 'hard' race suits Gesink. When he was good in the AGR, there was still a 30-man group left. While in 2011 the race was very hard with only a few riders left after the Keutenberg, and he sat completely a bloc.
Gesinks strong moments in the race are when the other contenders don't want to make tempo. Then even Gesink, with crappy accelleration, can ride clear. When this doesn't happen, he'll have to ride them off his wheel 'Basso-style'. His main error over the past few years was that he didn't want to make pace, but I think he's realized that he can only win when the tempo doesn't change.
Van den Broeck has the advantage of having Vanendert on his side. Vanendert's attacks will mean JVDB can nicely follow the rest. But I'm not really convinced of his climbing ability since guys like Kiryienka and Weening could also follow him uphill.